Dan Fitch thinks that Liverpool will have to wait until the second-half for a winner against Southampton...

Liverpool v Southampton
Saturday, 15:00

Liverpool on road to recovery
After a poor run of form that saw Liverpool only win two from ten games, Jurgen Klopp's side have found some consistency of late.

Since losing 4-1 to Tottenham in October, the Reds have won three consecutive games, all by a three goal margin. It's fair to say though that the level of opposition has not been particularly testing, with Liverpool beating Huddersfield and Maribor at home, followed by an away victory over West Ham that proved to be Slaven Bilic's last game in charge.

This Liverpool side are never too far away from a bad result and the forthcoming fixtures against Sevilla and Chelsea in the next week will be major tests. They are however, proving to be more adept this season at beating the opposition that you'd expect them to and on current form Southampton fall into that category.

Klopp is sweating over the fitness of a trio of players as his side embarks on the busy pre-Christmas period. Jordan Henderson, Adam Lallana and Sadio Mane are all doubts, while Nathaniel Clyne is definitely out.


Same old problems for Pellegrino
It's been a tough start to life at Southampton for Mauricio Pellegrino, who is experiencing the same problems that his predecessor suffered.

Claude Puel was sacked last season, despite the fact that he guided the team to an eighth placed finish and reached the League Cup final. Puel's quiet manner and Southampton's lack of goals, made his spell at the club seem underwhelming, even if he did achieve all that could be reasonably expected of him.

While Puel has ended up back in employment at Leicester, Pellegrino has failed to make much of an impact during his brief time at the club. Southampton's 13 points after eleven games is exactly the same amount that Puel had at this stage of the season, while only four clubs have scored less goals that the Saints.

Pellegrino has a couple of injury problems ahead of the trip to Anfield. Mario Lemina and Jeremy Pied are both unavailable with injury.


Back the Saints to be level at half-time
Liverpool are the 1.43 favourites, with the draw at 5.20 and Southampton at 9.20.

Though Liverpool should win there's no value in backing them at that price, especially as Southampton have a good record against them in recent seasons. Instead, consider the draw half-time/Liverpool full-time double result at 4.60, as Southampton have been drawing at half-time in two of their last three games.


Rare case of under 2.5 goals at Anfield
Over 2.5 goals is the favourite at 1.71, with unders out at 2.28.

When Liverpool are involved over 2.5 goals is generally favoured, but there is reason to believe that unders is where the value lies on this occasion. Southampton's last three games have all seen under 2.5 goals and when Liverpool have met defensively minded teams this season - Burnley, Newcastle, Manchester United - they've struggled to find the net.


Salah is value to continue scoring streak
One Liverpool player who certainly hasn't struggled to score at any point this season is Mohamed Salah.

The Egyptian has made a sensational start to life in a Liverpool shirt, having scored twelve goals in his first 17 appearances for the club. With Salah in that sort of form, odds of 2.20 for him to add to his tally are generous.


Recommended Bets

Back the draw half-time/Liverpool full-time double result at 4.60
Back Salah to score at 2.20


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