"The only positive away results for Hull came in their first two games on the road (a 2-0 win at Swansea and a 1-1 at Burnley) and since then they have scored only two goals while conceding 20 in seven straight away losses."
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Back West Brom to beat Hull at 1.79
Back West Brom to beat Hull at 1.79
West Brom v Hull
Monday 2 January, 15:00
Monday 2 January, 15:00
West Brom
Tony Pulis' side have reached the halfway point of the Premier League season in a somewhat surprising but thoroughly deserved eighth place. They are only a point behind Everton, widely seen as 'the team most likely to' finish best of the rest behind the big six.
Pulis said before Saturday's 2-1 victory at Southampton that he would rotate his squad for this 48-hour turnaround and his big decision on Saturday was to rest top scorer Salomon Rondon and bring in Hal Robson-Kanu for his first start. That switch was rewarded big-time with Robson-Kanu's stunning winner.
That was the only change from the Boxing Day defeat at Arsenal and it will be interesting to see whether Pulis makes more alterations to his settled line-up. Rondon looks sure to return despite Robson-Kanu's winning contribution at Southampton.
Hull
The new year has dawned with Hull as the UK's City of Culture for 2017 but with the football club bringing down the tone by being second-bottom of the Premier League. Even though they have Swansea a point below them, Hull are favourites for relegation at 1.22 and to finish rock bottom at 2.18.
They led twice at home to Everton on Friday night, being pegged back to 2-2 by Ross Barkley's 84th-minute equaliser, but they are now winless since November 6. At least they have had almost 24 hours more than West Brom to recuperate for this third match in a week.
Match Odds
Strip out West Brom's results against the elite teams and it is easy to see why they can lay a strong claim to being best of the rest. Although they have put up good performances away to Chelsea and Arsenal in recent 1-0 defeats, they still fall short against the big six and their record in that category is W0 D1 L5.
What is most pertinent here, however, is that the Baggies' record against the rest of the division is W7 D4 L2. Their momentum has gathered pace with five wins and a draw from their last six in that category, although it is noteworthy that the draw was against Hull in the reverse fixture on November 26.
Hull will find it harder to stop Pulis's side at the Hawthorns. West Brom's last four home results against teams outside the big six have been 4-2 v West Ham, 4-0 v Burnley, 3-1 v Watford and 3-1 v Swansea, while Hull are third-bottom on away form with a record of W1 D1 L7.
The only positive away results for Hull came in their first two games on the road (a 2-0 win at Swansea and a 1-1 at Burnley) and since then they have scored only two goals while conceding 20 in seven straight away losses.
On form the West Brom win is a confident selection and the odds look pretty good, with the only reservation being the quick turnaround from the trip to Southampton.
Over/Under 2.5 Goals
West Brom's improvement has stemmed from a greater scoring threat and that is reflected in their recent stats, especially at home where they have had six out of nine over 2.5 goals (five out of six against teams outside the big six).
Hull's figures are harder to assess as they are influenced by whether the Tigers themselves get on the scoresheet and this is far from guaranteed. Three recent away defeats finished 1-0, part of a five-match run where they have not scored on the road (the other two defeats in that sequence were 3-0).
Match Odds and Over 2.5 Goals
This has been a profitable route in West Brom's recent home matches against non-elite opposition and it could be again, although Hull's lack of away goals has to be a concern for backers.
In search of bigger odds the inclination would be to risk the West Brom win/over 2.5 goals at 2.84.
The obvious alternative - although not necessarily mutually exclusive - is a West Brom win to nil at 2.62.
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