Melbourne v Gold Coast
Saturday 4:35pm at Tio Traeger Park

Melbourne and Gold Coast are both outside the Top 8 looking in and know that this clash in Alice Springs is critical to their hopes of playing finals football.
Melbourne have a 4-5 record and sit 11th on the ladder. They have won just two of their last seven games and will be terribly disappointed they couldn’t follow up their impressive win over the Crows in Adelaide with a win, losing badly to North Melbourne. The Dees rank 9th in defence and 11th in scoring so their ladder position is about right.
Gold Coast enter this off a bye after a disappointing trip to China where they were handed a heavy defeat at the hands of Port Adelaide. The Suns have won just one of their last four but that win was a highly impressive victory over Geelong. The Suns have conceded at least 98 points in their last four and in six of eight this year. The Suns rank a lowly 17th in defence but 10th in attack.
Stats That Matter
– Melbourne have won 6 of 9 all-time against Gold Coast including the last three.
– The Suns have scored more than 90 points against Melbourne just once.
– The Demons have covered 5 of the last 7 against the Suns.
– The under has hit in 5 of the last 7 Dees-Suns games.
– The outsider has covered five straight in this matchup.
– Melbourne are 0-3 with one cover since 2012 at Traeger Park.
– The under has hit in 2 of the last 3 at Traeger Park.
– Melbourne have won just 11 of their last 26 when a favourite with an 8-18 ATS record.
– The Dees are 5-13 ATS since 2012 when favoured by more than two goals.
– Melbourne are 13-18 ATS interstate since 2012 with a 21-10 under record.
– In day matches interstate, the Demons are 6-12 ATS.
– Gold Coast have won just 7 of 47 interstate since 2012 with a 19-28 ATS record.
– The Suns are 25-11 over when an interstate outsider of more than two goals.
– The under is 45-31 when an interstate underdog of more than two goals scored 60 or fewer last start.
Betting Data
2017 Line:  Melbourne 3-6, Gold Coast 4-4
2017 Over-Under: Melbourne 4-5, Gold Coast 6-2
What To Expect
This is a good betting game for punters with the plus and unders both plays. Melbourne are absolute down-and-out poison as a favourite and proved it again last week when getting rolled as heft faves against North. The Suns aren’t great travellers but the underdog has covered five straight in this matchup and they are rested after a China trip. Most total angles here point to the under including recent history, ground history and Melbourne interstate.
How It’s Shaping Up
Gold Coast by 1
Recommended Bet
Gold Coast +13.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
Gary Ablett has hit 118 in 5 of his last 6 with his China score of 108 the only one below that. The Demons have been mighty unimpressive and a player of Ablett’s ability should be filling up.

Recommended Bet
Gary Ablett 120+ Fantasy Points ($1.90) 

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