Venezuela v Peru: Expect goals in crucial Group B match

Peru's games tend to see goals and Dan Fitch thinks that their Group B clash with Venezuela will not prove to be an exception...

Last chance for Venezuela to make the cut

Venezuela have a chance to climb from the bottom of Group B and into the knockout stages, when they take on Peru on Sunday.

They are currently level on two points with Ecuador after three games (W0 D2 L1), but have a goal difference of -3, compared to Ecuador's -1. With Ecuador facing Brazil in their game on Sunday, Venezuela have the chance of going ahead of them by way of a swing in goal difference. If they can pick up a point or more, then it would seem extremely likely that they will progress.

Having lost their match against Brazil by a 3-0 margin, Venezuela have bounced back with a 0-0 draw with Colombia and then in their most recent outing a week ago, a 2-2 draw with Ecuador. That match twice saw Venezuela come from behind, with their equaliser from Ronald Hernandez being scored in injury time.

Peru probably through, but must look to avoid fourth placed finish

Peru are not yet through to the quarter-finals of the 2021 Copa America, but it would be a huge surprise if they were not to make it now.

They would have to lose this match to Venezuela, while Ecuador beat Brazil. While that seems extremely unlikely, Peru still have plenty to play for in this match. While the chances of Ecuador defeating Brazil seem remote, Peru could slip from their current position of third, down to fourth. That could well see them up against Argentina in the quarter-finals.

Peru are certainly a side with vulnerabilities. The seven goals that they have conceded after three games, is the highest total in the tournament and in midweek they had to come back from two goals down to draw 2-2 with Ecuador.

Goals flow when Peru are involved

Peru are the favourites at 2.44, with the draw at 3.0 and Venezuela at 3.4.

Venezuela are simply not in the position to sit back and hope for the best and given Peru's defensive record, they really should be bold. Peru have now conceded in twelve consecutive games and both teams to score looks generously priced at 2.1.

So too does over 2.5 goals at 2.52. It's a bet that's landed in each of Peru's last five games.

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