St Kilda v Collingwood Sat 7:25pm at Etihad Stadium
The final Saturday game of Round 9 is another all-Victorian affair at Etihad with the Saints taking on the Magpies. St. Kilda have been very poor throughout 2018, punctuated by the worst goal-kicking efficiency of all-time; and the fact they have only once kicked more than 10 goals in a game in 9 rounds is, quite frankly, deplorable. They certainly have a bit of talent in their ranks, but they seem to lack a clear direction or any confidence to execute the most basic of skills but taking on a Collingwood side missing a number of players may be exactly what they need to get themselves back on track. Key word being may be. It probably won’t.
St. Kilda (LDLLL) – The Saints have won 1 game (against the Lions) and drawn one- but the fact that their averaging losing margin for their remaining games is 42 points is the most worrying aspect for any Saints supporter. Somehow the kicking for goal keeps getting worse, and their pressure levels fluctuate so wildly you wonder what on earth they are all thinking about in between those good patches. That said, even if they were kicking straight they aren’t generating enough good opportunities to be in most matches anyway.
Collingwood (WWLWL) – Will the Pies ever have a year where they aren’t ravaged with injury? Judging on the previous few years, that is doubtful- but at least heads are starting to roll. They were very brave to stay in the game against Geelong as long as they did with the injuries suffered during the game, but when you kick 5.15, it doesn’t matter how brave you are. You aren’t going to win games of footy.
Stats That Matter– St. Kilda are 1-7 on the Over/Under this season – Brodie Grundy is averaging 118 Fantasy points a game this year – The Saints are 1-5 at Etihad Stadium in 2018 – Adam Treloar has had 34+ disposals in 4 of his past 5 games – St. Kilda have won the last 2 meetings – Collingwood have won 3 of their past 4 games at Etihad – The Saints are averaging just 8 goals per game in 2018
2018 Line: St. Kilda- 2-6; Collingwood- 4-4
2018 Over-Under: St. Kilda- 1-7; Collingwood- 3-5
What To Expect
The Wolf isn’t quite sure what to expect of St. Kilda, but they better start changing it up soon- as the old saying goes ‘if you always do what you’ve always done, you’ll always get what you’ve always gotten.’ Will Alan Richardson finally swap some magnets around? Who knows, but if Nathan Buckley’s boys can bring the tenacity they’ve shown for most of the season, they should be good enough to get the job done. Their midfield is light years ahead of the Saints. To think only a year or so ago we had these two clubs at the same level of development.
How It’s Shaping UpCollingwood by 18
Best Bet: Collingwood 1-39 ($2.05) Value Bet: Sidebottom 30+ Disposals/ Treloar 30+ Disposals/DeGoey 2+ Goals ($3.96) Player Prop: Brodie Grundy 130+ Fantasy Points ($2.75) First Goalscorer: Will Hoskin Elliott