The Editors' Premier League Betting Battle 2019-20: Round 28

With four of the five editors in profit, it's promising to be one of the best Betting Battles we've seen and the pressure is on to keep landing winners. Here's where their tenners are headed...

Clarets can continue winning run

Dan Thomas
Back Burnley to beat Newcastle at 3.00
Saturday, 15:00
Regular listeners of our Football...Only Bettor podcast will be aware that Newcastle are statistically the worst side in the Premier League, on underlying performance.
The Magpies have, for example, faced more shots on target than any other Premier League side so far this season (158) and they are on a terrible run, winless in their last four Premier League games (D2 L2), failing to score in their last three.
They face a Burnley side who have won four of their last five Premier League games, drawing the other one, and yet the market has the hosts as favourites at around 2.80 with the Clarets at 3.00. The away win is the bet.
Sean Dyche's men are looking for their third away victory on the bounce, after wins at Old Trafford and St Mary's and one goal will probably be enough. Newcastle have scored a huge 50% of their goals via set pieces, but only 5% of the goals conceded by Burnley have come from these situations so it's hard to see the Magpies creating anything.

Nuno to outsmart Jose in north London

Jake Osgathorpe
Back Wolves to beat Tottenham at 3.30
Sunday, 14:00
Jake is away but you can see his reasoning behind the selection in his Premier League Predictor column.

Homesick West Ham to receive another Hammers blow

Mike Norman
Back Southampton @ 2.66 to beat West Ham
Saturday, 15:00
West Ham produced a much improved performance at Anfield on Monday night but they still go into Saturday's game against Southampton with the Saints trading as the 2.66 favourites to win. I was hoping for a little better but on a tricky weekend of games I'll take it.
David Moyes' men are winless in their last eight games and if we're being honest they've been absolutely dreadful in some of those matches. It's easy to get yourself up for a televised clash against Liverpool but this game is the real test. I fancy they'll fluff their lines.
Southampton have been much improved of late, winning six of their last 10 league games, but what has been most impressive about their recent form is their performances on the road. Ralph Hasenhuttl's men won four league away games on the spin - including victories at Chelsea and Leicester - before losing to Liverpool recently, and they now face an out-of-form West Ham team who have been pretty awful at the London Stadium.
Since beating Manchester United back in September the Hammers have won just one of their last 11 home games, and that came against a massively out-of-form Bournemouth side. Now up against one of the best away teams in the Premier League in recent months I fancy Moyes' men will once again suffer in front of their own fans.

M23 Derby will end in stalemate

Joe Dyer
Back a Palace-Brighton draw @ 3.30
Saturday, 12:45
Live on BT Sport 1
It's another tough week in the Premier League and I confess there are no standout bets for me across the eight fixtures.
But we can't take a week off of battling and so I'll take a chance that Brighton and Palace settle for a point apiece once the dust settles on the early Saturday KO.
The two sides are closely matched - it's 15th hosting 13th - and a stalemate looks the likeliest result to me.
Palace struggle for goals but are tight at the back and while Brighton are a little looser, there's a big disparity in the goals conceded columns when playing at home compared to on their travels.
A 0-0 or 1-1 wouldn't surprise me in the slightest, but I'll just play it straight and back the draw.

Manchester United to stumble at Goodison Park

Jasmine Baba
Back Everton to win against Manchester United @ 2.70
I was at Everton's last match away to Arsenal and, like many (Arsenal fans) there, I thought the Toffees were unlucky to lose 3-2. The Gunners held on by the skin of their teeth to claim all three points and it was reflected in Infogol's XG Fairness table below. The visitors created a lot and only lost through their poor defending of set pieces, as well as not being as clinical as they usually are in front of goal.
This is something they can rectify against Manchester United, who despite their own recent good form, are still questionable away from home with two wins and three losses in their last five away games. It's also worth noting that if we're checking Premier League teams in terms of form (the last five games), no team has won more points than Everton (11) apart from Manchester City (13) and Liverpool (15).
I think they're being underrated at 2.70 at home to such a unpredictable team who also played on a Thursday night.

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