Tottenham v Chelsea
Saturday, 17:30
Live on BT Sport

Spurs have shown vulnerability at home

Having accumulated just six points on home Wembley turf this season, it's initially hard to fathom how Spurs are riding high with nearly a third of the season gone.
That's due to the lopsided fixture list - caused by their new stadium not being ready - which has resulted in Spurs playing eight of their 12 matches on the road.
They've done brilliantly on their travels, winning seven times (three more than any one in the division) to sit in fourth spot with 27 points, just one behind Saturday's rivals and five off leaders Man City.
But as Spurs are at home, it's necessary to shine a light on their Wembley form and it ain't great.
Wins over Fulham and Cardiff are to be expected but when sitting the tougher examination papers they've failed, losing to Liverpool, Man City and, if extending this to Champions League, 2-4 against Barcelona.
In terms of team news, Jan Vertonghen could make his first appearance for almost two months which is good timing given that Davinson Sanchez has hamstring trouble.

Chelsea still unbeaten

Chelsea remain one of the three unbeaten sides alongside Man City and Liverpool but their pace has slowed a little with four draws in the last seven.
Those stalemates were away to West Ham, home to Liverpool, home to Man United and home to Everton so, like Spurs, they've got a better points-per-game ratio on their travels.
One other standout stat when perusing the Premier League table is that Maurizio Sarri's men have conceded just once in their five away games and that was at Newcastle back in August.
And yet, despite being unbeaten in 18 games in all comps, Sarri feels his side haven't quite hit the desired levels in the last few matches.
So, while both sides have an impressive amount of points in the bag, neither team are exactly purring ahead of this latest derby clash.

Draw look the bet

The betting is tight with Chelsea marginal favourites at 2.68 and Tottenham trading at 2.86.
The Draw is the outsider of the three results at 3.55 and that's the bet that stands out.
Firstly, let's get this out of the way: Tottenham haven't drawn any of their last 16 Premier League games!
I'm not usually a fan of backing something that's 'due' because perhaps there are reasons why it hasn't happened.
But in Tottenham's case, nine of their 12 top-flight matches have been settled by a single goal so it's not as if they're either boom or bust. A lot of the time, there isn't much in it so surely a draw will pop up soon.
This looks an obvious candidate. These two are very good sides and yet neither is doing enough to convince me they have an edge.
If this was the Tottenham of White Hart Lane a few seasons ago, it might be a different story but Wembley has taken away some of their powers and Chelsea won this fixture last year via a late winner from Marcos Alonso.
However, five of the last 12 at Spurs have ended in stalemate and the current balance suggests another.
Mauricio v Maurizio? I'll take this particular dance to end in a draw.

Unders could offer value

Recent head-to-head history and the kick-off time likely to create extra atmosphere suggests Over 2.5 goals will be popular with many.
It's landed in five of the last six meetings in all comps and, going further back, in 11 of thee last 15.
However, it's just 1.80 so the market expects goals.
That said, Under 2.5 goals has been the outcome in five of Tottenham's last six Premier League games and four of those have had just a single goal.
With Chelsea conceding so few on the road, the goal count could be lower than instinct suggests so Unders at 2.18 is worth a look.

Kane odds-against

Harry Kane was in the right place at the right time yet again to give England a dramatic Wembley win over Croatia and he now has four in four for club and country.
Hardcore Kane backers will always pull the trigger at an odds-against price, 2.18, and his current stats support it.
Dele Alli has relished taking on the blue shirts in recent meetings, netting five times in his last four games against Chelsea.
He's 3.70 to wheel away in celebration again but just two goals for Spurs this season and none since September is a concern.
Sarri has said that Eden Hazard could score 40 goals this season and that didn't look daft after the Belgian star roared to the top of the Golden Boot standings with seven Premier League strikes in his first eight games.
The goals have dried up though. It's none in the last eight for Chelsea and Belgium and, on those numbers, 2.72 isn't leaping off the page.
Erik Lamela has been a good source of profit for scorer backers this season having bagged six in 15 but he was late getting back from international duty with Argentina and may have to settle for a place on the bench. He's 3.70 anytime.
Overall, Kane is the one in form again so looking at the Sportsbook's Same Game Multimarket, the 8.19 for a Kane scoring in a draw has appeal.

Opta Stat

Tottenham have won three of their last seven Premier League games against Chelsea, as many as they'd won in their previous 49 top-flight games against the Blues (W3 D18 L28)
RECOMMENDED BETS
2pts Draw at 3.55

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