Doncaster Rovers v Rotherham United
Live on Sky Sports Football
This will be the first meeting between these two sides since 2007, and it's Doncaster that hold sway on the market with their 2.48 price. Rovers reside in a lowly 17th position in League One, whilst Rotherham are hovering around the playoff places in 7th - yet are much bigger at 2.96. If they push 2/1 come Saturday, that is a big price.
However, to temper the excitement on Rotherham's numbers here and be a killjoy, their away form has been holding them back. A record of just two victories and five defeats on the road is somewhat disparate to their rip-roaring home form. If only they could do both.
The Millers are 5/4 on the Sportsbook for a Top Six Finish.
I can't have Doncaster here. Their form coming into this reads WLWL and are typical of a League One side and all their inconsistencies. At home they picked up wins against Portsmouth (2-1) and Southend (4-1), yet lost the following game 0-3 to Walsall. They are that sort of team, and I certainly would want 3/1 or bigger if I were to back Darren Ferguson's men. They could win this of course, but I don't trust them as favourites.
Rovers were drawing plenty of games at the start of the season (first three were 0-0, 3-3 and 0-0), so I wouldn't put anyone off trading the outright Draw from around the 3.65 mark.
Form Coming Into The Game
It was something of a mixed bag FA Cup-wise last weekend for the pair. Rotherham were knocked out by Crewe, but I can accept that, as Paul Warne's men have priorities in getting out of this division. Doncaster's knockout clash was a thrilling 6-2 win against Ebbsfleet - a game in which they were two goals down. Not so thrilling early on for Fergie.
In terms of League One form; Doncaster gained a 0-1 victory in their latest outing versus Bury. The Shakers lost their best player in Jermaine Beckford on 38 minutes, and were also reduced to 10 men through a red card. It was gritty if anything else from Rovers, but the result might be somewhat misleading. Opta stats inform us that Doncaster are looking to win back-to-back league games for the first time this term.
Rotherham surprisingly lost at home 1-3 to Gillingham in their most recent fixture, and were held 3-3 before that at Oxford. According to Opta; Rotherham haven't gone two games unbeaten on their travels since April 2016.
Warne's side gained a 0-1 victory in the live Sky TV clash against Portsmouth earlier this season, and it could be that sort of game - with the 0-1 Correct Score of interest at 10.50.
The loss to Gillingham was a harsh one to take, as the defence switched-off for two set-pieces. The bete noire of a third tier team.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
The Millers are a Jekyll and Hyde team. At home they bang in the goals and look all-over a promotion-winning side. At the New York they have won six and netted 22 (the most in League One), yet their excursions are not quite matching those home exploits with just seven goals scored in eight games - losing five to boot.
Rotherham have only hit the Over 2.5 target in away games three times, and it's the same 3/8 record for the Both Teams To Score.
The hosts are not anymore impressive with a 4/8 ratio on the Over 2.5 Goals. Donny are best when the play a 3-4-3 system that allows Jordan Houghton to play as the protector. It worked for the Bury win, and also was utilised in the 2-1 victory over Portsmouth.
Ferguson's side have at times played some attacking football this term and they like to keep the ball - however the Bury victory was a polar opposite to those principles. But it worked.
To Score Market
All eyes will be on 6ft 5in striker Kieffer Moore (although with that height it will be hard to miss him). The on-loan Ipswich forward has hit 12 goals in 16 appearances this season - which is more than any other player in the top-four tiers of English football. A not too unsurprising price of 2.06 awaits in this market, but it must be remembered that only two of his 12 have come away from home. There's mileage in a lay at those odds.
For Doncaster, Andy Williams needs to break his duck. He hasn't scored in five League One appearances thus far, yet he got himself into plenty of good positions against Bury. His odds are 2.84.
Opta point us towards Ben Whiteman - who has scored four of Doncaster's last six league goals. Only John Marquis (five) has netted more this season. Whiteman is a healthy 3.90 with Marquis at 2.36.
Back Rotherham United Draw No Bet 0.5pt @ 2.14
Lay Kieffer Moore to Score 0.5pt @ 2.06