Canberra Raiders v Wests Tigers Sunday, August 12, 2pm GIO Stadium, Canberra
The Raiders showed plenty of attacking flair against the Panthers last week and will adopt similar tactics here against a Tigers side who must win to keep their slim finals hopes alive. It’s been an interesting week at Concord, with reports filtering through that coach Ivan Cleary has been approached by the Panthers despite having two years to still run on his Tigers deal. It’s hardly the ideal preparation for the Tigers and they could be on the end of another hiding from one of their bogey sides.
Recent FormCanberra managed to blow another late lead against Penrith, suffering a humiliating 40-31 loss to Penrith. The Raiders are 10th on the ladder with an 8-12 record. They have the second best attack in the NRL but rank 13th in defence. The Raiders have remarkably lost seven games scoring 22 or more points this year. The Wests Tigers are ninth on the ladder with a 10-10 record. They have the worst attack in the NRL but rank fourth in defence. The Tigers have won three of their last four, not conceding more than 16 in any of those four games.
Stats That Matter– Canberra are 8-12 ATS with a 13-7 over record while Wests Tigers are 10-10 ATS with a 13-7 under number. – The Raiders have destroyed the Tigers in four straight, scoring 46 or more in all four with wins of 54, 42, 40 and 36. – Canberra have won three of the last four at Canberra Stadium. – Five of the last six matches have hit 52 points or more. – Home favourites who conceded 40 or more are 6-11 ATS over the last four years. – The Raiders are 17-24 ATS as a home favourite. – When favoured by 4.5 or more, the Raiders are 15-15 ATS with a 20-10 over record. – The Raiders have covered just four of 11 as a home favourite after conceding 30 or more. – The over is 13-8 in Raiders home day games. – The Tigers have covered 12 of 16 when getting 4.5 or more with the under 13-3 in those games. – The Tigers gave covered just 3 of 11 away from their suburban home grounds but have covered 11 of 15 when getting 4 or more. – The Tigers are 11-5 ATS when away from their suburban home grounds in day matches. – The Tigers have covered 7 of 10 after scoring 24-plus points.
Final ThoughtsThe Raiders have the wood over the Tigers and it should be no different in Canberra on Sunday afternoon. The Raiders have destroyed the Tigers in four straight, scoring 46 or more in all four with wins of 54, 42, 40 and 36. Canberra are playing a dangerous style of football with plenty of offloading led by the duo of Leilua and Rapana. The Tigers have been gallant this year, but seem to crumble every time they come up against the Raiders.
How It Shapes UpCanberra by 18
Recommended Bets Best: Canberra -4.5 ($1.91) Value: HT/NT Double – Canberra 13+ ($2.85) First Tryscorer: Jordan Rapana ($9)