ATP Wimbledon Day Six Tips: Kyrgios favourite in match of the day

The men's singles at Wimbledon continues on day six with eight further matches from the third round, with one match in particular a potential highlight. Dan Weston previews the upcoming action...

Kyrgios with higher ceiling ahead of Tsitsipas clash

Although we don't know the complete make-up of the third round matches from the bottom half of the draw at the time of writing, it's pretty likely that the winner of the Cressy/Sock match will be pretty solid favourites over the winner of Novak v Kubler - those matches were interrupted overnight from yesterday and haven't been finished yet.

The undoubted match of the day, though, is Nick Kyrgios against Stefanos Tsitsipas, with the Australian enigma a slight 1.76 favourite to progress.

If we get to see 'good Kyrgios' - as was largely in evidence during his easy win over Filip Krajinovic on Thursday, then he does look like a justified favourite here, with a higher ceiling on grass. However, 'bad Kyrgios' - with his display in round one against Paul Jubb being another example - would likely struggle against the more consistent Tsitsipas.

That's the Kyrgios lottery, if you like. You never know what you're going to get. The duo met a few weeks ago on grass in Halle and Kyrgios deservedly won in three sets with a starting price of 1.7, but he's slightly bigger-priced today - probably due to Tsitsipas winning the Mallorca event subsequently.

Based on two-year grass data, the market line looks a few ticks big to me, with that Halle price looking more accurate in my view. However, if you want to back an opponent who is guaranteed to give you everything on court, Kyrgios is never your man, and that's always the dilemma when he looks like slight pre-match value.

This is the only match on the Saturday men's schedule without a heavy pre-match favourite, and to be honest, it's pretty difficult to dispute any of the market lines in those other matches.

Nadal facing strong server Sonego

Rafa Nadal is 1.21 to get past Lorenzo Sonego, who will need to serve well in order to test the Spaniard. Sonego has held around 85% on grass in the last two years though, which gives him a chance to at least be competitive.

Broady a big underdog against De Minaur

Finally, the only Brit in action on Saturday in the men's event - and he could be the only Brit left in the draw depending on Friday's results - is Liam Broady, but the market is firmly against the wild card.

Broady is up against Alex De Minaur, who is 1.16 to get past the Brit and eliminate the second British player in succession after an impressive display on Thursday against Jack Draper.

De Minaur is very effective in quicker conditions and looks a dark horse to get through to the quarter finals, at least. I also wonder how much two consecutive five-setters will take their toll on Broady, and this third-round stage is likely to be as far as he'll go this year.

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