Villa Park is the home of goals
Aston Villa 1.55 v Ipswich Town 7.40; The Draw 4.40
The omens are not good for Ipswich as they travel to Villa Park. Villa have lost only two of their last 20 league games with the Tractor Boys (W13, D5) and the visitors have lost five of their last six Villa Park matches in all competitions.
And the form of Paul Lambert's side doesn't give too many pointers to that poor record improving. Ipswich are only the third side to have no more than 18 points after 28 league games since 2004/05, after Peterborough in 2009/10 (18) and Rotherham in 2016/17 (16), both sides went on to finish bottom. Ipswich have also have experienced problems keeping players on the park with a man sent off in each of their last two meetings with Villa.
Villa's form however has taken a dive in recent weeks with just one win in eight league games and what seemed like a charge through the playoff spots has now turned into a fight to get the season back on track. But taking on the Championships bottom club should yield three points.
Villa's form however has taken a dive in recent weeks with just one win in eight league games and what seemed like a charge through the playoff spots has now turned into a fight to get the season back on track. But taking on the Championships bottom club should yield three points.
Villa boss Dean Smith has to say goodbye to Yannick Bolasie this week after he returned to Crystal Palace after the end of his loan spell. And, with influential midfielder Jack Grealish still on the injury list, it is likely that Birkir Bjarnason will lineup with Conor Hourihane and John McGinn in midfield.
Last weekend's 2-0 defeat to Blackburn means Ipswich have taken only one three wins in 28 league games this season. Lambert would be a magician to save them from relegation. They have also failed to score in their last five away matches and have conceded at least two in each of their last 13 outings on the road.
Despite Villa's rescent downturn in results, the last seven matches at Villa Park have yielded a total of 36 goals and Villa to win and over 3.5 goals at [4.21] gives you every chance.
Hull and Jarrod Bowen worth playing again
Blackburn 2.42 v Hull 3.25; The Draw 3.50
Hull have been in stellar form in recent weeks and are unbeaten in 10 Championship matches (W7, D3), but they travel to Blackburn this weekend with both teams level on points, Hull in 8th and Blackburn 10th, seperated only by goal difference. Blackburn themselves have taken three wins on the bounce after a poor run around Christmas.
Nigel Adkins has worked wonders with Hull who had seemed relegation fodder in the early part of the season. If you are with me and backing the Tigers on Saturday we may have to be patient. Blackburn's defence has conceded the joint-fewest first half goals in the Championship this season, level on 10 with Middlesbrough and Sheffield United, but their second half record is appalling having picked the ball out of their own net 31 times. That's the joint worst alongside Sheffield Wednesday.
Jarrod Bowen is enjoying a superb season in front of goal and could become only the third Hull player to score in three straight away appearances in the Championship, after Abel Hernandez and Jon Parkin. The Bowen to score and Hull to win bet has landed in five of the last nine Championship matches and been a brilliant profit booster.
Hull City last went 11 league games without defeat back in November 2015, a season in which the Tigers went on to be promoted to the Premier League. Hull to win and Jarrod Bowen to score has to be played again at a very tempting [6.01].
Leeds should take points in Yorkshire derby
Rotherham 5.90 v Leeds 1.69; The Draw 3.90
Leeds' new signing, Spanish keeper Kiko Casilla, looks set to make his first start against Rotherham. Midfielder Kalvin Phillips is back after suspension, but could be forced into the heart of defence with Pontus Jansson out after being sent off in the 2-1 defeat at Stoke last weekend.
Leeds have a long injury list with Gaetano Berardi, Patrick Bamford, Stuart Dallas and Barry Douglas among those keeping the club physio busy.
Rotherham have lost their last three league matches against Yorkshire rivals Leeds, but the Whites have lost three of their last four away games in all competitions against the Millers. This again could be a tough away test for Leeds who have run out of a little steam of late, but their away form is breaking records. Leeds are the first team in the second-tier to score in each of their opening 14 away games within a single season since Blackburn Rovers did the same in the 1984/85 season.
Rotherham are two points clear of the relegation zone and their chances of survival seem to rest on their successes at the New York Stadium with a league high of 84% of their points coming from home fixtures (21 of 25).
Rotherham will set themselves up to be tough to break down and Leeds could be forced to turn once again to Pablo Hernandez. The Spaniard has seven goals and 10 assists in the Championship this season. That's been worth 18 points for the table toppers. matching Blackburn's Bradley Dack (10 goals, 4 assists).
Leeds should take the points but don't expect a goal-fest. Leeds and under 2.5 goals at [3.82] takes my money.
RECOMMENDED BETS
Back Aston Villa to win and over 3.5 goals at [4.21] (best bet)
Back Hull to win and Jarrod Bowen to score @ [6.01]
Back Leeds to win and under 2.5 goals at [3.82]
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