Football Bet of the Day: Union to lose their way in the Black Forest

After a winning start to the week, we're staying in Germany, because Kev thinks there won't be a cup upset in Freiburg.

Distracted Union to tumble out

Freiburg v Union Berlin
Tuesday 29 October, 17:30

It's rare that a goalless draw constitutes an excellent start to the week, but Sandhausen's stalemate with Wehen Wiesbaden suited us just fine, as we opposed the hosts at odds-on. We'll stay in Germany for tonight's action, because Freiburg are up against Union Berlin in the DFB Cup's second round.

Union recently beat Freiburg 2-0 in the Bundesliga, a result that took many (including me) by surprise. However, I believe there are several reasons to believe the outcome will be different this time around.

Firstly, Union are preparing for one of the biggest games in their history, a Berlin derby against Hertha this Saturday. Those sides have never previously met in the Bundesliga, and with Union far from certain to stay up, who knows if this season's clashes will be the last for a while? Union's players wouldn't be human if they weren't distracted by the derby, and I wouldn't be surprised if coach Urs Fischer shuffles his pack.

Freiburg probably won't play their strongest team either, but they will be keen to make amends for their recent defeat in Berlin, and their overall form is exceptional. They beat RB Leipzig 2-1 at the weekend, and they are third in the league after nine matches, which is remarkable. Coach Christian Streich continues to turn water into wine in the Black Forest - it's worth remembering that SCF also held Borussia Dortmund to a 2-2 draw at the Schwarzwald Stadion earlier this season.

Union have lost their last three away games in the league, and I find it hard to believe they won't be distracted by Saturday's showdown in the capital. I'll back Freiburg to win at 2.10.

2019 P/L

Points Staked: 146
Points Returned: 135.24
P/L: -10.76 points