Krajinovic value to defeat Tiafoe

However, today's recommendation comes in the Filip Krajinovic against Frances Tiafoe match, with Krajinovic coming into the match in superb shape following a win in the Heilbronn Challenger, final in the Budapest ATP event and final in Sophia Antipolis Challenger - three consecutive finals.
Statistically, Krajinovic is running at a level far in excess of what Tiafoe can boast on the surface (Krajinovic is over 120% combined hold/break on clay in Challengers across the last two years) and the 1.50 looks value - I make him 1.35 here. A slightly bigger price is the -3.5 game handicap, which is likely to start the match around the 1.80 mark, and that's my recommendation.

Edmund Chardy over 38.5 total games @ $1.85

Kyle Edmund’s form continues to slip, and has never been great on clay. The Brit is 1-5 on clay this year, and faces French native Jeremy Chardy who’s form hasn’t been too bad. Was really impressive at Madrid claiming the scalp of Schwartzman and knocked off fellow countryman Richard Gasquet in the Italian Open. Expect this match to go to at least four sets, with the likelihood of a tie-breaker quite high. If Chardy’s form at the Australian Open is anything to go by, he was involved a 58-game match in the first round and 55-game match in the second round.

Djokovic Hurkacz over 28.5 total games @ $1.82

We should all expect a straight sets win for Novak in this one, but that’s far too short ($1.43) against a tricky opponent in Pole Hubert Hurkacz. The 22-year-old stands at 6’5 with some powerful ground strokes and a troubling serve, and has now moved to 43 in the world in the rankings. It only takes one tie-breaker or a brain fade set from Djokovic to clear this 28.5 total games line, and his opponent is capable of pulling either off.

Frances Tiafoe @ $2.72

At extremely long odds in this one, off the back of a sensational Australian Open. Clearly clay isn’t Tiafoe’s surface of choice, but you can also say the same for his opponent Filip Krajinovic. The Serb certainly has some shots in his arsenal, but noting on that of Tiafoe. Has shown enough in the lead-up at Portugal and Madrid that he’s not a complete write-off on clay, and is clearly the more talented in this match-up. Like the value here.

Women’s Tips

Bet TypeSelections
Best BetYulia Putintseva @ $1.74
Circuit BetJohanna Konta 2-0 @ $1.64
Circuit BetKanepi Goerges over 21.5 total games @ $1.91
Circuit BetLauren Davis @ $1.93
Circuit BetMihaela Buzarnescu 2-0 @ $2.07
Value BetTamara Zidansek @ $2.78

Yulia Putintseva @ $1.74

Putintseva comes into the French Open off the back of winning the Nuremberg Cup, to round off a reasonable clay lead-up. What else is in her favour is the fact she made the Quarter Finals at Roland Garros last year, proving she’s clearly a fan of the surface and conditions. She also reached the Quarters here in 2016, plus a third round loss to Muguruza in 2017 resulting in a 12-5 career record in the French Open. As for her 23-year-old opponent Rebecca Peterson, she’s only played in the French Open last year where she advanced to the second round. The Kazakh in Putintseva will once again thrive at Roland Garros and advance in this one.

Johanna Konta 2-0 @ $1.64

What a revival it has been for Konta, when many thought she was just a flash in the pan player. Was the world number 4 player in 2017 off the back of a Wimbledon Semi Final appearance, and everything has gone pear-shaped since then. But recent form indicates she may have turned the corner, albeit on clay of all surfaces. She reached the Final in Morocco going down to the red-hot Maria Sakkari, before reaching the Final in the Italian Open losing to Karolina Pliskova whilst claiming the scalps of Bertens and Stephens along the way. Her opponent here is German Antonia Lottner, ranked 147 in the world. Based on Konta’s current form, a straight sets win is on the cards.

Tamara Zidansek @ $2.78

Very keen on the value on offer for the Slovenian, Zidansek. The 21-year-old has moved to 60 in the world, reaching the Final at the Nuremberg Cup going down to Putintseva after taking the first set. She’ll ride this form up against Elise Mertens; a more than promising Belgian talent ranked 20 in the world, but in a major slump at the moment. She’s 2-5 on clay in the lead-up, including four first round exits and only one of those seven opponents inside the top 50. I like the Slovenian to cause an upset here bringing in her form from Nuremberg.

Multi

Edmund Chardy over 38.5 total games
Putintseva H2H
Konta 2-0

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