La Liga Correct Score Predictor with Infogol: Tips for every fixture of GW2

Using Expected Goals (xG) data from Infogol, Tom Victor provides La Liga result and scoreline predictions as Real Madrid begin their title defence...

Villarreal to make up for opening day setback

Villarreal v Eibar
Saturday, 15:00
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Both Villarreal and Eibar drew their opening fixtures, but the two performances were not the same. If the Yellow Submarine can replicate the xG dominance they delivered at home to Huesca, they should finish with three points rather than one against an Eibar side which created little at home to Celta Vigo. The hosts have a 53% chance of victory according to Infogol's model, but they could be made to work hard for the points.

Back the 2-1 @ 9.20

Getafe to open with a victory against Osasuna

Getafe v Osasuna
Saturday, 17:30
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Getafe have had to wait to play their opening game, and will be keen to make up for lost time. Pepe Bordalás' team have strengthened after a difficult end to last season, and have a 43% chance of victory against an Osasuna side which took it chances in an opening day win at Cádiz. We shouldn't expect too many goals in this one, with just a 38% chance of more than 2.5 goals and BTTS down at 43%.

Back the 2-0 @ 9.60

Valencia to pip Celta at Balaidos

Celta Vigo v Valencia
Saturday, 20:00
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The Javi Gracia era began strongly for Valencia, with Los Che scoring four times in their opener, and they have a chance to go two for two against a Celta side which returned more than one xGF just once in their last six games stretching back into last season. Both of last season's meetings ended 1-0 to the home side, and while Valencia are narrowly favoured, a high-scoring game looks unlikely.

Back the 0-2 @ 19.50

Huesca to win battle of promoted clubs

Huesca v Cádiz
Sunday, 15:00
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Only a 97th-minute penalty stopped Huesca from beating Cádiz in last season's promotion campaign, but they should have the upper hand this time as two sides to come up from last season's Segunda División go head-to-head. Michel's team rode their luck on the xG front in last week's draw at Villareal, but they are 41% with Infogol to continue their unbeaten start to the new season with a home win.

Back the 2-0 @ 9.80

Granada to pick up back-to-back wins

Granada v Alavés
Sunday, 17:30
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Granada have won their last four games in all competitions, stretching back to last season, and can extend that run against an Alavés side which drew a blank in a home opener against Real Betis. Diego Martínez's side are often tight at the back, though they won't always be able to score with both of their shots on target, as was the case against Athletic Bilbao last time out.

Back the 2-0 @ 9.40

New-look Betis to earn another victory

Real Betis v Real Valladolid
Sunday, 17:30
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Manuel Pellegrini tasted victory in his first La Liga game at Betis, with Claudio Bravo keeping a clean sheet on his debut, and a home meeting with Real Valladolid presents a great chance to make it six points from six. A lot has changed since Sergio González's Valladolid beat 10-man Betis at the start of last season, and the Verdiblancos are 45% to finish this game the victors.

Back the 2-0 @ 7/1

Champions Real Madrid to pass a tough opening test

Real Sociedad v Real Madrid
Sunday, 20:00
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Real Madrid are beginning their season later than most, getting their title defence underway with a trip to Anoeta, but Zinedine Zidane's side should have enough to take all three points. They're 50% to do so, according to Infogol's model, having come through a similarly tough battle in the corresponding fixture last season, but the model doesn't anticipate a high-scoring game in San Sebastián.

Back the 0-2 @ 9.40