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Serie A Betting: Favour Inter in Florence

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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Fiorentina v Inter</span><br /><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Saturday, 19:45</span><br /><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Live on BT Sport Extra 2</span></span><br /><br />After their resurgence under Stefano Pioli and all the talk of them being the coming force in Italian football, Inter have stumbled badly, and there's now serious talk of Pioli's job being on the line when they travel to the Artemio Franchi to face Fiorentina on Saturday night.<br /><br />Fiorentina have been a strange proposition this season, curiously lacking in direction and leadership, and with Paulo Sousa guaranteed to be on his way in the summer, the 2017-18 season will be a fresh start for them.<br /><br />Their loss against Empoli last time was just staggering, and Inter will travel with confidence. They may have failed to beat Milan, but they controlled large parts of the game and looked somewhere near their best.<br /><br />There are two pieces of key personnel news as well for La Viola: they'll be <span style="font-weight: 600;">without Gonzalo Rodriguez and Nikola Kalinic</span>, which weakens them significantly, and also means that Inter's terrible defence (the fifth worst over the last seven League games) may not be tested as much as it might have been.<br /><br />Rodriguez's absence means that Fiorentina will probably play a back three, with midfielder Carlos Sanchez deployed as a centre-half: that spells trouble against <span style="font-weight: 600;">Mauro Icardi, Ivan Perisic and Antonio Candreva. </span><br /><br />There'll likely be goals on Saturday night, it's hard to see them NOT being, but <span style="font-weight: 600;">the biggest surprise in the prices available is that Fiorentina and Inter are trading as joint favourites for the win</span>. Inter should be shorter, and Inter should win the game.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;">Recommended Bet<br /><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Back Inter to beat Fiorentina @</span> <span class="inline-odds" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; padding: 0px 2px 1px; position: relative;" title="7/4">2.70</span></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Sassuolo v Napoli</span><br />Sunday, 11:30<br />Live on BT Sport 3</span><br /><br />Napoli will almost certainly beat Sassuolo on Sunday morning, and <span style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">are priced at</span> <span class="inline-odds" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; padding: 0px 2px 1px; position: relative;" title="2/5">1.42</span>to do so</span>, but of more interest is the way that they're likely to do it.<br /><br />Maurizio Sarri's side are famously free scoring, and when on song they're the best team to watch in the division, and one of the most thrilling in Europe.<br /><br />And they seem to be in a good place at the moment, winning 32 points in the last 13 rounds, a mark that only Juventus can match, and brushing aside Udinese last weekend.<br /><br />They travel to play a Sassuolo side who <span style="font-weight: 600;">put an end to a run of five consecutive home defeats</span> last time, and who are one of those teams fortunate that the standard at the bottom of the table has been so execrable this season. In a stronger year, they could so easily be fighting relegation right now.<br /><br />Napoli, though, don't do things the easy way, and have <span style="font-weight: 600;">conceded in six of their last seven away games</span>, including against the likes of Chievo and Empoli (twice) and even when they scored seven in Bologna.<br /><br />Even though Sassuolo will be missing Gregoire Defrel, they have enough about them to take advantage of Napoli's concentration lapses, and they have <span style="font-weight: 600;">scored in each of their last four Serie A matches</span> (and Defrel has only one of those).<br /><br />It's a pretty poor weekend in Serie A, and so one where some of my more ambitious ideas go out of the window. <span style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Backing Both Teams to Score</span></span> in this may not be the most thrilling recommendation, but I think that it's a relatively safe one.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;">Recommended Bet<br /><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">"Yes" to Both Teams to Score in Sassuolo v Napoli @</span> <span class="inline-odds" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; padding: 0px 2px 1px; position: relative;" title="4/5">1.80</span></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: "arial" , "helvetica" , sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Udinese v Cagliari</span><br />Sunday, 14:00</span><br /><br />As I mentioned previously, this isn't a Serie A weekend to stir the senses, and we'll have much better opportunities going forward, but <span style="font-weight: 600;">I think there's a good chance of goals in Udine</span> this Sunday afternoon.<br /><br />Udinese lost in Naples last week, but that's excusable, and they'd been in a terrific patch of form before that. Cagliari have won three games from losing positions away from home this season, more than any other team in the League, and that gives you an idea of the way that Massimo Rastelli's side has started to play on their travels.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;">All of Cagliari's last three games have gone Over 3.5 Goals</span>, while the make-up of Udinese's last five games reads: 4, 5, 4, 3, 3 - those statistics are backed up with playing logic. These are two teams who've decided to play a certain way, and now that there isn't a great deal other than table position to play for, this could be wide open.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Over 3.5 Goals is available at</span> <span class="inline-odds" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; padding: 0px 2px 1px; position: relative;" title="7/4">2.70</span></span> which seems more than fair.<br /><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;">Recommended Bet<br /><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Back Over 3.5 Goals in Udinese v Cagliari @ </span><span class="inline-odds" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline: none; padding: 0px 2px 1px; position: relative; transition: color 0.2s;" title="7/4">2.70</span></span></span></div>
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<a href="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJLiswXoP8j7e-z3CKUE1aKjnetzXVPFAhsUm3S0tQBL1I4ZKFFpN00LiWI-3_5TPbPvcC785z0GThAeRKwJlLWxYHkOWtaJrS9c4kP8NxhVis3iUdfl5L6u3EkSlxvXYJR1LS_44_c9o/s1600/InterMilan-Fiorentina.jpg" imageanchor="1" style="clear: left; float: left; margin-bottom: 1em; margin-right: 1em;"><img border="0" height="428" src="https://blogger.googleusercontent.com/img/b/R29vZ2xl/AVvXsEgJLiswXoP8j7e-z3CKUE1aKjnetzXVPFAhsUm3S0tQBL1I4ZKFFpN00LiWI-3_5TPbPvcC785z0GThAeRKwJlLWxYHkOWtaJrS9c4kP8NxhVis3iUdfl5L6u3EkSlxvXYJR1LS_44_c9o/s640/InterMilan-Fiorentina.jpg" width="640" /></a></div>

Serie A Betting: Favour Inter in Florence

Fiorentina v Inter Saturday, 19:45 Live on BT Sport Extra 2 After their resurgence under Stefano Pioli and all the talk of them being the c...

11:50

Bundesliga Betting: Vulnerable Mainz to feel Bayern backlash

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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Bayern Munich v Mainz</span></span><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;">Saturday April 22, 14:30</span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">With a sense of deep injustice burning in their hearts, Bayern Munich left European football's VIP club on Tuesday night, dumped out of the Champions League by Real Madrid. Although Bayern can justifiably be aggrieved at the second-leg sending-off of <span style="font-weight: 600;">Arturo Vidal</span> and some atrocious offside decisions at the Bernabeu, the brutal truth is that Bayern fell short in the first leg in Munich. They failed to convert a penalty when already 1-0 up, and then collapsed when Javi Martinez had been sent off.</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">With the Champions League campaign now in tatters, domestic dominance is the target for coach <span style="font-weight: 600;">Carlo Ancelotti</span> in his first season. Bayern are eight points clear with only 15 left to play for, and they can still win the German Cup, although they have to play Borussia Dortmund in the semi-finals next week.</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Mainz boosted their survival hopes with last weekend's crucial 1-0 win over Hertha Berlin, and they were the only German side to beat Bayern in Munich in the Bundesliga last season, but I fear for them here. Martin Schmidt's men have <span style="font-weight: 600;">defended poorly</span> all season, and have lost nine of their last ten away matches in the league, conceding 21 goals in the process.</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Even if we give wounded Bayern a two-goal handicap, they should still overcome it, as they have done in their last six Bundesliga home wins.</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="font-weight: 600;">Recommended Bet</span><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Back Bayern Munich -2.0 on the Asian Handicap at</span> <span class="inline-odds" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; padding: 0px 2px 1px; position: relative;" title="20/21">1.96</span></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Hamburg v Darmstadt</span></span><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;">Saturday April 22, 14:30</span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">The way Darmstadt <span style="font-weight: 600;">postponed relegation</span> last weekend was typical of the way they have scrapped their way to success in recent seasons. Facing the drop, the Lilies scored with virtually the last kick of the game to secure a 2-1 win over Schalke, but I believe they'll reach the end of the road this weekend.</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Darmstadt are bottom, they have lost all 14 of their Bundesliga away games, and they visit a Hamburg team that has produced <span style="font-weight: 600;">red-hot home form</span> in the last few months. HSV have won seven of their last eight league games at the Volksparkstadion, which is just as well, because their wretched away displays have kept them in trouble. Markus Gisdol's side are only a point above the bottom three, with just five games of the season remaining.</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Hamburg won the reverse fixture 2-0, and I believe they will secure a similar result here. Five of Darmstadt's last seven away defeats have been by a margin of two goals or more, they have the worst attack and the worst defence in the league, and they are visiting what has become one of the Bundesliga's toughest venues for visiting sides.</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="font-weight: 600;">Recommended Bet</span><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Back Hamburg -1.5 on the Asian Handicap at [2.19]</span></span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Borussia Monchengladbach v Borussia Dortmund</span></span><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;">Saturday April 22, 17:30</span><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;">Live on BT Sport 1</span></span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">We will never know if Borussia Dortmund might have made it through their Champions League quarter-final against Monaco if they hadn't been the victims of a <span style="font-weight: 600;">frightening attack</span> on their team bus. In light of what happened less than a fortnight ago, BVB deserve credit for the way they have handled themselves as a group of players. They battled gamely against the Ligue 1 leaders, but every error they made over the two legs was painfully exposed by a side in terrific form.</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Now Dortmund must try to make sure they return to the Champions League, but at present they face the prospect of a playoff at the start of next season, as only Germany's top three sides qualify automatically for the group stage. Dortmund are fourth, and visit a Borussia Monchengladbach side that could still qualify for the Europa League, either through the league or through winning the DFB Pokal.</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">Although Gladbach were thumped 5-3 at Hoffenheim last weekend, I feel they should be confident ahead of this encounter. They have only lost four of their 13 league games since <span style="font-weight: 600;">Dieter Hecking</span> took charge, and three of those defeats were against the current top three. They have won three of their last five Bundesliga home matches, and have only lost one of their last six home games against BVB.</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">It's also worth noting that Dortmund simply aren't as strong away from home under Thomas Tuchel as they are at Signal Iduna Park. They have lost five of their last eight away games in all competitions, and in the league they have only won four times on the road all campaign.</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;">I don't feel that a <span style="font-weight: 600;">drained and disheartened</span> Dortmund should be <span class="inline-odds" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; font-weight: 600; padding: 0px 2px 1px; position: relative;" title="21/20"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">2.04</span></span> here against a good side, so I'm taking on the visitors.</span></div>
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<span style="background-color: white; font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: large;"><span style="font-weight: 600;">Recommended Bet</span><br /><span style="font-weight: 600;"><span style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline-color: initial; outline-width: initial; transition: color 0.2s;">Lay Borussia Dortmund at </span><span class="inline-odds" style="background-attachment: initial; background-clip: initial; background-image: initial; background-origin: initial; background-position: initial; background-repeat: initial; background-size: initial; outline: none; padding: 0px 2px 1px; position: relative; transition: color 0.2s;" title="21/20">2.04</span></span></span></div>
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Bundesliga Betting: Vulnerable Mainz to feel Bayern backlash

Bayern Munich v Mainz Saturday April 22, 14:30 With a sense of deep injustice burning in their hearts, Bayern Munich left European foot...