La Liga Correct Score Predictor with Infogol: Tips for every fixture of GW8
Using Expected Goals (xG) data from Infogol, Tom Victor provides La Liga result and scoreline predictions as Real Sociedad aim to march on...
Eibar to build on surprise win in Seville
Eibar v Cádiz
Friday, 20:00
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Eibar's win at Sevilla was one of last week's standout results, even if it didn't reflect the xG at Ramón Sánchez Pizjuán, and José Luis Mendilibar's side can extend their unbeaten run to four with a win over fellow surprise package Cádiz. The visitors followed up their big win in Madrid by keeping Villarreal quiet, but Infogol's model expects Eibar to have the edge in a low-scoring game at Ipurua.
Back the 2-0 @ 12.50
Madrid to keep up the pressure at the top
Real Madrid v Huesca
Saturday, 13:00
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While Real Madrid continue to struggle in Europe, their win in last week's Clásico points to improvement domestically and they are expected to have too much for Huesca. Michel's side suffered a deserved defeat at Real Sociedad last weekend, and are still without a league win since returning to the top flight. Infogol anticipates a home win, and a comfortable one at that.
Sevilla to kick on after European win
Athletic Bilbao v Sevilla
Saturday, 15:15
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Sevilla's victory over Rennes was big for two reasons. Firstly, it kept them in touch with group leaders Chelsea in the Champions League, and secondly it ended a concerning run of four games without a win and three without a goal. Opponents Athletic have averaged just 0.91 xGF across their last six games, and this will give the visitors confidence of turning a 43% chance of victory (per Infogol's model) into three points.
Back the 0-2 @ 12.50
Atléti to pass tricky Osasuna test
Osasuna v Atlético Madrid
Saturday, 17:30
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Osasuna have been tough to beat of late, keeping three straight clean sheets, but visitors Atlético Madrid have found their shooting boots at the right time. Diego Simeone's side came from behind to beat Red Bull Salzburg in midweek, and haven't conceded in La Liga since their first game. Infogol gives the visitors a 50% chance of victory, with just a 47% chance of both sides finding the net.
Alavés to come unstuck against Barcelona
Alavés v Barcelona
Saturday, 20:00
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Barcelona rebounded from their Clásico defeat with a statement-making victory at Juventus, and the sight of Ousmane Dembélé on the scoresheet will have been a welcome one. They're up against an Alavés side who they beat 5-0 at Mendizorrotza on the final day of last season, and Infogol's model predicts another away win despite Pablo Machin's side beating Valladolid last time out.
Betis to burst Elche's bubble
Real Betis v Elche
Sunday, 13:00
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Betis might have lost four of their last five, but the fixture list has not been kind to Manuel Pellegrini's team. They'll be more optimistic at home to Elche, despite Jorge Almirón's side going unbeaten in four, though the visitors will hope they can continue defying xG to pick up points at Benito Villamarín. Infogol backs the home win, with both teams finding the net.
La Real to stay top with away win
Celta Vigo v Real Sociedad
Sunday, 15:00
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Real Sociedad's rise to the top of the table is built on strength at both ends, with Imanol Alguacil's side boasting the best goals scored tally and the second best when it comes to goals conceded. Opponents Celta are coming off five winless games, with nothing in the xG totals suggesting any of the results were travesties, and the visitors are 41% to steal victory at Balaídos.
Granada to make it three in a row in the league
Granada v Levante
Sunday, 17:30
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The fixtures are coming thick and fast for Granada, who host PAOK in Europe before welcoming Levante to Nuevo Los Cármenes, but they've been holding firm domestically. Diego Martínez's side have responded brilliantly to an opening thrashing by Atlético Madrid, and Infogol gives them a 45% chance of picking up a third straight league win on Sunday and make up for last season's last-gasp defeat against the same opponent.
Valencia to get back to winning ways
Valencia v Getafe
Sunday, 20:00
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Both Valencia and Getafe lost last week, but Javi Gracia's side were desperate unlucky to come up empty after dominating against Elche. The hosts threw away a 3-1 lead to draw this fixture last season, but Infogol's model anticipates less in the way of goalmouth action this time around and gives Los Che the narrowest of edges.
Valladolid to stay bottom with Villarreal defeat
Villarreal v Real Valladolid
Monday, 20:00
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Sergio González's future at Valladolid has been questioned after seven winless games to start the 2020-21 season, and things aren't likely to be much easier away to Villarreal. The corresponding fixture last year ended 2-0 to the hosts and Infogol anticipates more of the same at La Cerámica - the visitors will have to hope a long trip to Azerbaijan on Thursday night takes the energy out of Unai Emery's men.
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