Grigor Dimitrov v David GoffinBoth men are coming off tough 3 set victories and the winner will qualify for the semi’s regardless of the result in their final group match. Goffin’s win over Nadal was a career highlight but The Wolf has him coming back down to earth. Dimitrov holds a 6-1 edge in their H2H and it has to do with the matchup more than anything else. His variety – slice backhand and net approaches really disrupt the rhythm of Goffin who loves to trade blows from the baseline. The Bulgarian will constantly press his opponent and it will take it’s toll.
Pablo Carreno-Busta v Dominic Thiem
Carreno-Busta replaces the injured Nadal and The Wolf is ready to rally behind him. Since the US Open we have exclusively bet against Thiem in the handicap market and will continue to do so. 5 of the 6 meetings between the pair have been on clay so you can virtually forget about their previous encounters. As mentioned by The Wolf in the past Thiem is a completely different player on clay and his game is not suited by fast indoor surfaces. His first serve percentage is hovering around 50% over his last two matches and that means he is there for the taking. Take Carreno-Busta with the start and outright.
Best Bet: Carreno-Busta +3.5 ($1.85)