AFC Wimbledon v Plymouth Argyle: Pilgrims could benefit from Matt finish

<br /> <div> <div id="disqus_thread" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); -webkit-text-stroke-width: 1px; color: #1e1e1e; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; margin: 30px 0px; orphans: auto; text-align: start; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; white-space: normal; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px;"> </div> <a class="dsq-brlink" href="https://disqus.com/" style="-webkit-text-stroke-color: rgba(0, 0, 0, 0); -webkit-text-stroke-width: 1px; background: transparent; color: #1e1e1e; font-family: Helvetica, Arial, sans-serif; font-size: 10px; font-style: normal; font-variant: normal; font-weight: normal; letter-spacing: normal; line-height: normal; orphans: auto; outline: none; text-align: start; text-decoration: none; text-indent: 0px; text-transform: none; transition: color 0.2s; white-space: normal; widows: 1; word-spacing: 0px;" target="_blank"></a></div> <br /> <article class="has-odds underlined-links" id="yui_3_1_1_1_146459706380054" style="display: block;"><div id="yui_3_1_1_1_146459706380053" style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <strong style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: transparent; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #1e1e1e; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-weight: 600; outline: none; text-decoration: underline;">Match Odds</span></strong></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">Plymouth, with a bigger fanbase on crowd averages, are the slight favourites for the 90-minute victory at <b class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="0" oldtitle="7/4" style="background: rgb(255, 184, 12); color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; padding: 3px 2px 1px;" title=""><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; transition: color 0.2s;"><u>2.70</u></span></b>, with AFC Wimbledon at <b class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="1" oldtitle="85/40" style="background: rgb(255, 184, 12); color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; padding: 3px 2px 1px;" title=""><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; transition: color 0.2s;"><u>3.10</u></span></b>. The draw is about <b class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="2" oldtitle="9/4" style="background: rgb(255, 184, 12); color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; padding: 3px 2px 1px;" title=""><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; transition: color 0.2s;"><u>3.30</u></span></b>.</span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">Plymouth finished the League Two season six points above the Dons who didn't have the greatest record against fellow top seven teams, a combination of which seems to justify their bigger price than Argyle. But they showed great character to come back at Accrington and the second half of the season was when they came on strong.<br /><br />The historical fact that Plymouth have been to Wembley just once before, winning the 1996 Third Division playoff final, will have no bearing, especially when AFC Wimbledon, as a club, have a more recent playoff winning experience, albeit not at Wembley.</span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">AFC Wimbledon will be hoping to keep the defence, for whom <strong style="font-weight: 600;">Paul Robinson</strong> has been excellent, as tight as in six of their last eight matches, when they kept a clean sheet. <strong style="font-weight: 600;">Dannie Bulman's</strong> presence in sitting in front of the defence has also made it tight.</span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">In one sense, the stats are for AFC Wimbledon. In three of the last six years the team finishing seventh has gone on to win promotion, but last year it was the fifth placed team - as Plymouth have finished this time - Southend, who went up via Wembley.</span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">I don't expect a particularly tight game as creative players like <strong style="font-weight: 600;">Graham Carey and Gregg Wylde </strong>for Plymouth and - for their opponents - <strong style="font-weight: 600;">George Francombe,</strong> marauding forward, and<strong style="font-weight: 600;">Sean Rigg</strong> find space and go for it.</span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">I have this feeling that AFC Wimbledon, initially, will play with more freedom than Plymouth, who could come on stronger once they find a foothold, with substitute Reuben Reid waiting to prowl like a primed lion to snare his prey. The match could just go the way of Plymouth in the end.</span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"><br /><strong style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="color: #1e1e1e;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; transition: color 0.2s;"><u>Over 2.5 Goals</u></span></span></strong></span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">Given that both sides have capable scorers, a price of <b class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="3" oldtitle="4/5" style="background: rgb(255, 184, 12); color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; padding: 3px 2px 1px;" title=""><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; transition: color 0.2s;"><u>1.80</u></span></b> for under 2.5 goals and <b class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="4" oldtitle="6/5" style="background: rgb(255, 184, 12); color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; padding: 3px 2px 1px;" title=""><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; transition: color 0.2s;"><u>2.20</u></span></b> for overs might seem the wrong way around. However, AFC Wimbledon only scored 64 goals in the regular season, the lowest by a distance in the top seven.</span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">They also only conceded 50 which equates to 2.4 per game.</span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">Eight of their last 11 league and playoff games have finished under 2.5 goals.</span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">Plymouth, however, struck up a string of nine games with over 2.5 goals before their 1-0 win over Portsmouth in the semis.<br />Three of the last five League Two playoff finals have been resolved with under 2.5 goals.</span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">On Wembley's big pitch, that's a bit of a surprise and I would expect when there are very capable attackers in <strong style="font-weight: 600;">Lyle Taylor</strong> and <strong style="font-weight: 600;">Jamille Matt</strong> then there will be at least three goals.</span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"><br /><strong style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="color: #1e1e1e;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; transition: color 0.2s;"><u>First Goalscorer</u></span></span></strong></span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">Peter Hartley (about <b aria-describedby="qtip-5" class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="5" oldtitle="39/1" style="background: rgb(255, 184, 12); color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; padding: 3px 2px 1px;" title=""><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; transition: color 0.2s;"><u>40.00</u></span></b>), whose stoppage time goal saw off Portsmouth to give him his best ever moment in football, has perhaps had his moment in the sun so the Pilgrims ought to be looking for another Messiah to score.</span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">Midfielder Graham Carey <b class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="6" oldtitle="7/1" style="background: rgb(255, 184, 12); color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; padding: 3px 2px 1px;" title=""><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; transition: color 0.2s;"><u>8.00</u></span></b> and forward <strong style="font-weight: 600;">Jake Jervis</strong> [6.5] are top scorers with 11, but the talented yet combustible <strong style="font-weight: 600;">Jamille Matt</strong> at <b class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="7" oldtitle="9/2" style="background: rgb(255, 184, 12); color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; padding: 3px 2px 1px;" title=""><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; transition: color 0.2s;"><u>5.50</u></span></b> is the more likely spark for Argyle. Reuben Reid at <b class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="8" oldtitle="6/1" style="background: rgb(255, 184, 12); color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; padding: 3px 2px 1px;" title=""><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; transition: color 0.2s;"><u>7.00</u></span></b> would be a more interesting choice if he was guaranteed a start.</span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">On the Dons' side, <strong style="font-weight: 600;">Lyle Taylor</strong> is the obvious market leader at <b class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="9" oldtitle="4/1" style="background: rgb(255, 184, 12); color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; padding: 3px 2px 1px;" title=""><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; transition: color 0.2s;"><u>5.00</u></span></b> but Tom Elliott at <b class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="10" oldtitle="7/1" style="background: rgb(255, 184, 12); color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; padding: 3px 2px 1px;" title=""><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; transition: color 0.2s;"><u>8.00</u></span></b> can be considered while if the game is goalless after the first half and Akinfenwa come on after an hour his price will plummet from [8.5].</span></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"><br /></span><strong style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;">Recommended Bets:<br /><span style="color: #1e1e1e;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;"><u>Back Plymouth to win at</u></span></span> <b class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="11" oldtitle="7/4" style="background: rgb(255, 184, 12); color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; padding: 3px 2px 1px;" title="">2.70</b><br /><span style="color: #1e1e1e;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;"><u>Back Over 2.5 Goals at</u></span></span> <b aria-describedby="qtip-12" class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="12" oldtitle="6/5" style="background: rgb(255, 184, 12); color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; padding: 3px 2px 1px;" title="">2.20</b><br /><span style="color: #1e1e1e;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial;">Back Jamille Matt to score first at </span></span><b aria-describedby="qtip-13" class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="13" oldtitle="9/2" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: #ffb80c; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; outline: none; padding: 3px 2px 1px; text-decoration: underline;" title="">5.50</b></span></strong></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> <a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-2XktuBQ9Jns/V0v6huw20sI/AAAAAAAAGB0/13gEO8jAdNsiO7yTn_kHY7XCB4Laf6wHACLcB/s1600/22.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="margin-left: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="267" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-2XktuBQ9Jns/V0v6huw20sI/AAAAAAAAGB0/13gEO8jAdNsiO7yTn_kHY7XCB4Laf6wHACLcB/s400/22.jpg" width="400" /></a></div> <div style="line-height: 21px; margin: 0px; padding-bottom: 0.5em;"> <strong style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif;"><b aria-describedby="qtip-13" class="inline-odds has-qtip" data-hasqtip="13" oldtitle="9/2" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-color: #ffb80c; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; color: #1e1e1e; font-weight: 600; outline: none; padding: 3px 2px 1px; text-decoration: underline;" title=""><br /></b></span></strong></div> </article>

AFC Wimbledon v Plymouth Argyle: Pilgrims could benefit from Matt finish

Match Odds Plymouth, with a bigger fanbase on crowd averages, are the slight favourites for the 90-minute victory at  2.70 , with A...

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