Swansea v Watford
Monday January 18, 20:00 GMT
Live on Sky Sports 1

Swansea
A win for Newcastle against West Ham means that Swansea go into this match in therelegation zone. They will need to take all three points to move back up to 17th and who would have predicted that back in August when they beat Manchester United 2-1 on this ground?
Since then Garry Monk has been sacked - replaced by interim boss, Alan Curtis, till the end of the season - and they have sold Jonjo Shelvey to relegation rivals, Newcastle, in what has to be a questionable business decision.
Things just aren't right in South Wales and while they have started scoring goals again recently, it's now three defeats on the bounce - including a humiliating FA Cup exit to League Two's, Oxford United.

Watford
The Hornets have enjoyed a much better campaign as they are safely positioned in 12th place in the table and through to the fourth round of the FA Cup. They still aren't safe from being dragged into a relegation battle though and while they aren't in crisis, it is now just one point from a possible 12 in the league and three defeats on the spin.
Their opponents have seemingly cottoned on to how to deal with the Ighalo/Deeney partnership by playing three at the back but I'm not convinced that the duo will prove ineffective against that formation - they just need to adapt their style slightly.
There are also no guarantees that The Swans will opt to play that way as they have quite a settled defence that have only conceded 30 goals so far this year - the best return out of the bottom seven.

Match Odds
Swansea 2.46 Watford 3.40 The Draw 3.30
This is a market that I am very keen to avoid as there are so many variables. Will Swansea play three at the back? Will Watford be back to their best? Will the hosts dig deep to pick up a much needed win now that they are in the relegation zone?
It's definitely a no bet for me and I'd rather concentrate on goals.

Over/Under 2.5 Goals
Over 2.5 Goals 2.46 Under 2.5 Goals 1.67
The market is predicting a low-scoring affair here but I don't really agree. Swansea had been struggling for goals but in their last three games they have netted five times. They still don't have a striker who's name sticks out as a potential 15-20 goal a season man, but they have at least started putting the ball in the net again.
Unfortunately for them, the defence has gone to pieces and after keeping three clean sheets in a row, they then went on to concede two at Man United, three at Oxford and four at home to Sunderland in the week.
I'm not concerned that Watford failed to score at St Mary's on Wednesday as The Saints have started playing well again. In Odion Ighalo they have the third leading scorer in the division this season and Troy Deeney is an excellent foil for him.
The pair of them will be licking their lips at the prospect of facing a leaking Swansea defence and I can see them getting plenty of joy.
Not only do I think Over 2.5 goals is an excellent price, I would also back 'Yes' in the Both Teams to Score Market at odds-against as well.

Cash Out
A correct score of 2-2 is currently trading at around the 21.00 mark and that seems a touch overpriced. I really can't see which way this game will go, but I expect plenty of goals.
Backing 2-2 at that kind of price could prove a profitable cash out option, even if the match doesn't eventually finish that way.

Recommended Bets
Back Over 2.5 Goals @ 2.46
Back Both Teams to Score @ 2.06
Best Cash Out
Back a 2-2 Correct Score @ 21.00

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