Sydney v Hawthorn
Friday 7:50pm at SCG

The Grand Final matchup in 2012 and 2014, Sydney and Hawthorn have both fallen sharply down the ladder this season but that won’t alleviate any of the enmity between the two teams.
After losing their opening six matches, Sydney have put together three wins on end, entering this off a dominant 50-point win over St Kilda in Melbourne. The Swans have scored 118-plus in their last three while they have conceded more than 97 just once in their last seven. Sydney are up to 10th in attack and 12th in defence.
Hawthorn’s woes have been worse than Sydney’s, winning three games but cursing a blown 36-point lead against Collingwood last Saturday. The Hawks have won three of their last five but have been wildly inconsistent. The Hawks rank 14th in attack and 16th in defence though they have conceded 91 or fewer in four of their last five.
Stats That Matter
– Hawthorn have won 6 of their last 9 with Sydney though the Swans have won 5 of the last 6 in Sydney.
– The Hawks have covered 4 of the last 6 against the Swans.
– Eight of the last 12 clashes have gone over the total.
– Sydney have covered 10 of their last 15 at the SCG.
– The over has hit in six straight and 8 of 9 when Sydney have been favoured by more than four goals at the SCG.
– Sydney have covered their last four when favoured by more than four goals.
– The Swans are 8-3 ATS at the SCG off a win of 40-plus.
– Hawthorn have covered just 2 of their last 10 interstate games.
– The last six and 9 of the last 12 Hawthorn interstate games have gone under the total.
– The Hawks have started as an interstate outsider just five times since 2012, covering only once.
– Interstate outsiders kept to 75 or fewer points last start cover at just 45%.
– The Hawks have covered just 1 of their last 5 night games.
– The Swans have not covered any of their last four night games.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Sydney 3-6, Hawthorn 2-7
2017 Over-Under: Sydney 6-3, Hawthorn 2-7
What To Expect
Hawthorn start their longest price since before 2012 when they go in underdogs of over four goals against Sydney. The Hawks must surely still be reeling after a horrific collapse against Collingwood. Sydney have found some rhythm with three straight wins of 40-plus and with their exceptional record at the SCG off a big win and Hawthorn’s shocking recent record interstate, the minus is the bet.
How It’s Shaping Up
Sydney by 42
Recommended Bet
Sydney -31.5 ($1.90)
Player Markets
Sydney’s improved form has no doubt been linked to Dan Hannebery’s increased production with his fantasy scores over the last three wins tallying 115, 117 and 159. With another big win forecast and 32-plus touches in three of his last four against Hawthorn, Hannebery will again be in the points.
Recommended Bet
Dan Hannebery 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.70) 

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