South Sydney Rabbitohs v Parramatta Eels Saturday, July 28, 5:30pm ANZ Stadium, Sydney
The Rabbitohs had their nine-game winning streak broken by the Tigers last week and it also cost them top spot on the NRL ladder for the time being. The Eels remain in last position despite their win over the Bulldogs and couldn’t be meeting the Rabbitohs at a worse time, coming off their shock loss against the Tigers.
Recent FormSouth Sydney had a nine-game streak ended by the Wests Tigers at ANZ on Saturday night in a 22-6 upset. The Rabbitohs sit third on the ladder with a 13-5 record. They rank second in attack and third in defence. Souths have conceded at least 20 in three of their last four. Parramatta remain last on the ladder with just four wins from their 18 games. They rank last in scoring and 13th in defence. Parramatta enter this off a win. They have kept opponents to 20 or fewer in four of their last five.
Stats That Matter– South Sydney are 12-6 ATS with an 11-7 under record, going under in 7 of their last 9. – Parramatta are 6-12 ATS with a 12-6 under record, going under in 8 of 9. – The Eels have won three of their last four against the Rabbitohs but were thumped 42-24 just five weeks back. – The teams have played five straight that have topped 38 points. – Souths have covered 13 of their last 17 at ANZ. – Souths have covered 5 of their last 7 off a loss at ANZ. – Souths are 9-6 ATS at ANZ when favoured by more than a converted try while they are 6-2 ATS when favoured by double digits at ANZ. – The Eels are 23-11 under at ANZ since 2015. – Parramatta have covered just 3 of their last 13 at ANZ. – The under is 17-6 in Eels night games at ANZ. – Parramatta are 6-3 ATS when getting a start of 10 or more over the last four seasons. – The under is 13-4 when the Eels scored 14 or fewer the last start and are at home while Souths are 5-8 ATS. – Souths have covered 10 of their last 14 off conceding 20 or more.
Final ThoughtsLook out Parramatta! The Rabbitohs will be fired up after they had their nine-game winning streak broken last week, while this clash also sees the 2nd best attack (Rabbitohs) in the competition up against the worst scoring side (Eels). South Sydney put 42 points on the Eels back in Round 15. The Rabbitohs have covered 13 of their last 17 matches at ANZ and should put on an attacking clinic once again against the struggling Eels.
How It Shapes UpSouth Sydney by 24
Recommended Bets Best: South Sydney -10.5 ($1.91) Value: South Sydney by 19+ ($2.75) First Tryscorer: Alex Johnston ($10)