Wests Tigers v Parramatta Eels Monday, April 2, 4pm ANZ Stadium, Sydney
It’s amazing to think that the Wests Tigers have yet to concede more than 9 points in a match this year, though on the other hand they have struggled to score points with scores of 10, 10 and 7 across the opening three rounds. The 0-3 Eels will be desperate to get their season on track with a win here, but have been dealt plenty of injuries heading into the clash with the Tigers. Jarryd Hayne, Bevan French, Cameron King and Kane Evans all drop out from last week’s side. The Tigers will give Benji Marshall every opportunity to overcome an ankle injury, with Tyson Gamble and Tui Lolohea named on an extended bench as cover.
FormThe Wests Tigers have not conceded a double digit score this year but have yet to post more than 10 points and as such have a 2-1 record with wins over the Roosters and Storm and a tough loss to the Broncos at home. The Tigers have scored just three tries this year. Parramatta’s season has been a debacle from the get go with three straight losses to Penrith, Manly and Cronulla. The Eels led the Panthers 14-0 and since then have lost 92-4.
Key MatchupLuke Brooks v Mitchell Moses: These housemates would love nothing more than to get the victory over the other. Brooks is starting to take more control of the Wests Tigers side, but can go missing at times. The experience of Benji Marshall next to him has done wonders and Brooks did score the match-winning try against Melbourne. His kicking game will be crucial here, especially if Marshall is ruled out late. Meanwhile, it’s been a 2018 season to forget for Moses so far. He has managed to get himself sin-binned twice already and has provided little opportunity for his outside men. The Wolf is tipping the former Tiger to have a big match against his ex-teammates.
Stats That Matter
– The Tigers are a perfect 3-0 ATS with a 3-0 under record while the Eels are 0-3 ATS with a 2-1 under number. – Parramatta have won 4 of the last 5 meetings against the Wests Tigers. – The Eels hold a 9-3 all-time edge against the Tigers at ANZ. – Five of the last seven matches have tallied 39 points or fewer. – No team has posted a score of 30 in this rivalry since 2013. – The Tigers are 15-8 ATS at ANZ since 2015 while Parramatta are 14-11 ATS with an 18-7 under record. – In day matches at the ground, the Tigers are 6-5 ATS with a 10-1 under number while Parramatta are 4-2 ATS with a 5-1 under record.
Final ThoughtsThe Wolf is leaning to unders and the Eels here. As already pointed out, the Tigers have yet to concede more than 9 points in a match this year, though on the other hand they have struggled to score points with scores of 10, 10 and 7 across the opening three rounds. Five of the last seven matches have tallied 39 points or fewer, while the Eels have won 4 of the last 5 against the Tigers. Desperation will get the Eels home in a low-scoring grinder.
How It’s Shaping UpParramatta by 2
Recommended BetsBest: Under 38 ($1.88) Value: Parramatta 1-12 ($3.20) First Tryscorer: Josh Hoffman ($11)