Serie A: Fiorentina and Lazio to be among the goals in GW17

Serie A Correct Score Predictor with Infogol: Fiorentina and Lazio to be among the goals in GW17

Chloe Beresford uses Infogol stats to make correct score predictions for every game in Serie A this weekend with goals on the agenda once again...

Derby delight for 'Doria?

Genoa v Sampdoria
Friday December 10, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

With their ownership situation up in the air and just two wins in their last six games, there is a feeling that things will get better before they get worse for 15th-placed Sampdoria, yet somehow their neighbours are in an even more difficult situation.

Genoa are five points and four places below them, having failed to win any of their last 13 matches, have failed to score in their last four and have conceded 2+ goals in all but one of their last nine outings. There have been over 2.5 goals scored in 13 of Sampdoria's last 14 games, so expect them to come out on top here, just don't expect the Derby della Lanterna to be a display of technical quality.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back the 2-1 @ 8.5

Fiorentina flying

Fiorentina v Salernitana
Saturday December 11, 14:00

There is something special brewing in Florence, where La Viola have already won as many games (9) as they did in the whole of last season. Key to that has been their strong home form with Vincenzo Italiano's men winning each of their last four matches at the Stadio Artemio Franchi.

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in each of their seven games on home soil too, with Fiorentina having scored at least four goals in their last four matches and it is worth noting that they have been winning at both half time and full time in each of those outings. Salernitana are winless in their last six league games, and the Infogol model gives them just a 19% chance of taking all three points with them on this Saturday afternoon clash in Tuscany.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back the 3-1 @ 10.0

Venezia struggles to continue?

Venezia v Juventus
Saturday December 11, 17:00
Live on ESPN UK

Taking on a team who just finished top of their Champions League group, the Infogol model gives Venezia just a 10% chance of winning this clash. There have been under 2.5 goals scored in eight of Juventus's last 10 games in Serie A, while Venezia have lost their last three games and have conceded at least two goals in each of their last four outings.

Juve have kept a clean sheet in four of their last five games, their defence rounding into form after a slow start to the season.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Back the 0-2 @ 6.0

Rossoneri react?

Udinese v AC Milan
Saturday December 11, 17:45
Live on BT Sport 1

A disappointing midweek loss to a heavily rotated Liverpool means Milan have been eliminated from European competition altogether, so Stefano Pioli will expect a reaction as his players return to domestic action.

They have lost just three of their last 34 away matches in Serie A, and the Infogol model gives the Rossoneri - who have scored 2+ goals in each of their last six away matches - a 53% chance of victory. Meanwhile, Udinese have managed just one win in their last 13 league matches, a streak that has seen them slump to 14th in the table with just six points separating them from the relegation zone.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back the 1-2 @ 8.0

Leaky teams clash in Turin

Torino v Bologna
Sunday December 12, 11:30
Live on BT Sport 1

There have been over 2.5 goals scored in Torino's last four home games, where the Granata have scored at least two goals in each of those matches. So while the Infogol model gives a 42% chance of a Toro win and a 32% chance of a Bologna victory, the key fact might be that Torino have kept one clean sheet in their last six home games and Bologna have managed to keep one in their last six away outings.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back the 2-1 @ 8.5

This could be Hellas

Hellas Verona v Atalanta
Sunday December 12, 14:00
Live on BT Sport 1

Hellas are unbeaten in their last six Serie A home games, their longest run since February 2002 but that record faces its toughest test as Atalanta visit the Stadio Bentegodi on Sunday afternoon. Gian Piero Gasperini's side join Real Madrid as the only sides in Europe's top five leagues to have won seven away games so far this term, and they have lost just one of their last 10 overall.

Atalanta have also scored at least two goals in six of their last seven, but Verona have conceded just three goals in their last five home games, making this clash extremely difficult to call.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back the over 2.5 goals @ 1.57

Goals goals goals!

Sassuolo v Lazio
Sunday December 12, 17:00
Live on BT Sport Extra 2

This game sees two very evenly matched teams go head-to-head, with the Infogol model reflecting that as it gives Sassuolo a 39% chance of winning, with a 34% chance of a Lazio victory and a 27% chance that it ends in a draw.

It could well be a high-scoring encounter too as there have been over 2.5 goals scored in each of Sassuolo's last 10 games and in each of Lazio's last five away games in Serie A. It is also worth noting that Sassuolo have scored at least two goals in eight of their last nine, but have conceded at least twice in five of their last six.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back the 2-2 @ 10.0

Napoli too strong

Napoli v Empoli
Sunday December 12, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

Having notched just one win in their last five league games, Luciano Spalletti will hope to get his side back on track when they host Empoli on Sunday evening.

The Infogol model gives Napoli a 69% chance of victory, and it could well be an entertaining clash as they have scored at least two goals in each of their last four Serie A matches, while Empoli have scored at least twice in five of their last six.

It is also worth noting that Lorenzo Insigne has five goals in six career games against Empoli, his best record against a single opponent.

BTTS? Yes
Over/Under 2.5? Over

Back the 3-1 @ 9.0

Sardinians' San Siro struggle

Inter v Cagliari
Sunday December 12, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

The Infogol model gives Cagliari just a 9% chance of winning this encounter and that is easy to understand given they have not won away from home yet this season. They currently sit 18th in the table, and now take on second-placed Inter who have won 21 of their last 23 home matches.

The Nerazzurri have been winning at both half time and full time in their last four games, while impressively keeping a clean sheet in five of their last seven league outings.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Back the 2-0 @ 7.0

Spezia struggling

AS Roma v Spezia
Monday December 13, 19:45
Live on BT Sport 1

Losing at both half time and full time in their last five away matches, Spezia are struggling and have conceded at least two goals in eight of their last nine away matches. That has seen them slump down to 17th place, and the Infogol model gives them just a 13% chance of victory here.

Roma have struggled through a tough run of fixtures, and they need to pick up maximum points on Monday as games against Atalanta, Milan and Juventus are up next.

BTTS? No
Over/Under 2.5? Under

Back the 2-0 @ 7.5