Wests Tigers v Brisbane Broncos
Friday, March 23, 8:05pm (AEDT)
Campbelltown Stadium
Friday, March 23, 8:05pm (AEDT)
Campbelltown Stadium
The giant-killing Tigers will welcome the Broncos to Campbelltown Stadium in a Friday night blockbuster. The Tigers have shocked many experts, with 10-8 victories in consecutive weeks over the Roosters and Storm. Meanwhile, the Broncos bounced back against the Cowboys last week after they were embarrassed by the Dragons in Week 1. The Tigers will be without Elijah Taylor, with Matt Eisenhuth moving into the starting side. Tom Opacic has been named in the centres to replace the injured Jordan Kahu, although Jack Bird has been named on an extended bench for the Broncos.
FormThe Wests Tigers became the first team since 1992 to score just two tries across two weeks and win both games, defeating the Roosters 10-8 on the siren before doing exactly the same to the Storm to win 10-8. The Tigers have the best defence in the premiership and are 2-0 ATS and 2-0 under. Brisbane overcame a horrid 34-12 first round defeat to St George Illawarra to down North Queensland 24-20 in a monster effort. The Broncos are 1-1 ATS with a 2-0 over record on the back of conceding 20-plus in both games.
Key MatchupRussell Packer v Matthew Lodge: The off-field dramas surrounding both Russell Packer and Matthew Lodge have been well-documented and this battle will set the momentum for their respective sides. Packer has been named as one of the five Tigers’ captains and has led from the front over the first two weeks, while Lodge has made a solid return to the NRL.
Stats That Matter– Brisbane have lost just five of the 26 matches all-time against the Wests Tigers with the Broncos winning 11 of the last 13 dating back to 2007.
– The teams have met seven times at Campbelltown with the Broncos never losing at the venue with six wins and a draw.
– None of the last four wins have come by more than 10 points.
– Eight of the last 11 meetings between the teams have tallied less than 38 points.
– The Tigers have covered just 3 of their last 12 at Campbelltown with an 8-4 under record.
– The under is 14 of 18 when the Tigers are a home underdog.
– The Tigers have covered 13 of their last 18 night matches.
– Home underdogs at night who conceded 10 or fewer the start prior are 13-9 ATS.
– The teams have met seven times at Campbelltown with the Broncos never losing at the venue with six wins and a draw.
– None of the last four wins have come by more than 10 points.
– Eight of the last 11 meetings between the teams have tallied less than 38 points.
– The Tigers have covered just 3 of their last 12 at Campbelltown with an 8-4 under record.
– The under is 14 of 18 when the Tigers are a home underdog.
– The Tigers have covered 13 of their last 18 night matches.
– Home underdogs at night who conceded 10 or fewer the start prior are 13-9 ATS.
Final ThoughtsThe forecast is for plenty of rain over the next few days, making the unders The Wolf’s best play here. The Tigers have scored just 20 points over the first two rounds, but have conceded only 16 points over the same time frame. The unders is 14 of 18 when the Tigers are a home underdog, while eight of the last 11 meetings between the teams have tallied less than 38 points. It should be a low-scoring grinding affair, with the Broncos stopping the Tigers giant-killing run.
How It’s Shaping UpBrisbane by 2
Recommended BetsBest: Under 37.5 ($1.88)
Value: Brisbane 1-12 ($2.80)
First Tryscorer: Matt Gillett ($23)
Value: Brisbane 1-12 ($2.80)
First Tryscorer: Matt Gillett ($23)
0 nhận xét Blogger 0 Facebook
Post a Comment