Serie A Tips: Juventus and Napoli leaking goals

Dave Farrar predicts the Bianconeri won't have an easy stroll to the Scudetto against Sampdoria, Sassuolo turn on the style in Naples and Lazio fall to Verona...

Juve don't make it easy

Juventus v Sampdoria
Sunday, 20:45
Live on Premier Sports 1 and Betfair Live Video
The world was expecting Juventus to be crowned champions on Thursday in Udine, and yet they failed, leaving this Sunday night game as the time when they should make it nine in a row.
Juventus have made life difficult for themselves after lockdown, with Maurizio Sarri seemingly stumped on the subject of their poor form, and the march to another title certainly blighted by the way they're limping over the line.
If Atalanta could have kept their remarkable form going, then they would now be applying significant pressure to Juve. The same can be said of Lazio and Inter and there's no question that this is a season in which others have failed to take their opportunities. If Juve strengthen significantly, then it may be the last chance for a while to dethrone them.

The bet here seems quite simple to me. Juventus haven't kept a clean sheet in seven, and Samp were, until their midweek derby defeat by Genoa, the form team in Serie A with five wins in six. The last time that Samp failed to score was on the 26th January, and they always seem to create chances. That won't stop here, and 1.96 in the "Yes" to Both teams to score market looks to be the bet of the weekend.

Neroverdi excite with Napoli

Napoli v Sassuolo
Saturday, 20:45
Live on Premier Sports 1 and Betfair Live Video
Sassuolo have thrilled us since lockdown, and as well as marching into the top eight, they have been electrifying to watch. Roberto De Zerbi's team will finish the season with home games against Genoa and Udinese, chances to make sure of that lofty finish, but before that they head to Napoli for what is effectively a free hit.
Napoli have won only once in their last four matches now, and their chances of a fifth-placed finish have receded dramatically. They're already in Europe thanks to their Coppa Italia win, and so focus may well have switched to their Champions League appointment in Barcelona on the 8th of August. That game will be upon us in double quick time, and Napoli feel that they have a chance.
All of that makes Sassuolo a really tempting proposition at 5.80. Napoli can throw games away here, as they did against Lecce in February, but I think that Gennaro Gattuso is too proud to let the season fizzle out, and it's more likely that we'll see another entertaining game involving Sassuolo. Over 3.5 Goals are priced at [2.4], and that seems fair enough to me.

Lazio struggle in Verona

Verona v Lazio
Sunday, 18:30
Live on Premier Sports 1 and Betfair Live Video
Lazio deserve great credit for the way that they fought back to beat Cagliari in midweek, but theirs is a season which has fallen apart since lockdown, and Simone Inzaghi now takes his tired and bedraggled team to a Verona side who have played pretty well since lockdown, despite only winning twice.
Verona are 3.60 to win this, and that makes appeal. They've scored in their last five, were good enough to hold Inter and Atalanta in that period, while Lazio have lost their ability to control matches, with three post lockdown wins all coming from behind, and the team looking uninspired going forward, and increasingly suspect at the back.
Lazio are confirmed in fourth, which should net them a place in the Champions League, and so they're effectively playing for second, while Verona don't want to throw away a season that has deserved a top half of the table finish. Eighth is within their sights, and Ivan Juric will feel that they warrant that.
I'm not suggesting that Verona are certainties here, and can see the argument that Lazio's win over Cagliari might be the beginning of a mini rejuvenation, but Juric's team are far too big at 3.60.

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