Western Bulldogs v St Kilda
Saturday 1:45pm at Etihad Stadium



The defending premiers the Western Bulldogs have dropped three of their last four and desperately need a win to keep touch with the Top 4 when they meet a St Kilda team who is mixing form.
Form
The Western Bulldogs have fallen to eighth on the ladder following just one win in their last four games. Four of the Bulldogs’ last six games have been decided by eight points or less. The Bulldogs conceded 90-plus in their loss to Geelong for the first time this year while they have been restricted to below 90 in six of their last seven. The Bulldogs have the second best defence in the AFL but rank 13th in attack.
St Kilda rank 8th in attack and 11th in defence and sit ninth on the ladder, also with a 5-4 record. The Saints have won five of their last seven but enter this off their worst loss of the year, a 50-point drubbing at home at the hands of Sydney. The Saints have scored more than 90 in just two of seven games at Etihad this season.
Stats That Matter
– The Western Bulldogs have won 4 of the last 6 against St Kilda.
– The Saints have covered 6 of their last 8 against the Bulldogs.
– The last four and 6 of the last 8 between the Saints and Bulldogs have gone under the total.
– The Bulldogs have covered just 2 of their last 10 at Etihad.
– The Saints have covered just 3 of their last 10 at Etihad.
– The Bulldogs are 12-17 ATS as a favourite at Etihad and have covered just 1 of their last 8.
– The Bulldogs have covered four straight at Etihad when favoured by 15 or fewer.
– The Saints have covered 8 of their last 12 as an underdog at Etihad.
– The over is 11-6 since 2012 when the Saints have been an underdog of 15 or fewer at Etihad.
– The Saints have covered 8 of their last 10 in Victoria as an underdog after being restricted to 70 points.
– The Bulldogs have covered 5 of their last 7 in Victoria a favourite after being held to 85 or fewer.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Western Bulldogs 3-6, St Kilda 4-5
2017 Over-Under: Western Bulldogs 4-5, St Kilda 5-4
What To Expect
St Kilda look to have the edge in what is a tough matchup for punters. The Saints have covered 6 of their last 8 against the Bulldogs and are reliable as an underdog at Etihad. The Bulldogs have covered just 1 of their last 8 as a favourite at Etihad and don’t seem to be able to score enough to consider laying two goals or more.
How It’s Shaping Up
St Kilda by 6
Recommended Bet
St Kilda +13.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
Seb Ross has scored 110 or more in five of his last six games so The Wolf has no idea why his price is still $1.90. Ross enters this off a season high of 135 and is in white-hot form. Should have few issues hitting 110.
Recommended Bet
Seb Ross 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.90) 

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