Sunday 3:20pm at MCG
Melbourne and North Melbourne have mixed their form this year and with both teams outside the Top 8 each have earmarked this as a key clash.
Form
Melbourne have won 2 of their last 3 games and have moved up to 10th on the ladder. The Dees pulled off a monster upset last week with a dominant 41-point win over the Crows in Adelaide. Melbourne have conceded an average of 88 points a game and rank eighth defensively while they rate fifth in attack with 99 points an outing.
Melbourne have won 2 of their last 3 games and have moved up to 10th on the ladder. The Dees pulled off a monster upset last week with a dominant 41-point win over the Crows in Adelaide. Melbourne have conceded an average of 88 points a game and rank eighth defensively while they rate fifth in attack with 99 points an outing.
North Melbourne have just two wins for the season and are 16th on the ladder but have won 2 of their last 3. They enter this off a 42-point loss to Sydney but the week prior whipped Adelaide by 59 points. The Kangaroos rank eighth in scoring but a poor 15th defensively.
Stats That Matter
– North Melbourne have won 15 straight over Melbourne dating back to 2007 with the Demons getting within four goals just twice.
– The last four Roos-Dees games have gone over the total.
– North have covered 7 of their last 11 at the MCG dating back to 2012.
– Melbourne are 42-26 under at the MCG since 2012.
– The Demons have failed to cover their last five at the MCG.
– Melbourne are 4-11 ATS as a favourite of more than two goals at the MCG since 2012 with the under 11-4.
– North are 14-5 ATS in Melbourne getting more than two goals start.
– Non-interstate underdogs getting more than two goals cover at 61% after being beaten by 30-plus points.
– Melbourne are 3-12 ATS after winning by 30-plus.
– The last four Roos-Dees games have gone over the total.
– North have covered 7 of their last 11 at the MCG dating back to 2012.
– Melbourne are 42-26 under at the MCG since 2012.
– The Demons have failed to cover their last five at the MCG.
– Melbourne are 4-11 ATS as a favourite of more than two goals at the MCG since 2012 with the under 11-4.
– North are 14-5 ATS in Melbourne getting more than two goals start.
– Non-interstate underdogs getting more than two goals cover at 61% after being beaten by 30-plus points.
– Melbourne are 3-12 ATS after winning by 30-plus.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Melbourne 3-5, North Melbourne 4-4
2017 Over-Under: Melbourne 3-5, North Melbourne 5-3
2017 Line: Melbourne 3-5, North Melbourne 4-4
2017 Over-Under: Melbourne 3-5, North Melbourne 5-3
What To Expect
Melbourne love to disappoint when expectations are high and that is exactly they are the spot in here. Looking to end a 15-game losing streak against North, they are incredibly favoured by more than two goals. The Dees are shocking bets as a big favourite and off a big win while North have covered 14 of their last 19 in Melbourne getting a start of 12.5 or more. Chips in North at the line and head-to-head.
Melbourne love to disappoint when expectations are high and that is exactly they are the spot in here. Looking to end a 15-game losing streak against North, they are incredibly favoured by more than two goals. The Dees are shocking bets as a big favourite and off a big win while North have covered 14 of their last 19 in Melbourne getting a start of 12.5 or more. Chips in North at the line and head-to-head.
How It’s Shaping Up
North Melbourne by 12
North Melbourne by 12
Recommended Bet
North Melbourne +13.5 ($1.91)
North Melbourne +13.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
Jack Ziebell has not enjoyed the best season but coming off a season-high fantasy score of 113 can parlay that against Melboure. Ziebell had an incredible 19 tackles the last time the two teams met.
Jack Ziebell has not enjoyed the best season but coming off a season-high fantasy score of 113 can parlay that against Melboure. Ziebell had an incredible 19 tackles the last time the two teams met.
Recommended Bet
Jack Ziebell 100+ Fantasy Points ($2.05)
Jack Ziebell 100+ Fantasy Points ($2.05)
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