Sydney Roosters v Wests Tigers Sunday, June 3, 6.10pm Allianz Stadium, Sydney
The shortened Round 13 concludes when the Sydney Roosters host the Wests Tigers. The Roosters have been hit hard by Origin while the Tigers are unscathed. Both teams sit in the bottom half of the Top 8 and will have this game marked as a must win.
Recent FormThe Sydney Roosters are seventh on the ladder with a 7-5 record. They have won three of their last four and have posted at least 22 in all those four games. The Roosters rank third defensively and seventh in scoring. The Roosters are 2-5 against teams who are ninth or higher on the ladder. The Wests Tigers are eighth on the ladder with a 7-5 record. The Tigers have won two of their last three and have not conceded more than 16 in that three-game run. The Tigers rank second defensively while they are a lowly 13th in scoring.
Key MatchupCooper Cronk v Luke Brooks. Cronk hasn’t been his dominant self this season with the Roosters but with so many weapons missing across the park it will be incumbent on him to really leave his mark on this one. His running game has been virtually non-existent but he will need to be a triple threat in this one. Brooks, by contrast, is having one of his best seasons. He has a clearly defined role at the Tigers and has benefited no end from having Benji Marshall by his side. He will need to probe the big Roosters pack all day.
Stats That Matter– The Sydney Roosters are 6-6 ATS with a 7-5 under record while the Wests Tigers are 7-5 ATS with an 8-4 under record, going under in four straight. – The Roosters had won 10 straight against the Tigers before a 10-8 Round 1 loss this year. – Over that winning run, the Chooks posted 30 or more on nine occasions. – The Roosters have won nine straight against the Tigers at Allianz with seven of those by 12 or more. – The Roosters have covered just 2 of their last 10 at Allianz and just 10 of their last 29 day games (6-9 ATS with a 10-5 under record in day games at Allianz since 2015). – The Chooks have covered 6 of their last 9 as an underdog at Allianz. – The Chooks have covered just 3 of their last 9 at Allianz after scoring 30 while they are 4-14 ATS overall after posting 30-plus since 2015. – The Tigers have covered just 6 of their last 19 as a favourite. – The Tigers have covered 11 of their last 14 day games. – The Tigers have covered just 5 of their last 15 off a win with an 11-4 under record.
Final ThoughtsThe hardest game of the round from a betting perspective. The Roosters have long had the wood on the Tigers but they are a very poor day team, have struggled in recent times at Allianz and are poor off a big attacking performance. The Tigers are typically poor bets as a favourite but are a strong day team and did roll the Roosters earlier in the season.
How It Shapes UpWests Tigers by 2
Recommended Bets Best: Wests Tigers WIN ($1.83) Value: Wests Tigers 1-12 ($3.10) First Try: Luke Brooks ($21.00)