Tottenham 1.70 v Watford 5.80; The Draw 4.00 Wednesday 30 January, 20:00
Spurs suffer cup heartbreak as injury crisis hits home
It's been a tough week for Tottenham, with a squad decimated by injury exiting both domestic cups.
At least against Chelsea in the EFL Cup they went down fighting, coming back from being behind on aggregate to send the game to a penalty shootout. Their exit from the FA Cup was much more timid, with Mauricio Pochettino picking a starting lineup against Crystal Palacewith very little creativity. Spurs lost the game in the first-half as they gave away a needless penalty and at the other end Kieran Trippier missed a spot kick that could have put them back into the game.
Pochettino rested the likes of Toby Alderweireld, Christian Eriksen, Danny Rose and Harry Winks for the trip to Palace. There was no doubt that they needed a break having played so much football of late, but Tottenham's injury ravaged squad just didn't have the depth to cope with the additional absences.
With two important Premier League matches in the next week, Pochettino clearly decided to prioritise finishing in the top four. Heung-Min Son should be available for the first of those games against Watford, having returned from the Asian Cup. Dele Alli, Ben Davies, Harry Kane and Moussa Sissoko remain injured.
Hornets buzzing as hot streak continues
Javi Gracia took a big gamble at the weekend and it paid off, as Watford reached the last-16 of the FA Cup.
Gracia made eleven changes for the match away at Newcastle, with his selection recording a 2-0 victory at Newcastle. The win saw Watford stretch their unbeaten run to six matches (W3 D3) and if they can maintain their form, qualification for Europe could become an unlikely reality.
Watford are currently seventh in the Premier League and are one of only five top flight teams that are definitely through to the fifth round of the FA Cup. In recent seasons Watford have got off to good starts, only to fall away in the latter part of the season. Gracia's team seem to be finding a second wind.
Abdoulaye Doucoure and Kiko Femenia could be back in contention for the trip to Wembley, having missed the match against Newcastle with injury. Definitely out is Sebastian Prodl.
No value in price for home win
Tottenham are the 1.70favourites to win, with the draw at 4.00 and Watford out at 5.80.
It's much too short a price for Spurs in their current state, against a Watford side that won the reverse fixture. Tottenham and Watford also drew in a EFL Cup game this season, before Pochettino's team progressed on penalties.
Son may be back, but it took him a while to get back his sharpness when he returned from the Asian Games at the start of the campaign, so Spurs could still be lacking a threat in attack. Perhaps then, this could be the end of their long spell of games without a draw, with Watford 2.38 to avoid defeat in the Double Chance market and prolong their unbeaten streak.
Wembley fans face wait for second-half goals
Even though they drew a blank against Crystal Palace in their last outing, Tottenham had plenty of chances to find the net. With creative players returning for this match, both teams to score should land at 1.75.
Recent matches suggest that Spurs may struggle to score before half-time. They have failed to do so in all of the three games since Kane succumbed to injury and under 1.5 first-half goals can be backed at 1.60. The odds of the score being 0-0 at half-time could be worth considering at 3.40.
Back both Tottenham and Watford to score at1.75 Back under 1.5 first-half goals between Tottenham and Watford at1.60
Back both Tottenham and Watford to score at 1.75
Back under 1.5 first-half goals between Tottenham and Watford at 1.60