Sunday, May 6, 4:10pm (AEST)
Allianz Stadium, Sydney
The Sea Eagles can’t take a trick with injuries, losing Lachlan Croker for the season with an ACL injury. Dylan Walker has been named in the No 6 jersey, with club-hopping Moses Suli set to make his Manly debut. Shaun Lane comes into the starting side at the expense of the injured Jack Gosiewski. The Roosters have named an unchanged side from the loss to the Dragons on ANZAC Day.
FormThe Sydney Roosters are down to eighth with a 4-4 record. They are 3-0 against teams outside the Top 8 but 1-4 v teams inside the top half of the table. The Roosters have averaged 9.33ppg over the last three weeks and have dropped three straight at Allianz. Manly are in freefall with four straight losses and plenty of off-field drama. The Sea Eagles are down to 13th with the second worst defence in the premiership.
Key MatchupLuke Keary v Dylan Walker: This will be another opportunity for Luke Keary to throw his hat into the ring for NSW Origin selection. He ran the ball more than he has all season against the Dragons last week and is at his most threatening when is taking on the line. Dylan Walker shifts to the No.6 jersey to cover for Lachlan Croker, but The Wolf is still of the opinion that centre is his best position. He has struggled since his return from injury in Round 5, but at least he will get the chance to have his hands on the ball more by playing five-eighth. If he can let DCE organise things, and just focus on running the ball then he’ll rediscover his confidence and form.
Stats That Matter– The Sydney Roosters are 4-4 ATS with a 5-3 under record while Manly are 2-6 ATS with a 5-3 over record.
– Manly have won three straight and five of their last six against the Sydney Roosters.
– The Sea Eagles have won three straight and nine of their last 13 against Sydney at Allianz.
– Four of the last five matches have topped 40 points.
– The Roosters have covered just 2 of their last 9 at Allianz.
– As a favourite at the ground, they are 17-16 ATS with a 20-13 under record while when favoured by more than 10 they are 4-5 ATS with an 8-1 under record.
– The Roosters are 13-8 ATS with a 14-7 under record when at Allianz after scoring 14 or fewer while off a loss at the venue they are 12-6 ATS.
– Manly have covered just 19 of 47 away from Brookvale since 2015 and are riding a 12-game non-cover streak.
– The Sea Eagles have covered just 10 of their last 28 on the road after conceding 18 or more.
– Manly are just 4-9 ATS in road day games.
– Manly have won three straight and five of their last six against the Sydney Roosters.
– The Sea Eagles have won three straight and nine of their last 13 against Sydney at Allianz.
– Four of the last five matches have topped 40 points.
– The Roosters have covered just 2 of their last 9 at Allianz.
– As a favourite at the ground, they are 17-16 ATS with a 20-13 under record while when favoured by more than 10 they are 4-5 ATS with an 8-1 under record.
– The Roosters are 13-8 ATS with a 14-7 under record when at Allianz after scoring 14 or fewer while off a loss at the venue they are 12-6 ATS.
– Manly have covered just 19 of 47 away from Brookvale since 2015 and are riding a 12-game non-cover streak.
– The Sea Eagles have covered just 10 of their last 28 on the road after conceding 18 or more.
– Manly are just 4-9 ATS in road day games.
Final ThoughtsThe Roosters have hardly set the world on fire, but it’s impossible to back the Sea Eagles with all of their injuries and off-field dramas. The Roosters have the likes of James Tedesco, Latrell Mitchell, Blake Ferguson and Luke Keary in Origin contention, and they’ll want to shine at Allianz on Sunday. This is a stat that stands out – Manly have covered just 19 of 47 away from Brookvale since 2015 and are riding a 12-game non-cover streak. Roosters to do it comfortably.
How It’s Shaping UpSydney by 16
Recommended BetsBest: Sydney -10.5 ($1.91)
Value: Latrell Mitchell to score 2+ tries ($3)
First Tryscorer: Latrell Mitchell ($8)
Value: Latrell Mitchell to score 2+ tries ($3)
First Tryscorer: Latrell Mitchell ($8)
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