Melbourne Storm v Canberra Raiders Saturday, July 28, 7:35pm AAMI Park, Melbourne
The Storm moved to the top of the ladder after their tough 12-6 win over the Warriors last week and will be looking to continue their winning streak when they host the Raiders in Melbourne on Saturday night. The Raiders had their slim finals hopes extinguished in controversial fashion against the Sharks last week and it will be interesting to see how they respond here.
Recent FormDefending premiers Melbourne have gone top of the table for the first time this year after a gritty 12-6 win over the Warriors in New Zealand. The Storm have a 13-5 record with the second best defence and fourth best attack. Melbourne have won seven straight and have kept opponents to 13 or fewer in five. Canberra are 10th on the ladder with an 8-10 record after being controversially beaten 28-24 by Cronulla. The Raiders are the top attacking team in the NRL but rank 12th in defence. Canberra have conceded 26 or more in three of their last four.
Stats That Matter– Melbourne are 9-9 ATS with a 11-7 under record with the under hitting in 8 of 9. – Canberra are 8-10 ATS with an 11-7 over record, going over in five straight. – Melbourne have won three straight and 24 of the last 30 against Canberra. – The Storm hold just a 4-3 edge over the Raiders at AAMI Park. – The teams have played five straight that have failed to top 38 points. – The Storm are 25-20 ATS at AAMI Park. – The under is 18-8 when the Storm play at AAMI after conceding 14 or fewer while it is 22-14 when the Storm play at night at home. – Canberra are 29-17 ATS with a 30-16 over record when away from Canberra Stadium. – As an underdog the Raiders are 20-9 ATS while getting 6.5 start they are 10-3 ATS. – The Raiders are 10-3 ATS with a 10-3 over record as a road underdog after scoring 24 or more. – Canberra are 15-5 ATS on the road after scoring 24 or plus.
Final ThoughtsThe Wolf is expecting an open affair here, with the Raiders season controversially put to bed last week. Both sides can put on points, with the Raiders possessing the best attack in the NRL, while the Storm rank 4th in attack. The Raiders have gone over in their past five matches and will look to play expansive football in a bid to test the Storm’s brickwall defence.
How It Shapes UpMelbourne by 6
Recommended Bets Best: Over 41.5 ($1.91) Value: Melbourne 1-12 ($2.90) First Tryscorer: Felise Kaufusi ($19)