Nations League Tips: Holland and Italy will share point

Dan Fitch previews Monday's Nations League fixtures and is expecting Holland and Italy to draw...

Nations League
Monday 7 September

Kazakhstan can claim second win

Kazakhstan 2.82 v Belarus 3.00; The Draw 2.96
Kick off 15:00
Live on Sky Sports Football

Kazakhstan got off to a winning start in Group C4 with a 2-0 victory away in Lithuania on Friday, while Belarus were beaten 2-0 at home by Albania.

Given their respective starts and Kazakhstan's decent home form, these odds look a little too close. Back Kazakhstan in the Draw No Bet market at 1.91.

Tight defence is key to finding value

Albania 1.39 v Lithuania 9.00; The Draw 4.60
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Albania look likely to be the strongest team in Group C4 and are an appropriately short price to beat Lithuania.

The key to finding some value in an Albanian win could be for them to do so without conceding. Their clean sheet against Belarus was the sixth time that they've won to nil from their last seven victories and you can back them to do so again at 1.91.

Austria impress in away win

Austria 1.78 v Romania 5.20; The Draw 3.70
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Austria claimed a very impressive win away at Norway on Friday night, which could have easily been more comfortable than the 2-1 scoreline suggests.

Romania failed to take advantage against a Northern Ireland side that were reduced to ten men for much of the match, conceding a late equaliser to draw 1-1. Based on the quality of Austria's performance, the home victory is a good price at 1.78.

Draw seems likely

Bosnia 2.80 v Poland 2.78; The Draw 3.20
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Both Bosnia and Poland faced top drawer opposition on Friday. It was Bosnia that fared best, as they drew 1-1 away at Italy.

Poland lost away at Holland, 1-0. This is likely to be a tight match between two well-matched sides and the draw could land at 3.20.

Israel normally concede

Israel 2.08 v Slovakia 4.10; The Draw 3.40
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Red Button

Israel took a valuable point away at Scotland in their first match in Group B2. Slovakia were beaten 3-1 at home to the Czech Republic, which was no great surprise, as the Czechs look like the strongest team in the group.

Both teams to score looks too big here at 2.06. It's paid out in six of Israel's last seven games.

Draw would suit Italy

Netherlands 2.36 v Italy 3.40; The Draw 3.40
Kick off 19:45
Live on Sky Sports Premier League

The match of the night is clearly this heavyweight encounters between Netherlands and Italy. Both have improved immensely since they failed to qualify for the 2018 World Cup and look able to compete again on the international stage.

Italy really can't afford to lose and when that's the case, they typically have the mentality to ensure that it doesn't happen. The draw would be a decent result for them at 3.40.

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