Football Bet of the Day: Undertakers won't make things deadly dull

Union Mar del Plata v Chacarita Juniors
Wednesday July 08, 21:10

There was conclusive proof last night that you don't have to be able to pronounce a team's name in order to back them. Fjardabyggd's 3-1 win at HK gave us an odds-against winner, and we've made a decent start to the week.

I've made you endure the cold of Sweden and Iceland, so in the interests of fairness I'm spiriting you away to Argentina today. We're going to delve into the depths of the Primera B Nacional for a clash between two sides in the bottom half, Union Mar del Plata and Chacarita Juniors.

Union Mar del Plata won promotion to the PBN last season, and they are now playing at a higher level than ever before. With 25 points collected from 22 games, they've made a solid start. However, if the Lightblue are to prosper they must fix their leaky defence - their record of 35 goals conceded is by far the worst in the division.

Chacarita Juniors, also delightfully known as the Undertakers, are a point and a couple of places worse off than the hosts. They also have defensive issues to solve, as they have shipped 29 goals.

This is a clash between the division's two worst defences, and with 25 goals scored apiece, Union Mar del Plata and Chacarita have the best goalscoring records outside the top seven. When the two teams met back in February, Chacarita won 3-1, and there's a strong chance we'll see goals again.

The stats support backing Both Teams To Score at 2.26. That bet has paid out in exactly half of CA Union's 22 matches, and 14 of Chacarita's. If you're weighing up whether to back Over 2.5 Goals at 2.72, the evidence again suggests the price is slightly too big - the bet has paid out in ten of Union Mar del Plata's games, and 11 of Chacarita's.

I'm leaning towards the former bet so that we can cover the 1-1 draw. That's been the scoreline in three of CA Union's last five games, and two of Chacarita's last six.

Recommended Bet
Back Both Teams To Score at 2.26