St Kilda will be looking to return to the winners circle for the first time since Round 1 when they welcome GWS to Etihad Stadium on Saturday afternoon. The Saints have been mediocre, at best, in all four matches this season, and will be up against it to stay close to a Giants side that outclasses them in every facet of the game. It is hard to see how St. Kilda can kick a winning score at the moment, after they looked all at sea against an incredibly inexperienced Geelong defence. The Giants, on the other hand, haven’t even clicked into fifth gear yet despite flashes of brilliance- and despite their reasonably poor record in Melbourne will be keen to get the 4 points and give their percentage a bit of a boost.
FormSt. Kilda (WLLL) – Things aren’t getting much better for the Saints as the season rolls on, with 3 losses in a row by 40 points or more. The forward line is rudderless, the midfield one-paced and the defence is struggling to cope with the sheer weight of inside 50’s. Would hate to be Alan Richardson right now. GWS (WWLW) – The Giants have been performing solidly of late, without blowing anyone away. They were gallant in defeat against the Swans at the SCG, before playing well in tricky conditions against Fremantle last round. Despite their injury issues, they keep finding new players to contribute; and Leon Cameron will be particularly pleased with the efforts of 20 year old Tim Taranto- who is averaging 22 disposals, 5 clearances and 7 tackles a match.
Stats That Matter– St. Kilda are 0-4 on the Over/Under this year – Jack Steven averages 111 Fantasy Points and 28 disposals per game against GWS – The Giants are conceding just 71 points per game in 2018, while St. Kilda are scoring a mere 65 points on average – Last year the Saints beat the Giants by 23 points at Etihad – Stephen Coniglio is averaging 28 disposals, 5.5 tackles and 1.8 goals a game in 2018, for a AFL Fantasy average of 124.5 – GWS have not lost a 4th Quarter this season, and are outscoring their opponents by 10 points on average in the last term – Jeremy Cameron has kicked 18 goals in 6 games against the Saints
Betting Data2018 Line: St. Kilda– 1-3; GWS– 1-3 2018 Over-Under: St. Kilda– 0-4; GWS– 2-2
What To Expect
The Wolf is expecting a strong Giants win in Melbourne on Saturday against a Saints side that lacks confidence and purpose. It is hard to see how Alan Richardson can make any changes that will challenge of a team of this class, despite the cattle that is currently missing. It may be a very ugly game, but it looks a good one for a punter to be involved, with the Giants an extremely hard to break down.
How It’s Shaping UpGWS by 32
Best: GWS -23.5 ($1.90) Value: St. Kilda 0-9 Total Goals ($2.90) Player Prop: Jeremy Cameron 5+ Goals ($3.50) First Goalscorer: Toby Greene