Brisbane Broncos v Cronulla Sharks
Thursday, July 26, 7:50pm
Suncorp Stadium, Brisbane



The Broncos were blown off Suncorp Stadium by 26-6 at the hands of the Warriors in Round 18, but responded in the best possible way last week, smashing the Panthers by 50-18. Which Broncos side will show up at Suncorp Stadium on Thursday night? The Sharks recorded a controversial win over the Raiders last week and need to win here to keep in touch with the Top 4.
Recent FormBrisbane are seventh on the ladder with an 11-7 record. Brisbane have ascended to the sixth best scoring team in the competition after posting 50 against Penrith while they rank eighth defensively. The Broncos have won 8 of their last 11 and have scored 20 or more in 4 of their last 5. Cronulla are fifth on the ladder with a 12-6 record. They rank eighth in scoring and seventh in defence. The Sharks have now won three straight and 10 of their last 12.
Stats That Matter– Brisbane are 9-9 ATS with a 10-8 over number while Cronulla are 8-10 ATS with a 10-8 under number.
– The Broncos have won three straight against the Sharks and nine of the last 13.
– Cronulla have, however, won three of the last four at Suncorp.
– Nine of the last 10 matches have topped 36 points with six of those surpassing 42 points.
– The Broncos are 29-22 ATS at Suncorp over the last four years (including 4 of the last 5) with a 32-19 over number.
– At Suncorp off scoring 36 or more the Broncos are 4-1 ATS.
– At Suncorp after conceding 18 or more, the Broncos are 9-13 ATS with a 16-6 over record.
– The under is 13-1 when a home team comes off scoring 50-plus over the last six seasons.
– Small interstate underdogs are 71-36 ATS since 2013 with the Sharks 4-0 ATS in the situation.
– Cronulla are 10-6 ATS with an 11-5 under record as an interstate underdog since 2015 while they are 18-8 ATS with a 16-10 under record away from Shark Park as an underdog.
– Away from Shark Park after conceding 24 or more points, Cronulla are 8-5 ATS.
Final ThoughtsWhat a blockbuster we have on the cards to kick off NRL Round 20! The Broncos put the league on notice with their 50-18 thumping of the Panthers last week, and get to play their third straight match at Suncorp Stadium. Recent history suggests that the Broncos should bee too strong for the Sharks, winning three straight and nine of the last 13 matches against the men from the Shire. Broncos in a tight one.
How It Shapes UpBrisbane by 2

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Best: Brisbane ($1.80)
Value: Brisbane 1-12 ($3.10)
First Tryscorer: Tevita Pangai Junior

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