Bournemouth v Liverpool: Follow this Liverpool trend for a juicy price
Andy Schooler is following a strong Liverpool trend of the season to get a juicy price about them beating Bournemouth in the Premier League on Saturday.
Bournemouth v Liverpool Saturday December 7, 15:00
Liverpool began their nine-game December very much as expected - by wiping the floor with Merseyside rivals Everton.
Much has been made of their hectic month, one which brings matches in three competitions and includes a trip to Qatar for the FIFA Club World Cup.
December: Quantity not quality
Yet while the quantity is indeed large, the quality of the sides they will face this month could have been a lot worse.
Having dealt with woeful Everton they now face a Bournemouth side who have lost their last four games and have won just one of their last 10 in all competitions. Rock-bottom Watford will be the Reds' next Premier League opponents after this one.
With that domestic schedule, you can bet your bottom dollar that Jurgen Klopp's focus for the last couple of weeks has been Tuesday's Champions League game in Salzburg where a defeat would almost certainly end their reign as European kings.
Everton were beaten with a much-changed team and rotation will continue here with Klopp's best XI saved for midweek.
Expect the likes of Joe Gomez and Nabi Keita to start at Dean Court. Keeper Alisson returns from suspension. As for those getting a rest, Sadio Mane and at least one of the full-backs seem prime candidates ahead of the trip to Austria.
Whoever takes to the field, Liverpool seem likely to prove too strong for a Bournemouth squad riddled with injury.
David Brooks has been sorely missed all season, while stalwart Charlie Daniels is another big, long-term absentee. More recently Steve Cook has joined the injury list, while Adam Smith took a knock during Tuesday's defeat at Crystal Palace and is a doubt.
Another of their star men, Josh King, missed that game but may return here which would be a much-needed boost given loanee Harry Wilson can't play against his parent club.
Boss Eddie Howe has regularly been linked with bigger clubs - Everton being her latest example - but a notable black mark on his CV has been his inability to arrest a mid-season slide.
The current one-win-in-10 scenario is simply history repeating itself - the Cherries have often been stuck in a rut around this time of the campaign.
Last season they lost 11 of 14 between November and January; the season before they failed to win in nine from November to December.
2016/17 also brought a run of nine games without a win, while Bournemouth's debut season in the Premier League saw them go 10 matches without tasting victory.
Reds look rock solid
I give them little chance of arresting their current slide against the runaway leaders with odds of 7.80 about the home side winning the match making little appeal, especially when you also consider they've lost the last four against Liverpool by a combined scoreline of 14-0.
Liverpool look a rock-solid play for the big-hitters and acca punters at 1.44. For the record, the draw is up at 5.40.
However, it is the goals markets where the value surely lies.
Liverpool have won this specific fixture 4-0 in each of the past two seasons - any away win with the visitors scoring four can be backed at 5.20 in the correct-score market this time - while the two Anfield games in that period have ended 3-0.
On the handicaps, Liverpool (-2) is on offer at 4.00, while over 2.5 goals - something which has occurred in 13 of the visitors' 15 league games this season plus nine of Bournemouth's - is at 1.56.
Follow the trend
However, the way to get a much juicier price about a Liverpool victory is to back them to win with both teams scoring.
That's happened a remarkable 12 times (out of 15) this season with the Reds having kept just two clean sheets.
An almost unstoppable attack (they've scored in every game) means any defensive concerns have been quickly brushed aside but worries remain among a fanbase craving title glory that more solidity is needed at the back.
Newcastle, Brighton, Southampton, Norwich and Everton (twice) have all breached the Virgil van Dijk-led backline and Bournemouth can follow suit.
Yes, they are on a bad run and they certainly failed to impress on Tuesday when losing against 10-man Palace, but they've scored in all three games they've played against the current top five (Man City, Leicester and Wolves) while they've also netted twice against Spurs during their current four-game losing streak.
Those goals both came fairly late on and it would be no surprise for the likes of England international Callum Wilson or Ryan Fraser to find a way through in the latter stages of this one.
Liverpool will certainly be keen to get a couple of goals clear early on, something they are more than capable of doing. If that happens, expect Klopp to tweak his side with second-half substitutions which could easily open up further chinks in the armour.
Despite it having happened so often, Liverpool to win with both teams scoring is available at 2.82 - or 17/10 with the Sportsbook - which simply looks too big.
Liverpool's Mohamed Salah has scored in all four of his Premier League games against Bournemouth (six goals in total), the only side he's got a 100% record against in the competition.