Wolf’s Best

Ash Barty @ $10

She’s got a major under her belt, she’s paying double figure odds and it appears the rest of the draw are falling apart around her. It’s never easy to win back to back majors, especially the French-Wimbledon double in such a quick turnaround. Barty had a small break after Wimbledon, and is slowly working her way back into it. Showed enough in the Cincinnati Masters that she’s a huge chance at the US Open. Despite being in the ‘horror half’, her draw is actually quite nice up until the Quarters. She’ll potentially face Sakkari in the third round, who does trouble her somewhat but really should cruise to the final 8 where Serena potentially awaits. I think she’s good enough to win the whole thing, especially considering the form and injury concerns of the top players in contention.

Next Best

Bianca Andreescu @ $15

The Canadian was awesome in winning the Rogers Cup, and despite having some injuries this season she’s crept into the world top 15. The 19-year-old’s form on hard court in 2019 is elite, with a record of 35-4! She’s now claimed three titles this year, including two Masters 1000 events – Indian Wells and the Rogers Cup in her home country. She also did some damage in Miami in March, before being forced to retire hurt. Has been a huge year for the Canadian, and is certainly a chance in what is the easier, unpredictable half.

Karolina Pliskova @ $13

Don’t get me wrong, the Czech is a very, very good player on tour but has perennially underachieved at majors. Had a great opportunity at Wimbledon this year rolling into it in some of the best form of her career, but disappointed once again. Is a Finalist here when she was somewhat unknown in 2016, and has reached the Quarters the last two years, and I expect something similar again this year. Should get a relatively easy run to the Quarter Final stage.

Anett Kontaveit @ $81

What did I say about the unpredictable weaker half of the draw? The Estonian has bombed out in the first round the last three years at Flushing Meadows, yet I can still make a case for her to reach the second week – or even the Semi Finals. She could also quite easily go out in the second round, when she’ll likely face the in-form Czech $17 to win her quarter.

Value Bet

Sofia Kenin @ $23

Outstanding form leading into the US Open, playing in front of her home country. Semi Finalist in Cincinnati where she just couldn’t get her serve going against Madison Keys, off the back of another Semi Final in the Rogers Cup going down to eventual winner Andreescu. Is 23-9 on the hard courts this year with plenty of scalps – Barty, Osaka, Svitolina and Serena Williams just to name a few. Could have got her at $41 during the Cincinnati Masters as advised, but unsure whether the $23 is that appealing anymore being in the quarter of death. In fact, Kenin’s draw is extremely difficult all the way through starting from Coco Vandeweghe in the first round. She’ll also have to get through Madison Keys, Svitolina or Yastremska, and Pliskova. Chance for the Quarters, but might be too much going beyond there.

Petra Kvitova @ $26

Opens the US Open with a qualifier, which is the perfect preparation for her coming off a forearm injury. Appears she’s now back fully fit after having some serious troubles during the clay season. Is dangerous in any tournament, proven by her dominance at the Australian Open at the start of the year on the hard courts. Being in the second quarter of the draw, it could well and truly open up for her with plenty of upsets, but as it stands will likely face Garbine Muguruza in the round of 16, and the winner of Andreescu and Halep in the Quarters. Assess how she plays her first two matches – if she has two dominant wins, might be worth backing her then.

Draw

Quarter Finals

Kontaveit def Goerges
Andreescu def Pliskova
Pliskova def Kenin
Barty def Williams

Semi Finals

Andreescu def Kontaveit
Barty def Pliskova

Final

Barty def Andreescu

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