Serie A Correct Score Predictions

Serie A Correct Score Predictions: Back Inter and Napoli to win in GW38

Chloe uses Infogol stats to make correct score predictions for every game in Serie A this weekend as the action concludes in Italy's top flight.

Toro to take advantage

Torino v AS Roma
Friday May 20, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 3

As they await next week's final, there is no doubt that Roma have been distracted by their UEFA Conference League campaign, going winless in their last five Serie A matches as a result.

They have seen under 2.5 goals in five of their last six, and now come up against a Torino side who have conceded fewer goals than all but the top four sides in the division this term (38).

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Back Torino to win 1-0 @ 12.0

Goodbye Grifone

Genoa v Bologna
Saturday May 21, 16:15
Live on ESPN UK

Having been promoted way back in 2007, Genoa have been relegated back to Serie B following an abysmal campaign that has seen them have as many managers (4) as games won.

Yet they might pull off another here, against a Bologna side who have failed to win any of their last nine away games in Serie A and haven't scored away against Genoa in the past three meetings.

Another interesting note is that Genoa have won the final game in each of the last two seasons, while Bologna have only one once on the last day of the previous 11 campaigns.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back Genoa to win 2-1 @ 9.0

Empoli need it to end

Atalanta v Empoli
Saturday May 21, 19:45
Live on ESPN UK

The Infogol model gives Empoli just a 13% chance of winning this encounter, and it is easy to see why after the Tuscan side managed just one victory in their last 20 outings. However, Atalanta have struggled of late too, winning just one of their last 10 home matches in Serie A.

However, it should be noted that Atalanta are unbeaten in the last nine meetings between these two side and they have kept six clean sheets over that same spell.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Back Atalanta to win 2-0 @ 8.0

Bianconeri beaten

Fiorentina v Juventus
Saturday May 21, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

Trophyless for the first time since 2011, this has been a poor season by Juve's own lofty standards, and Fiorentina supporters would enjoy seeing them lose one more time before it's over.

Their last two meetings in Florence have ended in a draw, and the Viola have been excellent at home this season, keeping five clean sheets in their last seven outings at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back Fiorentina to win 1-0 @ 9.5

Lazio looking good

Lazio v Hellas Verona
Saturday May 21, 19:45
Live on BT Sport Extra 3

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 19 of Lazio's last 24 games in Serie A, while the Biancocelesti have only lost three of their last 31 outings at the Stadio Olimpico. One of those was to Hellas last season, but that was Verona's first win in Rome in their last 13 visits.

This could be a high scoring affair too as there have been over 2.5 goals scored in 19 of Lazio's last 24 games in Serie A.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back Lazio to win 2-1 @ 7.5

Strange Spezia record

Spezia v Napoli
Sunday May 22, 11:30
Live on BT Sport Extra 1

The Infogol model gives Spezia just a 17% chance of victory here, which seems odd given they have won two of the last three meetings between these two sides. However, in each of their previous three meetings with Napoli, the away team has won every time, and the Aquilotti have struggled at home of late too.

Indeed, Thiago Motta's men have lost each of their last three games at the Stadio Alberto Picco and have conceded 10 goals in the process.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back Napoli to win 3-1 @ 9.5

Nerazzurri need this

Inter v Sampdoria
Sunday May 22, 17:00
Live on BT Sport 1

The last six meetings between these two have seen 3+ goals scored every time, and both teams have always scored, meaning one of the title-deciding games could well be an entertaining encounter.

The Infogol model gives Sampdoria just an 8% chance of victory, and it is easy to see why given that Inter have lost just two of their last 35 home games while the Blucerchiati have just one win in their last 11 away games in all competitions.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back Inter to win 3-1 @ 9.0

Milan to conquer the Mapei

Sassuolo v AC Milan
Sunday May 22, 17:00
Live on ESPN UK

Getting one final point here would see the Rossoneri clinch their first Serie A title in 11 years, and after keeping eight clean sheets in their last 10 games, Milan have certainly delivered when it matters.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 26 of Sassuolo's last 31 games in Serie A, with the Neroverdi having conceded at least once in each of their last 15 home games to set a new club record.

Sassuolo have won the last two meetings between these two sides at the Mapei Stadium, but Milan will undoubtedly be in the mood to end that streak.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Back AC Milan to win 2-0 @ 8.5

A must-win game

Salernitana v Udinese
Sunday May 22, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 1

Having overseen a remarkable turnaround over the past few weeks, Davide Nicola will hope he can mastermind one final victory that would guarantee Salernitana remain in Serie A next season.

A seven-match unbeaten run has put the Granata two points ahead of Cagliari, but with their head-to-head record dead even and far inferior goal difference, a draw here might not be enough to stay up.

Udinese have lost two of their last three games and there have been over 2.5 goals scored in eight of their last 10.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back Salernitana to win 2-1 @ 7.5

Sardinian sorrow?

Venezia v Cagliari
Sunday May 22, 20:00
Live on BT Sport 2

Two of the bottom three go head-to-head here, as already relegated Venezia say goodbye to the top flight knowing that even a draw would see their opponents join them in Serie B next term.

Venezia have just one win in their last 13 games and have conceded at least two goals in each of their last five home matches, while Cagliari have lost eight of their last 10 games.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Back a 2-2 draw @ 13.0