Leicester v Tottenham: Spurs can wreck Foxes' top-four hopes

Leicester v Tottenham: Spurs can wreck Foxes' top-four hopes

Leicester's Champions League fate is now out of their hands and Spurs can deliver the final killer blow on Sunday, says Dave Tindall...

Leicester set to lose out

Supporters are back in Premier League grounds although it hasn't proved a magic wand in a season where so many teams have racked up terrible home records.

Although limited in number, it was hoped that the fan effect would show in the penultimate round of fixtures but Week 37 produced five away wins, a draw and just three home successes.

Leicester's home form could ultimately be their undoing this season. They've lost eight times in the league at the King Power this term, the sort of numbers you'd expect from a bottom-third team.

That doesn't bode well and neither does their poor form during the run-in.

While winning the FA Cup was brilliant, it looks to have come at a cost. Leicester were focused - and who can blame them - on lifting silverware and so, for the second season running, it looks as if they might fall short of a top-four slot despite residing there for the vast majority of the campaign.

With goal difference now against them, they have to better Liverpool's result to finish higher than the resurgent Reds. To overcome Chelsea they almost certainly need a win unless Thomas Tuchel's men take a big beating at Aston Villa.

So this is virtually must-win territory and, if so, they risk being picked off by a Spurs team who can cause trouble and score plenty of goals on the break.

Tottenham set for Kane departure

Harry Kane's likely departure has put something of a cloud over Spurs although, to be fair, plenty of their fans will tell you it was raining already.

Seventh looks about the best Spurs can manage as they start the final day three points back from sixth-placed West Ham, who are at home to Southampton.

Spurs have alternated wins and losses for their last six matches which sums up their inconsistency although, if you like patterns, they're due a victory having lost 2-1 at home to Aston Villa last time.

That could well have been Kane's farewell to the 10,000 who were let in so it was a disappointment that he couldn't find the net.

This offers a final chance but Tottenham's away form has faded. Their tally of seven away wins is the fewest of the top 11 although a more optimistic assessment is that they've lost just six of 18 on the road so are no pushovers and 29 goals scored is pretty healthy.

In fact, Spurs are the fifth highest scorers in the top-flight this season.

Foxes clear favourites but Spurs look best bet

It's hard not to view Leicester through the prism of their FA Cup win. That was the first time they'd ever lifted the trophy and it feels a little like Everest has been climbed

Two pretty gruelling games against Chelsea in the last week may have taken the edge off them and, when adding in their poor home form, they look dodgy betting material at just over Even Money despite knowing they have to win to stand any chance of finishing in the top four.

Leicester are passed over at 2.04 and so is The Draw at 4.3 given that they've had just one all season at the King Power.

But Spurs at 3.5 do appeal.

Imagine how Leicester will feel if news gets through that Liverpool and Chelsea are winning comfortably?

There's also a scenario where the hosts go in search of goals and Tottenham - always a threat on the break - cash in.

I like Spurs for the win but will play them in a different market.

Overs looks short but justified

Spurs have won five of the last eight games against Leicester and six of those featured three goals or more. That includes a 5-4 win.

Overs 2.5 Goals is 1.6 while Unders is 2.52.

It's a similar deal with Both teams to Score, with 'Yes' clear favourite at 1.57 and 'No' at 2.62.

Three of the last five have seen a clean sheet which gives hope to 'No' backers.

Goalscorers the key in Bet Builder option

A couple of pro Harry Kane stats. Firstly, he's scored seven goals on final day, a tally only bettered by three other players in Premier League history.

But even more compelling is that he's blasted 14 goals in just 11 games against Leicester. That includes a four-goal salvo in a 6-1 away win.

Now to a man in blue. Since early February, Kelechi Iheanacho has been in sensational form. The Nigerian has racked up 16 goals in just 19 games so has taken over from Jamie Vardy as Leicester's dangerman.

I want him on board too so let's take a wander over to the Bet Builder to tie it all together.

The bet is: Kelechi Iheanacho to score anytime, Harry Kane to score anytime and Spurs to win at approximately 21.0.

It's ambitious but the rewards could be great.