NRL Preview: Sea Eagles v Tigers

<span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">NRL Preview</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Manly Sea Eagles v Wests Tigers</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Sunday, July 16, 2pm (AEST) at Lottoland, Sydney</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Sea Eagles will be looking to bounce back after their loss to the Panthers last week and maintain that all-important Top 4 spot. Jake Trbojevic has been named to back up after his strong performance in Origin 3, while the Tigers will also be relying on the departing duo James Tedesco and Aaron Woods to take their spots after a deflating loss by NSW in State of Origin 3.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">History</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Sea Eagles have won 5 of their last 7 against the Tigers. They have also won seven straight against the Tigers at Brookvale. However, the Tigers produced a shock 36-22 win at Leichhardt Oval last year, with James Tedesco scoring a hat-trick and David Nofoaluma crossing for a double.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Form</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Manly remain in the Top 4 despite a loss to Penrith last round with a 10-6 record. The Sea Eagles were given no hope by the officiating, losing the penalty count 14-4 against the Panthers. Manly had won five on the trot before the loss to Penrith. Wests Tigers are second last with a 4-12 record. The Tigers had lost seven on the trot before downing Newcastle 33-12. The Tigers have conceded at least 22 points in all bar five games this year.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Key Matchup</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Tom Trbojevic v James Tedesco: Trbojevic has been outstanding for the Sea Eagles all season and was very unlucky to miss out on a NSW Origin spot. He scored a try and ran for 180 metres in the loss to the Panthers last week and was one of the Sea Eagles’ best in a beaten side. He’ll be looking for a big performance against the current NSW fullback and remind Tedesco that he’s lurking in the shadows. Tedesco missed the Tigers win a fortnight ago against the Knights and will to hoping to finish his Tigers career on a high note. He scored a hat-trick against the Sea Eagles at Leichhardt Oval last season and will be hoping to put the disappointment of Origin 3 behind him with a strong performance here.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Stats That Matter</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Manly are 9-7 ATS with an 8-8 total record while the Wests Tigers are 7-9 ATS with a 10-6 under record.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Sea Eagles have won 5 of their last 7 against the Tigers.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Manly have won seven straight against the Tigers at Brookvale.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The last five matches between the teams have topped 48 points.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Manly have covered just 3 of their last 8 as a double digit favourite at Brookvale.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Tigers have covered three straight and 9 of their last 13 road games.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Tigers have covered 7 of their last 8 road games as a double digit outsider on the road.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Tigers are 4-1 ATS as a double digit outsider off 30 points.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Final Thoughts</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Sea Eagles are too short to back straight out, with the 1-12 margin looking like the better bet. However, the Tigers should have gained some confidence after their win over the Knights and the returns of Tedesco and Chris Lawrence should help their cause. Manly will get the cash, but the 15.5 line looks inflated. The Wolf says to take the Tigers with the start.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">How It’s Shaping Up</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Manly by 8</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Best Bet</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Wests +15.5 ($1.90)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Other Recommended Bets</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Over 45.5 ($1.88)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-E6OjBL7lOR0/WWdmgrKIqWI/AAAAAAAACVk/lAVQoH9u9tAVt6clrT8loORY7EXsITiIQCLcBGAs/s1600/2017Jul13073947_515546174.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="397" data-original-width="600" height="422" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-E6OjBL7lOR0/WWdmgrKIqWI/AAAAAAAACVk/lAVQoH9u9tAVt6clrT8loORY7EXsITiIQCLcBGAs/s640/2017Jul13073947_515546174.jpg" width="640" /></a><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span>

NRL Preview: Sea Eagles v Tigers

NRL Preview Manly Sea Eagles v Wests Tigers Sunday, July 16, 2pm (AEST) at Lottoland, Sydney The Sea Eagles will be looking to bounce ba...

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AFL Preview: Demons v Crows

<div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Melbourne v Adelaide</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Saturday 7:40pm at TIO Stadium</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Crows are back on the top of the table but will not have an easy job keeping the position against a Demons team pressing hard for a Top 4 position.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Form</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Melbourne are up to fifth on the ladder with a 9-6 record following five wins in their last six matches. The Demons have won just one of their last four matches against Top 8 opposition but that was a win in Adelaide over the Crows. Melbourne rank fifth in scoring this season but are ninth in defence.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Adelaide have ascended back to the top of the ladder with an 11-4 record. The Crows rank top in scoring while they have the fourth best defence in the AFL. The Crows have won their last two and five of their last seven. Adelaide have kept opponents to 60 or fewer in four of their last seven matches.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Stats That Matter</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Adelaide have won 4 of the last 6 against Melbourne.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Melbourne last won consecutive games against Adelaide back in 1998-99.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Demons have covered the last four against the Crows.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The under has hit in 4 of the last 5 Demons-Crows game.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The under has hit in 5 of the 7 matches in Darwin since 2012.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The favourite has covered 4 of the last 5 Darwin games that Melbourne have played in.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Melbourne have covered 11 of their last 14 as an outsider.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Demons have covered 12 of their last 18 as an underdog of more than two goals.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Adelaide are 23-15 ATS interstate when favoured by more than two goals with a 23-15 over record.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Adelaide are 6-3 ATS at night this year.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Melbourne are 16-7 under at night since 2012.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Crows are 13-8 ATS after conceding 60 points or fewer.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Melbourne have covered just 1 of their last 7 after conceding 85 or fewer.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Betting Data</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">2017 Line: Melbourne 6-9, Adelaide 10-5</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">2017 Over-Under: Melbourne 8-7, Adelaide 6-9</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">What To Expect</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Tough game for bettors. Betting the Melbourne plus. The Demons have covered four straight against the Crows and have been ultra-reliable of late as an underdog, covering 11 of their last 14. Getting more than two goals, they have to be the bet.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">How It’s Shaping Up</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Adelaide by 9</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Recommended Bet</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Melbourne +16.5 ($1.91)</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Player Markets</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Matt Crouch has hit 110 in seven of his last 12 games so the $2.20 looks a tasty price.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Recommended Bet</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Matt Crouch 110+ Fantasy Points ($2.20) </span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> </div> <div> <a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-V8HMJQH4m7Q/WWc_o33g76I/AAAAAAAACVQ/27t7vv4xYC4J_0DlluJYaliJnwjNY-IVwCLcBGAs/s1600/Nathan-Jones-Melbourne-Demons-AFL-2017.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="683" data-original-width="1000" height="436" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-V8HMJQH4m7Q/WWc_o33g76I/AAAAAAAACVQ/27t7vv4xYC4J_0DlluJYaliJnwjNY-IVwCLcBGAs/s640/Nathan-Jones-Melbourne-Demons-AFL-2017.jpg" width="640" /></a><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>

AFL Preview: Demons v Crows

Melbourne v Adelaide Saturday 7:40pm at TIO Stadium The Crows are back on the top of the table but will not have an easy job keeping ...

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AFL Preview: Power v Kangaroos

<span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Port Adelaide v North Melbourne</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Saturday 2:10pm at Adelaide Oval</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Port Adelaide need a win against lowly North Melbourne to keep their spot in the Top 4 with a marauding horde lining up behind them.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Form</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Port Adelaide are fourth on the ladder with a 9-6 record while their metrics suggest they are a better team with the Power ranking top defensively and third in attack. The Power have won three of their last four with their only defeat coming against Richmond. Port are a pretty ordinary 4-3 at home this season.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">North Melbourne have dropped five straight with their last four losses all by 19 points or fewer. The Kangaroos are now 17th on the ladder with a 4-11 record. North rank surprisingly high in scoring sitting seventh while they rate 15th defensively. The Kangaroos have failed to break 82 points in three of their last five.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Stats That Matter</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– North Melbourne have won 7 of the last 11 matches against Port Adelaide.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Port have covered 4 of the 5 games against North since 2012.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The under has hit in 4 of the 5 Port-North games since 2012.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Port are 27-17 under at Adelaide Oval since 2012.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Port have covered just 4 of their last 11 at Adelaide Oval.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– North are 0-4 ATS at Adelaide Oval since 2012 with a 4-0 over record.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Port have gone over in 5 of their last 6 day games at Adelaide Oval.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Port are 9-5 ATS since 2012 as a favourite of 30 or more at Adelaide Oval.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– North have covered just 2 of their last 9 interstate getting four goals or more start.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Interstate outsiders of 24-plus off scoring 85 or fewer cover at just 43% since 2012.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Betting Data</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">2017 Line: Port Adelaide 9-6, North Melbourne 6-9</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">2017 Over-Under: Port Adelaide 7-8, North Melbourne 9-6</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">What To Expect</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Port Adelaide should win and cover against North. The Power have covered 4 of the last 5 against North and meet a North team that have never covered at Adelaide Oval. Port are reliable as big home favourites while interstate underdogs of four goals or more off a poor attacking display is bad, covering at just 43%.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">How It’s Shaping Up</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Port Adelaide by 49</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Recommended Bet</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Port Adelaide -36.5 ($1.91)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Player Markets</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Robbie Gray has had four four-goal hauls this year and all of them have been against teams in the bottom-third of the league. Gray loves beating up on bad teams.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Recommended Bet</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Robbie Gray 4+ Goals ($2.25)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <a href="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-_ZQ87dE2EEs/WWc6wj2BfxI/AAAAAAAACVI/80BFlv9PUKALShGY-WTXhkDKxfNXEGoFwCLcBGAs/s1600/529346-tlsnewslandscape.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="370" data-original-width="620" height="380" src="https://2.bp.blogspot.com/-_ZQ87dE2EEs/WWc6wj2BfxI/AAAAAAAACVI/80BFlv9PUKALShGY-WTXhkDKxfNXEGoFwCLcBGAs/s640/529346-tlsnewslandscape.jpg" width="640" /></a><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span>

AFL Preview: Power v Kangaroos

Port Adelaide v North Melbourne Saturday 2:10pm at Adelaide Oval Port Adelaide need a win against lowly North Melbourne to keep their spo...

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AFL Preview: Suns v Magpies

<div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Gold Coast v Collingwood</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Saturday 4:35pm at Metricon Stadium</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">The loser of this 14th v 15th battle can say goodbye to their fading finals hopes.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Form</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Gold Coast are 14th on the ladder with a 6-9 record. The Suns have won just 1 of their last 4 games, a home victory over lowly North Melbourne. Gold Coast have been kept to 73 points or fewer in 3 of their last 4 and were hammered 118-51 by Sydney last week. The Suns rank 11th in scoring but a poor 17th in defence.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Collingwood have now lost four on the trot with their last three defeats coming by margins of four goals or greater. The Magpies are down to 15th on the ladder with a 5-10 record. They rank 12th in scoring and 13th in defence. Collingwood have conceded more than 100 points in three of their last four matches.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Stats That Matter</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Collingwood have won 4 of the 6 all-time matches with Gold Coast including the last two by margins of 69 and 71.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Three of the last four Magpies-Suns games have gone under.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">– This is the first game Gold Coast are favoured over Collingwood.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Suns are 34-28 ATS at Metricon since 2012.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Suns are 14-5 over as a home favourite at Metricon since 2012.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Gold Coast are 11-8 ATS at Metricon as a favourite since 2012 including a 6-2 ATS record when favoured by fewer than three goals.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Collingwood are 18-11 ATS with a 20-9 under record interstate since 2012.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Collingwood are 12-6 ATS with a 12-6 under record as an interstate outsider since 2012.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Favourites who scored fewer than 60 points last start cover at just 44%.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Collingwood are 15-6 under after conceding 110 or more points.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Betting Data</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">2017 Line: Gold Coast 8-7, Collingwood 7-8</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">2017 Over-Under: Gold Coast 8-7, Collingwood 8-7</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">What To Expect</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Brutal game for punters. Leaning towards Collingwood based on their strong interstate record. Best bet is the under. Collingwood are a huge under team interstate and after a poor defensive display so the angles are strong for a low-scorer.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">How It’s Shaping Up</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Collingwood by 4</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Recommended Bet</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Under 188.5 points ($1.88)</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Player Markets</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Adam Treloar has kicked a goal in every game this year bar four so he is likely to hit a major against an ordinary Suns.</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Recommended Bet</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Adam Treloar Anytime Goal ($1.70)</span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div> <div class="separator" style="clear: both; text-align: center;"> </div> <div> <a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-N58gG2Uap1c/WWc5yYw1l8I/AAAAAAAACVE/pseHFoNQOXgruAc5mlYQZuQxGttRm5j_ACLcBGAs/s1600/464815-tlsnewslandscape.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="370" data-original-width="620" height="380" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-N58gG2Uap1c/WWc5yYw1l8I/AAAAAAAACVE/pseHFoNQOXgruAc5mlYQZuQxGttRm5j_ACLcBGAs/s640/464815-tlsnewslandscape.jpg" width="640" /></a><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></div>

AFL Preview: Suns v Magpies

Gold Coast v Collingwood Saturday 4:35pm at Metricon Stadium The loser of this 14th v 15th battle can say goodbye to their fading fin...

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AFL Preview: Giants v Swans

<div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>GWS v Sydney</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Saturday 7:25pm at Spotless Stadium</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>The Battle of the Bridge should be a fascinating and all-important affair despite having the worst name of any derby in all of Australian sport.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Form</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Greater Western Sydney have remarkably drawn their last two games, finishing level with Geelong and Hawthorn in consecutive weeks. More incredibly, six of the last 10 Giants games have been decided by three points or fewer. The Giants are now second the ladder with a 10-3-2 record. The Giants rank fourth in attack and fifth in defence.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Sydney are incredibly into the Top 8 with an 8-7 record following eight wins in their last nine matches. They have won five straight with three of those wins by 35 or more. The Swans have conceded 51 points or fewer in three of their last five. The Swans rank second defensively while they rate ninth in scoring.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Stats That Matter</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– GWS have won the last three against Sydney after losing 8 of the first 9.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– GWS have covered 8 of the last 12 against Sydney.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– The under has hit in 8 of the last 12 Giants-Swans matches.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– The Giants have covered just 2 of their last 9 at Spotless Stadium.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– GWS are 3-0 ATS as a favourite of under three goals at Spotless and 4-0 ATS in Sydney.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– The Swans have covered 4 of their last 6 in Sydney as an outsider.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– Sydney are 20-12 under as an outsider since 2012.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– Sydney have covered 6 of their last 9 as an underdog.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– The Swans are 26-16 ATS after conceding 60 points or fewer.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– GWS are 16-23 ATS after scoring 95 or more points.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Betting Data</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>2017 Line: GWS 6-9, Sydney 7-8</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>2017 Over-Under: GWS 9-6, Sydney 6-9</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>What To Expect</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>GWS have felt like an incredibly lucky team this year. They have got away with so many close games and it feels like the wheel will turn soon. Sydney are excellent as an outsider and really hold their form after a big defensive effort. The Giants have struggled as a betting proposition at Spotless of late. Ride the Swans wave.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>How It’s Shaping Up</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Sydney by 10</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Recommended Bet</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Sydney +1.5 ($1.91)</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Player Markets</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Josh Kennedy has hit 110-plus in four of his last six and will be front and centre in a low-scoring game against the Giants.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Recommended Bet</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Josh Kennedy 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.97) </b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-lrHz1_6w9jk/WWc5ENNh48I/AAAAAAAACU8/z8pnDmSrfn4q3u9crvmqerf2PcpQZWMyACLcBGAs/s1600/503989-tlsnewslandscape.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="370" data-original-width="620" height="380" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-lrHz1_6w9jk/WWc5ENNh48I/AAAAAAAACU8/z8pnDmSrfn4q3u9crvmqerf2PcpQZWMyACLcBGAs/s640/503989-tlsnewslandscape.jpg" width="640" /></a><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div>

AFL Preview: Giants v Swans

GWS v Sydney Saturday 7:25pm at Spotless Stadium The Battle of the Bridge should be a fascinating and all-important affair despite ha...

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Wimbledon Tips Day 11: Men’s Semi Finals

<span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">The quarter finals went far from according to plan with Murray and Djokovic both being eliminated. The Wolf was not surprised and the pair have been a shadow of themselves in recent months. As a result Federer has one hand on the trophy and we are likely to see a final contested between The Wolf’s pre-tournament picks – Federer and Cilic.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Sam Querrey v Marin Cilic</span><br /> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Twelve month ago Querrey shocked the world when he beat world number 1 Novak Djokovic in the 3rd round. A year on and he was at it again, taking down the world’s number 1 ranked player for the second year in a row. This time it was Andy Murray, the local hero and defending champion. The win places him in the semi’s of a slam for the first time and he will fancy his chances against Cilic. He may be 0-4 against the Croat but they have had some remarkably close encounters. This will be their 3rd encounter on the Wimbledon grass courts. Cilic came out on top in the first two but both were epic 5 setter, most notably the 15-15 5th set in 2012. Their encounter in Queen’s went the distance and their most recent encounter in Washington (2015) was settled by multiple tiebreakers. Both men have been serving lights out! They rank 1st and 3rd in aces for the tournament with Querrey on 126 and Cilic on 105. They also rank on the pointy end of the scale for first serve points won – both men in excess of 83%. The Wolf cannot see either man winning more than 35% of return points and that means very few breaks of serve. With all four of their previous matches going down to the wire The Wolf is expecting a 5 set epic with Cilic to sneak his way into the final.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Best: Over 40.5 games ($1.80)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Other: 1st Set Correct Score 7-6 ($2.15)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Value: Sets Total – 5 Sets ($3.30)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Roger Federer v Tomas Berdych</span><br /> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Wolf is running out of words when it comes to Roger Federer. How he could win a 19th Grand Slam and his second of the year at age 35 is beyond all belief. He continues to defy the odds, especially when you look at the list of former number 1’s to retire early is a long one. Roddick (30), Safin (29), Rafter (30), Sampras (31) and Borg (26) are among the men to pull up stumps early but at this rate we could see Federer continue to play, and win, well into his 40’s. He is 18-6 against Berdych and has won the last 7 meetings. Federer has won 16 of the last 18 sets they have contested and he has left Berdych with more than just mental scarring. Federer was flawless in a straight sets win at the Aus Open earlier this year and followed that up with another win over the birdman in Miami. The Wolf says that encounter holds considerable significance. Berdych had 2 match points in the third set breaker and served a double fault to hand Federer the match. His 1-5 record in slam semi’s is further evidence that he fails to play his best on the big stage. Look for Berdych to stay in the contest early but once Federer gets a set under his belt it will be smooth sailing. Federer is 14-2 in his last 16 tiebreakers – the definition of clutch! Federer has a 10-1 record in the semi’s here and he will only improve it. Raonic was the ideal warm-up for the match-up with Berdych and after breaking serve at least 3 times in each of his matches at The Championships The Wolf says Federer will be in top gear.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Best: Sets Federer 3-0 ($1.85)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;">Value: 1st Set Scorecast Federer 7-6 ($4.80)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-_oiGz-5SARM/WWbq7gosU8I/AAAAAAAACUU/596m8kkdf-U6WquJUKG1aeUzXLBfUYzLQCLcBGAs/s1600/skysports-tennis-federer-wimbledon_3999805.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="432" data-original-width="768" height="360" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-_oiGz-5SARM/WWbq7gosU8I/AAAAAAAACUU/596m8kkdf-U6WquJUKG1aeUzXLBfUYzLQCLcBGAs/s640/skysports-tennis-federer-wimbledon_3999805.jpg" width="640" /></a><span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span><br /> <span style="font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span>

Wimbledon Tips Day 11: Men’s Semi Finals

The quarter finals went far from according to plan with Murray and Djokovic both being eliminated. The Wolf was not surprised and the pair h...

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Wimbledon Tips Day 10: Women’s Semi Finals

<span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Wolf said we would lose at least one former champion yesterday but we lost two with Murray and Djokovic both exiting the tournament. In the women’s draw only one former winner remains, Venus Williams, as like Querrey yesterday she will be out to dash the hopes of the locals when she takes on Konta. In the other semi The Wolf cannot see Rybarikova making her way past Muguruza.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Venus Williams v Johanna Konta</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">She may be 37 but Venus Williams is playing the tennis of a 25 year old and The Wolf couldn’t be more excited about one of his pre tournament selections. There is a reason why she is a 5 time winner at Wimbledon – her serve! To have a big serve in the men’s game is one thing but on the women’s tour it holds even more significance. This is mainly due to the fact that there are more breaks of serve in the women’s game and as we saw in here quarter final clash, if you cannot break Venus’ serve then you simply cannot beat her. Venus has won in excess of 80% of first serve points throughout the tournament – unheard of outside of the Williams sisters. The Wolf cannot see Konta breaking down the Venus serve. The Brit has already been pushed to a deciding set on three occasions and has had to expend a mountain of energy to get to this stage – both physical and mental. She has the weight of a nation on her shoulders and this is the stage in major where experience plays a big part. This is foreign territory for her and the fact that she has lost in the 1st round in 4 of her 5 appearances hear reveals that the pressure has played part. The combination of the Williams serve and experience will get the veteran over the line.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Best: Venus Williams WIN ($2.00)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Value: Sets Williams 2-1 ($4.50)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Garbine Muguruza v Magdalena Rybarikova</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The dream run of Rybarikova continued in the quarters with a straight sets win over fancied Coco Vandeweghe. She gets the chance to continue her giant killing run against Muguruza – the 2016 French Open champion and a former finalist here. The Spaniard has benefited dramatically from having Conchina Martinez in her corner during the tournament. The pair have worked together for the Fed Cup and it is clear that part of the game plan is to get Muguruza moving into the net where possible. She is averaging in excess of 10 net approaches per set and with Vandeweghe having success when she moved forward The Wolf expects the Spaniard to come in behind her heavy ground-strokes. Rybarikova will continue to swing for the fences but she is up against a brick wall that can punch back. The pair have two wins a piece in their four career meetings but they haven’t met since 2015 and Muguruza is a very different player these days. She has really developed her game over the last 24 months and the addition of her net play makes her a very tough proposition. The Wolf says Rybarikova’s magical run will come to an end.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Best: Muguruza WIN ($1.40)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Value: Sets Muguruza 2-0 ($2.00)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ooW2o1tH_LY/WWbp4u1zn8I/AAAAAAAACUQ/JF7MxOXIZxUfFXWA54vaaJS5dnbcSkftQCLcBGAs/s1600/williams-vs-konta-large_trans_NvBQzQNjv4BqqVzuuqpFlyLIwiB6NTmJwfSVWeZ_vEN7c6bHu2jJnT8.png" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="397" data-original-width="635" height="400" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ooW2o1tH_LY/WWbp4u1zn8I/AAAAAAAACUQ/JF7MxOXIZxUfFXWA54vaaJS5dnbcSkftQCLcBGAs/s640/williams-vs-konta-large_trans_NvBQzQNjv4BqqVzuuqpFlyLIwiB6NTmJwfSVWeZ_vEN7c6bHu2jJnT8.png" width="640" /></a><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span>

Wimbledon Tips Day 10: Women’s Semi Finals

The Wolf said we would lose at least one former champion yesterday but we lost two with Murray and Djokovic both exiting the tournament. In ...

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Tour de France: Stage 12 Preview

<div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Stage 12: Pau – Peyragudes</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">214.5km – Suited to breakaway</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Apparently there was a stage in the Tour de France overnight. The Wolf tuned in and saw 190 riders commuting from point A to point B, but couldn’t see a race anywhere! What a huge disappointment to cycling lovers everywhere, not because Kittel won his 5th stage of the Tour, but because of the complete lack of courage by a number of teams to at least try to make the race interesting. Katusha & Lotto again helped to chase down the awful, 3 man break, and were rewarded with 12th & 7th place; their sponsors will be thrilled.  The Wolf has had a gutful of sprint finishes and is looking forward to some high octane racing in the Pyrenees. Onto Stage 12……</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Stage 12</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">After 3 rest days for the GC contenders, the next 2 days could prove to be decisive in deciding who will be wearing yellow on the street of Paris next weekend. Stage 13 looks set for some very attacking racing but before that, the riders face a 214.5km slog from Pau to Peyragudes on a route that includes 6 categorised climbs and some very fast descending.  We saw on stage 9 how much the big climbs and steep descents can shake up the standings and we can expect more of the same tonight. The riders face a very similar route to what was in front of them on stage 8, a stage won by Lilian Calmejane from a breakaway group. The first 50km of the stage will be raced at a furious pace and the break should start to materialise towards the summit of the first CAT 4 climb of the Cote de Capvern. We should see a good mix of sprinters, rouleurs & mountain goats in the group but it’ll be the rouleurs that will want to split the group down even further on the flat roads leading up to the CAT 2 Col des Ares and then again on the infamous Col de Mente, a CAT 1 climb that averages 8.1%. Whether the break is successful is dependant on two things; firstly, who is the the group & secondly, what approach Team Sky take on the day. It would probably be in Sky’s interests to allow the break to win as the bonus seconds for the win will be mopped up by non-GC riders. The Wolf can see the break succeeding today as the racing will be incredible tomorrow and the main teams will not want to risk completely burning out before then. The back end of the stage is where it really starts to get difficult. THe HC ramps of Port de Bales will be the most difficult of the race so far and will really test the legs, expect to see a couple of GC riders going pop on the slopes here. From there, the descent leads straight into the climb of the Col de Peyresourde, an 11.7km climb at 7.7%. Whilst the Port de Bales has an irregular climb to it, the Peyresourde is more consistent in it’s ramps. We should see attacks on both climbs with riders hoping to isolate Froome & his support team. AG2R showed on stage 9 that it’s possible to put Team Sky under pressure and The Wolf is expecting more of the same tonight. Chapeau the break 2.0!</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Tiesj Benoot – $21</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The versatile Belgian finished an impressive 13th on the brutal stage 9 and was probably the strongest rider in the huge breakaway group. He’ll enjoy the long distance and will be more comfortable on the regular climbs. Lotto Soudal have had a poor race so far but will look to put the like of Benoot, De Gendt, Wellens & Gallopin into the break.  If they work together, dropping weaker riders along the way thenwe could well see Benoot first to the finish line.</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Primoz Roglic – $26</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">A strong climber with the power to push the pace on the flat, Roglic should find it easy enough to join the breakaway group tonight. Hi was very animated on stage 9 and was actually the first rider to summit the HC slopes of the Col de la Biche before fading as the race developed. The regular climbs will suit his style and being a TT beast, he is able to suffer like none other in the peloton. He is well out of GC contention now and this stage is perfect for him to hunt for the win.</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Pierre Rolland – $34</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Frenchman has been very quiet so far in the Tour,  only animating stage 9 with his appearance in the early break. He fell away pretty early on in that break, maybe he knew the peloton were always going to catch them and he was saving his legs. If Rolland can make the break then he’ll be one of the strongest, if the not the strongest, climbers in the group. He has the form after his huge win in the Giro in May and has the history after his win on Alpe d’Huez back in 2011. His experience will count for a lot here and the stage looks perfect for a long range attack – something that Rolland is known to love.</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div> <div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Serge Pauwels – $34</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">With a good nose for a breakaway, Pauwels looks to be at the level he was at in 2015 with his win in the Tour of Yorkshire evidence of that. He finished in the top 20 on Stage 5 and was aggressive with his approach on stage 8, only failing on the final climb as Calmejane went off on a late attack. He has kept himself very quiet since then with a view to saving his legs and maybe tonight is when he goes on the attack again.</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Recommended Bets</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Best Bet: Tiesj Benoot – $21</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Value Bet: Pierre Rolland – $34 </span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Roughie: Kristijan Durasek – $201</span></b></div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Roughie: Ben Swift – $501</span></b></div> </div> <div> <b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div> <div> <a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-3_RnPFGGthU/WWbpNkNtMkI/AAAAAAAACUM/-eFF6T1guoQnxQYROlEVgDzPb2bnNPbZwCLcBGAs/s1600/CORVOS_00028225-174.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="1213" data-original-width="1600" height="484" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-3_RnPFGGthU/WWbpNkNtMkI/AAAAAAAACUM/-eFF6T1guoQnxQYROlEVgDzPb2bnNPbZwCLcBGAs/s640/CORVOS_00028225-174.jpg" width="640" /></a><b><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span></b></div>

Tour de France: Stage 12 Preview

Stage 12: Pau – Peyragudes 214.5km – Suited to breakaway Apparently there was a stage in the Tour de France overnight. The Wolf tun...

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NRL Preview: Titans v Sharks

<div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>NRL Preview</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Gold Coast Titans v Cronulla Sharks</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Saturday, July 15, 7:30pm (AEST) at Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Sharks coach Shane Flanagan has stated that he could rest some of his players after State of Origin 3 and it’s definitely worth keeping an eye on any late team news. The Titans have named Jarryd Hayne, Nathan Peats and Jarrod Wallace to back-up after Origin.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>History</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>The Titans defeated the Sharks 16-12 at Cronulla in Round 8 earlier this season, while six of the last nine matches between the sides have tallied fewer than 36 points. The biggest margin over the last five matches has been five points.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Form</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Gold Coast are 14th on the ladder with a 6-10 record. They won their last two before a bye convincingly against Wests Tigers and St George Illawarra, conceding just 24 points across those two games. The Titans are just 3-5 on home turf. Cronulla are second on the ladder with an 11-5 record. The Sharks have won six of their last eight and went into the bye off their most impressive win of the year, a 44-12 win over title contenders Sydney Roosters. The Sharks are a perfect 7-0 away from Shark Park this year.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Key Matchup</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Ashley Taylor v Chad Townsend: Taylor has an incredible 21 try-assists this season and his efforts were rewarded after he was called into the Maroons camp in a development role. He’ll be looking to put his best foot forward against the defending premiers and lead his side to an upset victory. Townsend has been very quiet in the Sharks’ last two outings and could be asked to step up here if coach Flanagan decides to rest James Maloney. He needs to recapture the form he displayed in 2016 as the Sharks went on to win the premiership.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Stats That Matter</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– Gold Coast are 8-8 ATS with an 11-5 over record while Cronulla are 6-10 ATS with a 10-6 under record.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– Cronulla have won just 2 of their last 6.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– Six of the last nine matches have tallied fewer than 36 points.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– The Titans are 17-11 ATS as a home underdog since 2014 but they have covered just 1 of their last 4 as a home underdog of less than a try.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– Cronulla have covered 6 of their last 8 away games.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– Cronulla are 5-9 ATS as a road favourite since 2014 while they have covered 3 of their last 4 as a road favourite of less than a try.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>– Cronulla are 9-1 under after winning by 18 or more while they are 2-8 ATS.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Final Thoughts</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>The Wolf is keen on the unders and the Titans with the start here. He’s taking a flyer that Shane Flanagan decides to rest origin stars like Andrew Fifita and James Maloney. Either way six of the last nine matches have tallied fewer than 36 points and The Wolf is expecting another grinding affair similar to the match these sides played in Round 8.</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>How It’s Shaping Up</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Gold Coast by 2</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Best Bet</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Under 40 ($1.88)</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Other Recommended Bets</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b>Gold Coast + 4 ($1.91)</b></span></span></div> <div> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div> <div> <a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-5JyuYxi2m3U/WWbl6HEKpnI/AAAAAAAACUI/3wz4_sMJ2isgJ24py4K0z8u0Nubr83B_wCLcBGAs/s1600/image.ashx.jpeg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="349" data-original-width="620" height="360" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-5JyuYxi2m3U/WWbl6HEKpnI/AAAAAAAACUI/3wz4_sMJ2isgJ24py4K0z8u0Nubr83B_wCLcBGAs/s640/image.ashx.jpeg" width="640" /></a><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="line-height: 18px;"><b><br /></b></span></span></div>

NRL Preview: Titans v Sharks

NRL Preview Gold Coast Titans v Cronulla Sharks Saturday, July 15, 7:30pm (AEST) at Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast Sharks coach Sha...

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NRL Preview: Knights v Broncos

<span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Wolf doesn’t know how the Knights can pick themselves up for this contest after they inexplicably threw away last week’s match against the Bulldogs. The Broncos have named all of their Origin stars to back up, while Anthony Milford has been listed on an extended bench as he attempts to make his return from a shoulder injury.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">History</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Knights have won just 1 of the last 11 against the Broncos. Brisbane have won five straight against the Knights with four of those by margins of 22 or more. The Broncos have not lost in the last five at Newcastle.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Form</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Newcastle all but had their third win of the season away to Canterbury on Sunday but blew a 10-point lead with nine minutes to play to go down 20-18. The Knights are last on the ladder and are destined for the spoon with just three wins in the last two seasons. Newcastle have lost their last six and conceded 30-plus in four of them. Brisbane are fifth on the ladder with a 10-6 record. They have won just two of their last five and went into the bye with a horrific 42-12 home loss to Melbourne. Brisbane have conceded at least 18 in five straight.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Key Matchup</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Trent Hodkinson v Ben Hunt: Hodkinson has come under fire for not taking the penalty goal to level the match against the Bulldogs, instead leaving it up to Brock Lamb to shank the kick. Hodkinson needed to show better leadership, but did produce his best match of the year, with two try-assists in the Knights heart-breaking loss. Hunt is listed on the bench for Queensland and should take his place in the side here. The stint in Queensland Cup could have been exactly what Hunt needed as he looks to finish his Broncos career on a strong note. He should carve up the Knights on Saturday night.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Stats That Matter</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Newcastle are 8-8 ATS with a 9-7 under number while Brisbane are 8-8 ATS with an 11-5 over number.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Knights have won just 1 of the last 11 against the Broncos.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Brisbane have won five straight against the Knights with four of those by margins of 22 or more.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Broncos have not lost in the last five at Newcastle.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Brisbane have not scored fewer than 31 points in their last five against the Knights.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Newcastle have covered just 2 of their last 6 as a double digit home underdog.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Knights have gone under in their last six home games at night.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Brisbane have gone over in their last five as a road favourite of more than a converted try.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Brisbane are 13-8 ATS as a double digit road favourite.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Final Thoughts</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Wolf can’t see the Knights lifting for this one after the disappointment of last week. The Broncos have been completely dominant over the Novocastrians in recent years and nothing should change here. The Broncs in a canter.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">How It’s Shaping Up</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Brisbane by 22</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Best Bet</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Brisbane -9.5 ($1.91)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Other Recommended Bets</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Over 42.5 ($1.88)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-KM_KCGRZO-A/WWbkyIclK9I/AAAAAAAACUE/rlcdrKCTRk8BzVafqy6XUBN_M0_1Txi0ACLcBGAs/s1600/2017Jul12062249_521523258.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="460" data-original-width="600" height="490" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-KM_KCGRZO-A/WWbkyIclK9I/AAAAAAAACUE/rlcdrKCTRk8BzVafqy6XUBN_M0_1Txi0ACLcBGAs/s640/2017Jul12062249_521523258.jpg" width="640" /></a><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span>

NRL Preview: Knights v Broncos

The Wolf doesn’t know how the Knights can pick themselves up for this contest after they inexplicably threw away last week’s match against t...

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AFL Preview: Cats v Hawks

<span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Geelong v Hawthorn</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Saturday 1:45pm at MCG</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Traditionally one of the most-anticipated matches of the season, the high-flying Cats will be hoping to bury a resurgent Hawthorn in a massive Saturday afternoon clash.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Form</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Geelong enter this off an 85-point annihilation of the Brisbane Lions. The Cats have lost just one of their last seven matches and now sit third on the ladder with a 10-4-1 record. Geelong rank second in scoring and sixth in defence. The Cats though have been excellent defensively of late, not conceding more than 83 points in seven straight.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Hawthorn have launched a mini-revival of their season after three straight weeks without a loss, defeating Adelaide and Collingwood before a draw with Greater Western Sydney. They are up to 13th on the ladder with a 6-8-1 record. The Hawks have not conceded a triple figure score in their last nine matches.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Stats That Matter</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Geelong have won the last three and 15 of the last 20 against Hawthorn.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Hawthorn have covered 5 of the last 7 clashes with the Cats.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The teams met in Round 4 with Geelong winning by 86 points.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Hawks are 14-5 under as an outsider since 2012.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Hawthorn are 8-3 ATS as an underdog in Melbourne since 2012.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Hawks have covered just 3 of their last 9 at the MCG.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Geelong are 19-13 under at the MCG since 2012.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Geelong have covered just four of their last 17 at the MCG.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Cats have gone under in 13 of their last 18 at the MCG.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Geelong are 10-3 in day games at the MCG since 2012.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Cats are 3-9 ATS as a favourite of more than two goals at the MCG since 2012.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The under is 35-22 after a team hits 150 the week prior.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Betting Data</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">2017 Line: Geelong 8-7, Hawthorn 6-9</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">2017 Over-Under: Geelong 8-7, Hawthorn 4-11</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">What To Expect</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Could not be more keen on the under here with every angle pointing to a low-scoring affair. The Hawks have been a big under team all year and the Cats are defending like beasts at present. Geelong are a big under team at the MCG, particularly recently and in day games. The Hawks are a big under team as an outsider. The under hits big-time when a team is coming off posting 150. Five trucks the under.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">How It’s Shaping Up</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Geelong by 5</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Recommended Bet</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Under 180.5 points ($1.88)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Player Markets</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Tom Mitchell is averaging 129.8 in fantasy this year and has posted 130-plus in three of his last four and six of his last nine. Stick with the gun.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Recommended Bet</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Tom Mitchell 130+ Fantasy Points ($1.95)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-jvjblBCi-rY/WWbj007e3nI/AAAAAAAACUA/Lqdc4qeu-78fm528Ww7rqGcb8kjG13VuACLcBGAs/s1600/undefined.jpeg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="525" data-original-width="900" height="372" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-jvjblBCi-rY/WWbj007e3nI/AAAAAAAACUA/Lqdc4qeu-78fm528Ww7rqGcb8kjG13VuACLcBGAs/s640/undefined.jpeg" width="640" /></a><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span>

AFL Preview: Cats v Hawks

Geelong v Hawthorn Saturday 1:45pm at MCG Traditionally one of the most-anticipated matches of the season, the high-flying Cats will be h...

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AFL Preview: Saints v Bombers

<span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">St Kilda and Essendon both sit on the fringes of the Top 8 making the opener to Round 17 an absolute blockbuster.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Form</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">St Kilda are up to seventh on the AFL ladder with a 9-6 record following a demolition job on Richmond. The Saints have now won four on the trot, their longest winning streak since 2011. The Saints St Kilda have kept opponents to 85 or under in 7 of their last 10. St Kilda ranks eighth in both scoring and defence.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Essendon are 10th on the ladder with a 7-8 record following their comfortable win over Collingwood. The Bombers have won just two of their last six though including a loss to the Brisbane Lions. The Bombers have kicked 100-plus in five of their last eight and rank sixth in scoring while they rank a poor 12th in defence.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Stats That Matter</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– St Kilda have won three straight against Essendon.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Saints have covered 4 of the last 5 clashes with the Bombers.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– St Kilda have covered just 4 of their last 11 at Etihad.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Essendon have covered 7 of their last 10 at Etihad.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Essendon are 14-9 under in night matches at Etihad since 2012.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– St Kilda have covered 6 of their last 9 night games at Etihad.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Essendon are 1-6 ATS with a 5-2 under record as an underdog of less than two goals in Melbourne at night.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– St Kilda are 7-3 ATS as a favourite in Melbourne of fewer than two goals.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Bombers are 26-12 under after scoring 100 or more.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Betting Data</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">2017 Line: St Kilda 6-9, Essendon 9-6</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">2017 Over-Under: St Kilda 7-8, Essendon 8-7</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">What To Expect</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">This is an absolute ripper to open the round but it is not an easy one for punters. The Saints are in red-hot form and playing consistent footy so would rather be with them. They have been good at Etihad at night and excellent in Melbourne as a small favourite. The Bombers have been ordinary against the Saints of late and expecting that to continue.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">How It’s Shaping Up</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">St Kilda by 13</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Recommended Bet</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">St Kilda -5.5 ($1.90)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Player Markets</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Seb Ross has hit at least 110 in 8 of his last 12 matches with two of those misses being scores of 107. He should have no problem making the nut in this one.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Recommended Bet</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Seb Ross 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.72)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <a href="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ndLd0n_kF6c/WWbivlfVh3I/AAAAAAAACT8/2T2HTDDLgzoYgvn2YrdyD8bJ63FQ24uiwCLcBGAs/s1600/525983-tlsnewslandscape.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="370" data-original-width="620" height="380" src="https://4.bp.blogspot.com/-ndLd0n_kF6c/WWbivlfVh3I/AAAAAAAACT8/2T2HTDDLgzoYgvn2YrdyD8bJ63FQ24uiwCLcBGAs/s640/525983-tlsnewslandscape.jpg" width="640" /></a><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span>

AFL Preview: Saints v Bombers

St Kilda and Essendon both sit on the fringes of the Top 8 making the opener to Round 17 an absolute blockbuster. Form St Kilda are up to...

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NRL Preview: Warriors v Panthers

<span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">NRL Preview</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">New Zealand Warriors v Penrith Panthers</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Friday, July 14, 6pm (AEST) at Mt Smart Stadium, Auckland</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">This shapes up as a must-win clash for both sides as they both currently sit on 18 competition points – four points behinds the Eels in 8th spot. A loss for either side could spell the end of their finals aspirations, especially with the Eels getting two points for the bye this week. The Warriors will have revenge on their minds after they blew a 28-4 lead at Penrith in Round 10 to be run down 36-28. The Warriors have received a huge boost in the lead-up to this clash, with Issac Luke returning from injury, while Solomone Kata takes his spot at centre after missing the Round 17 match against the Sea Eagles due to personal reasons.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">History</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Panthers have won 7 of the last 9 clashes against the Warriors, including a remarkable 36-28 victory at Penrith earlier this year, overcoming a 24-point deficit. The Warriors have won the last two against the Panthers at Mt Smart Stadium.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Form</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">New Zealand are 10th on the ladder with a 7-9 record and have won three of their last five but entered the bye off a 26-22 loss to Manly in Perth where they butchered an early 16-0 lead. The Warriors have scored at least 21 points in their last five matches. Penrith ground out a 16-8 win over a depleted Manly team at home in an unimpressive Round 18 win. They are ninth on the ladder, also with a 7-9 record. The Panthers are 0-3 outside NSW and dropped their last two prior to the Manly victory.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Key Matchup</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Simon Mannering v Trent Merrin: Mannering has been very good for the Warriors in their last two matches. He had 15 runs for 155 metres and made 60 tackles in the Round 16 win over the Bulldogs. His work-rate was exceptional once again in the Round 17 loss to the Sea Eagles, leading the Warriors forwards with 18 runs for 179 metres and 54 tackles. Merrin is the leader of the Panthers pack and it’s worth nothing that Panthers coach Anthony Griffin has started to increase his minutes over the past two weeks. No one can ever question Merrin’s work-rate as he led the Panthers forwards in the win over the Sea Eagles with 185 metres from his 18 hit-ups. The concern is the six tackles he missed in the match. Looks a great battle between two of the most consistent performers in the NRL.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Stats That Matter</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– New Zealand are 7-9 ATS with an 8-8 total number while Penrith are 6-10 ATS with a 9-7 under number.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Penrith have won 7 of the last 9 clashes against New Zealand.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Penrith have scored at least 20 points in their last eight against the Warriors.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Warriors have won the last two against the Panthers at Mt Smart.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Earlier this season the Warriors led 28-4 before losing 36-28.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Warriors have covered just 5 of their last 18 night games.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Warriors have covered and gone under in four straight at Mt Smart.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">–  Penrith have covered just 6 of their last 18 interstate since 2014 including four straight non-covers.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– As an interstate underdog of less than a converted try, the Panthers are 1-8 ATS.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Penrith are 0-5 ATS interstate after scoring 20 or fewer the week prior.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Warriors have covered 10 of their last 14 off a bye.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Final Thoughts</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Wolf is always cautious about backing the Warriors, but it’s now or never if they have finals aspirations this year. They’ll have a point to prove after their capitulation against the Panthers in Round 10 and the return of Luke is a massive in.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">How It’s Shaping Up</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">New Zealand by 6</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Best Bet</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">New Zealand -2.5 ($1.91)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Other Recommended Bets</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Over 39.5 ($1.88)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <a href="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-bwIvqaA9tk0/WWYfbGP5A2I/AAAAAAAACTk/NbUXPopb7nUJe-zYgqVHFqKlgpbReDDJQCLcBGAs/s1600/2017Jul12053256_682531262.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="400" data-original-width="600" height="426" src="https://1.bp.blogspot.com/-bwIvqaA9tk0/WWYfbGP5A2I/AAAAAAAACTk/NbUXPopb7nUJe-zYgqVHFqKlgpbReDDJQCLcBGAs/s640/2017Jul12053256_682531262.jpg" width="640" /></a><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span>

NRL Preview: Warriors v Panthers

NRL Preview New Zealand Warriors v Penrith Panthers Friday, July 14, 6pm (AEST) at Mt Smart Stadium, Auckland This shapes up as a must-w...

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NRL Preview: Raiders v Dragons

<span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">NRL Preview</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Canberra Raiders v St George Illawarra Dragons</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Friday, July 14, 7:50pm (AEST) at GIO Stadium, Canberra</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Raiders have arguably been the most disappointing side this season, while the Dragons have been one of the biggest surprise packets. The Raiders will be boosted by the return of hooker Josh Hodgson, while the Dragons have named Josh Dugan and Paul Vaughan on an extended bench. Tyson Frizell and Euan Aitken are both big losses for the Red V.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">History</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Dragons have won four straight against the Raiders including the last two in the ACT after winning just 1 of the 17 prior.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Form</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Canberra have been the big disappointments of 2017 so far, sitting 11th on the premiership with a 6-10 record despite being second favourite for the premiership at one stage. The Raiders have dropped four straight including their last two by double digits when starting favourite in both. Canberra have conceded four of their six largest scores over the last four weeks. St George Illawarra are in free-fall with just three wins in their last nine games – two against the bottom two teams – and are down to seventh on the ladder with a 9-7 record. The Saints have been held to 10 points or fewer in their last three games not against Newcastle. </span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Key Matchup</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Joseph Leilua v Tim Lafai: It’s been a mixed bag from Leilua with his frustration boiling over in recent matches. The Raiders need him to recapture his 2016 form if the Green Machine are to make an unlikely run to the finals. Lafai has been one of the most improved players of 2017 and possesses one of the best offloads in the game. He just needs to be more selective about when he decides to get rid of the ball. There will be no love lost between these two attacking weapons.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Stats That Matter</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Canberra are 7-9 ATS with an 8-8 total record while St George Illawarra are 8-8 ATS with a 9-7 under record.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– St George Illawarra have won four straight against Canberra including the last two in the ACT after winning just 1 of the 17 prior.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Eight of the last nine matches have topped 40 points.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Canberra are 19-27 ATS at Canberra Stadium since 2014 with a 14-19 ATS record as a favourite and a 1-6 ATS (with a 6-1 under record) as a favourite of less than a try.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The under is 33-25 when the home favourite has lost four straight.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Interstate underdogs of less than a try are 49-20 ATS since 2014.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Dragons are 5-2 ATS as an underdog of 3.5 or less on the road.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– St George Illawarra are 23-12 under as a road underdog.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– The Saints are 13-6 under as a road underdog at night.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">– Canberra have covered just 2 of their last 7 home night games.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Final Thoughts</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The Wolf like many others expected bigger things from the Raiders this season. Meanwhile, the Dragons have already exceeded expectations, but look weaker on paper this week, especially if Josh Dugan doesn’t back up from Origin 3 and Paul Vaughan doesn’t make the final 17. Despite all of that, the Dragons will keep it simple and back their strong defence to keep them in the contest. The +5.5 start for the Dragons looks too big and is The Wolf’s recommended play, while the Raiders should do enough to get the two competition points and keep their slim hopes of finals football alive.</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">How It’s Shaping Up</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Canberra by 2</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Best Bet</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Best: St George Illawarra +5.5 ($1.91)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Other Recommended Bets</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Other: Under 39.5 ($1.88)</span><br /> <span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span> <a href="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-L4ZEndwv4UY/WWYfDZMxExI/AAAAAAAACTg/7lwXESCiDck0JrUWjx1Fgi_6yJkzDIkOACLcBGAs/s1600/2017Jul12055617_467118302.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" data-original-height="424" data-original-width="600" height="452" src="https://3.bp.blogspot.com/-L4ZEndwv4UY/WWYfDZMxExI/AAAAAAAACTg/7lwXESCiDck0JrUWjx1Fgi_6yJkzDIkOACLcBGAs/s640/2017Jul12055617_467118302.jpg" width="640" /></a><span style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /></span>

NRL Preview: Raiders v Dragons

NRL Preview Canberra Raiders v St George Illawarra Dragons Friday, July 14, 7:50pm (AEST) at GIO Stadium, Canberra The Raiders have argu...

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