Saturday 1:45pm at Etihad Stadium
A rejuvenated Sydney face their toughest test as they travel to Melbourne to tackle a St Kilda team playing great football.
FormSt Kilda are up to sixth on the ladder on the back of three straight wins. The Saints have been relentless defensively in keeping Hawthorn, GWS and Carlton to scores of 55, 85 and 66. The Saints rate sixth in both attack and defence averaging 97 points for and 87 points against. St Kilda have conceded more than 85 just once in their last six.
Sydney lost their opening six games of the season but have been played back into form against some lowly opposition with big wins over Brisbane and North Melbourne. After not kicking more than 87 points over the first six rounds, they have posted 120-plus the last two. The Swans rank12th in attack and 11th in defence.
Stats That Matter
– Sydney have won six straight against St Kilda with the last four wins being by 59-plus.
– The Swans have scored 105-plus in 5 of their last 6 against the Saints.
– Sydney have covered the last three against St Kilda.
– The Saints have covered just 3 of their last 9 at Etihad Stadium.
– St Kilda have covered just 1 of their last 5 as a favourite at Etihad Stadium.
– Sydney have covered 10 of their last 13 at Etihad Stadium.
– 9 of the last 13 Sydney games at Etihad Stadium have gone over the total.
– The Swans are 20-12 under as an outsider since 2012 including 17-8 under as an interstate underdog.
– The Swans are 10-4 under as a small interstate underdog.
– The Swans have covered 6 of their last 9 as an outsider.
– St Kilda have covered 6 of their last 8 as a non-interstate outsider.
– The Swans are 31-18 ATS in day matches since 2012.
– The Swans have scored 105-plus in 5 of their last 6 against the Saints.
– Sydney have covered the last three against St Kilda.
– The Saints have covered just 3 of their last 9 at Etihad Stadium.
– St Kilda have covered just 1 of their last 5 as a favourite at Etihad Stadium.
– Sydney have covered 10 of their last 13 at Etihad Stadium.
– 9 of the last 13 Sydney games at Etihad Stadium have gone over the total.
– The Swans are 20-12 under as an outsider since 2012 including 17-8 under as an interstate underdog.
– The Swans are 10-4 under as a small interstate underdog.
– The Swans have covered 6 of their last 9 as an outsider.
– St Kilda have covered 6 of their last 8 as a non-interstate outsider.
– The Swans are 31-18 ATS in day matches since 2012.
Betting Data2017 Line: St Kilda 4-4, Sydney 2-6
2017 Over-Under: St Kilda 4-4, Sydney 5-3
2017 Over-Under: St Kilda 4-4, Sydney 5-3
What To ExpectVery keen to bet Sydney in this one. The angles are strong here for the Swans, who have an exceptional record at Etihad. St Kilda are going great guns but have struggled at Etihad of late. After enduring a tough week of off-field scandal and with the Swans’ dominant record against the Saints, Sydney are the bet here.
How It’s Shaping UpSydney by 12
Recommended Bet
Sydney +5.5 ($1.91)
Sydney +5.5 ($1.91)
Player MarketsSeb Ross is getting plenty of it of late and it has translated into strong fantasy numbers. Ross has posted 110-plus in four of his last five. The fact that we can virtually double our money is absurd!
Recommended Bet
Seb Ross 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.90)
Seb Ross 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.90)
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