Juventus v Zenit: Old Lady can get back to winning ways

Juventus v Zenit: Old Lady can get back to winning ways

Juventus have hit a rough patch, but Dan Fitch has his money on them getting a much needed win against Zenit.

Juventus 1.58 v Zenit St Petersburg 7.2; The Draw 4.3
Tuesday 2 November, 20:00
Live on BT Sport Extra

Juve have lost form since Zenit win

Juventus are in a strong position in Group H, but come into their game against Zenit in poor form.

The Old Lady have won all of their three group games, which includes a home victory against the Champions League holders Chelsea. Juve beat Zenit 1-0 in the reverse fixture and are top of Group H, but have not won a game since that victory (P3 D1 L2).

A 1-1 draw away at the Serie A title holders Inter was not a bad result, yet they have subsequently lost 2-1 against both Sassuolo and Verona. That has left Juventus ninth in Serie A, with a huge 16-point gap between them and the leaders Napoli.

Zenit are third in Group H, losing by a narrow 1-0 scoreline to both Chelsea and Juve. Their only win was a 4-0 thrashing of Malmo and realistically a third place finish and a Europa League spot surely beckons. They have at least been in good domestic form since losing to Juve, beating Spartak Moscow 7-1 and Dinamo Moscow 4-1. Zenit are top of the Russian Premier League with a five point lead over second placed Lokomotiv Moscow.

Narrow victory key to value

Juventus are the 1.58 favourites, with the draw at 4.3 and Zenit at 7.2.

That's a short price for Juve considering their current form. The key to boosting it could be the likelihood of a low scoring game.

For both teams, two out of three of their group games have only seen one goal. That makes under 2.5 goals look generously priced at 2.0. You can back a Juventus win and under 2.5 goals at 3.75.