Toffees to cover the handicap

Everton 1.44 v Cardiff 9.20; The Draw 5.00
It's just one defeat in seven now for Everton as Marco Silva's impact begins to gather momentum. They've won four of their last six league games including three on the spin at Goodison Park, all by at least a two-goal margin, so no prizes for guessing what my wager will be here.
The Toffees are potentially a very good team, I've felt that all season. Gylfi Sigurdsson is the star man in midfield, and links play to the attack just as good as any player in the division - and I'm talking the same standard as the likes of Christian Eriksens and Kevin de Bruyne here - as well as scoring his fair share of goals (six already this term), but Idrissa Gueye is perhaps the midfielder who doesn't get the credit he deserves.
The former Villa man is pivotal to Silva's style of play and is a rock in the centre of the park, which allows Sigurdsson to get forward and join the attack more times than not. Richarlisonhas been a huge success since his arrival from Watford, and Bernard appears to be settling in nicely also. And I'm a big fan of Cenk Tosun too, whose work rate is to be admired when he plays.
If Manchester United do fail to get into the top six this season then I think the Toffees have every chance of being the team that replaces them. They can be backed at 6.60 in the Top Six Finish market.
Silva's men will need to beat the likes of Cardiff on home soil if they are to challenge the top six however, and up until a few weeks ago you'd have been very confident about them doing exactly that. But the Bluebirds have shown some fight in recent weeks, winning twice to take themselves off the bottom of the table.
But you have to put those two home victories into perspective. One was against Fulham, who now sit rock bottom of the table after showing no form whatsoever in recent months, and the other was against Brighton who tend to struggle on their travels and were reduced to 10 men.
Everton really should be too good for Neil Warnock's men, and I fancy them strongly to make it four Premier League home wins on the trot by at least a two-goal margin.

Don't expect thrills at Old Trafford

Man Utd 1.42 v Crystal Palace 9.40; The Draw 5.20
Manchester United are becoming very difficult to predict both in terms of results and how they go about matters.
Winning away at Juventus was undoubtedly one of Jose Mourinho's greatest results as a manager, never mind just as the United boss, but his men followed that up a few days later with a desperately disappointing performance in the Manchester derby.
Just a few weeks ago United were excellent when being slightly unfortunate to come away from Stamford Bridge with a 2-2 draw, but again, just days before the Juventus game they were awful for 45 minutes against Bournemouth, before winning the game with a much improved second half performance.
Anthony Martial has been absolutely key to anything good United have done recently, scoring six times in his last seven games, and you just wonder, if it wasn't for his purple patch of form where exactly would United be? Perhaps of more interest, where would Mourinho be?
I'm just never convinced that this United team are going to dazzle me and score three or four goals. Everything looks laboured, and so many players are performing way below the standards we know they are capable of showing. And this is exactly the type of game where I can see the Red Devils struggling.
The Match Odds suggest they ought to win easily, playing at home to a Crystal Palace team largely out of form and really struggling to score goals. But I expect Roy Hodgson to go to Old Trafford with a clear plan to frustrate United and I won't be surprised in the slightest if this game ends up being a drab affair.
As always when one team is fancied to win easily, the Over 2.5 Goals option is trading at odds on - 1.80 on this occasion. I'm happy to go against that opinion and back Unders at 2.20.

Tough game ahead for the Reds

Watford 6.80 v Liverpool 1.56; The Draw 4.50
This promises to be a big week for Liverpool, who following a trip to Watford on Saturday then face a crucial Champions League game away to PSG on Wednesday night before hosting Everton in the Merseyside derby next weekend.
Jurgen Klopp will be desperate to keep tabs on Manchester City at the top of the Premier League table however, and is therefore likely to start with his best available XI at Vicarage Road. The Reds can be backed at 1.56 to win the game, but I expect it to be much tighter than those odds suggest.
The Hornets are enjoying a very good season and have only once failed to score in front of their own fans this term. In fact Javier Gracia's men have averaged exactly two goals scored per game in their five other Premier League matches this season, and that includes games against Tottenham (which they won) and Manchester United.
Admittedly this is the first of Liverpool's big games this week but I can't imagine they'd want a tough physical battle at Vicarage Road, and I'm sure Klopp will use all three substitutes at some point to try and keep his side fresh for Wednesday night, which might just disrupt their own rhythm. If Watford try and make it exactly the type of game Liverpool don't want then I can see them causing the Reds plenty of problems.
Goals look almost certain in this match, and we can back the Over 3.5 Goals option at 2.90, which when considering three of the last four meetings between these two have witnessed seven, six, and five goals, looks to be a very fair price.
But I'm happy to take the Reds on in the Match Odds market. The Hornets are a much better side than when holding Liverpool to a 3-3 draw last season, so being able to lay the away side at 1.58 makes plenty of appeal.
RECOMMENDED BETS
Back Everton -1 to Win @ 2.34 v Cardiff
Back Under 2.5 Goals @ 2.20 in Man Utd v Palace
Lay Liverpool @ 1.58 v Watford (best bet)

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