Sydney Roosters v Gold Coast Titans Saturday, May 26, 3:00pmCentral Coast Stadium, Gosford
The Roosters are looking anything but the preseason title favourites they were but get a big opportunity to gain a bit of momentum against a Titans team that has struggled defensively all season.
Recent Form The Sydney Roosters are seventh on the ladder with a 6-5 record. They rank eighth in scoring and have fallen to fourth defensively after a 28-22 road loss to Brisbane. The Roosters have scored 22-plus in three straight. Gold Coast ended a five-game losing streak with a 33-26 home win against Newcastle. The Titans have the worst defence in the NRL and they have conceded 26 or more in five of their last six.
Key MatchupLatrell Mitchell v Brenko Lee. Mitchell is arguably the most dangerous attacking centre in the game at moment and squares up against a player who is renowned as a defensive liability in Lee. Lee needs to smother Mitchell and then take advantage of Mitchell’s own poor defence if the Titans are to compete.
Stats That Matter – Sydney Roosters are 5-6 ATS with a 7-4 under record while Gold Coast are 6-5 ATS with a 7-4 over number. – The Sydney Roosters have won four of the last five against Gold Coast but have not won by more than 14 in their last nine meetings. – Three of the last four matches have failed to break 36 points. – The Titans sit 13th on the ladder with a 4-7 game. – The over is 5-1 since 2015 in games at Gosford. The Roosters are 1-7 ATS since 2008 at Gosford. – The Roosters are 24-13 under when favoured by more than a converted try while they have failed to cover their last five when favoured by double digits. – The Roosters are 14-4 ATS with a 13-5 under record after conceding 28 or more. – The Roosters are 9-19 ATS in day matches over the last four seasons. – The over is 24-15 in Titans day games. – The Titans have covered just 2 of last 8 interstate games while over is 17-8 in interstate games when they are an underdog of more than a converted try. – Interstate teams coming off 30 or more points are 51-37 ATS since 2015 while outsiders are 33-18 ATS.
Final Thoughts The Titans have historically played the Roosters fairly close and with the Roosters hardly inspiring lately, happy to take the big start. The Roosters have a poor record at Gosford, struggle in da games and have failed in their last five as a double digit favourite. The Titans don’t have a lot of angles pushing them but interstate outsiders coming off a showing of 30 or more points have a great cover record.
How It’s ShapingSydney Roosters by 1
Recommended Bets Best: Gold Coast +10 ($1.91) Value: Gold Coast WIN ($3.45) First Tryscorer: Brenko Lee ($14.00)