Richmond v Fremantle
Sunday 1:10pm at MCG

Richmond will be devastated at blowing a big lead against premiers Western Bulldogs while Fremantle pulled the opposite and overcame a big deficit to reel in Essendon.
Richmond opened the year with five straight wins before dropping games to premiership heavyweights Adelaide (76 points) and the Bulldogs (5). The Tigers success has been built on their outstanding defence that has kept opponents to 89 points or fewer in six of seven matches. Richmond’s defence ranks third. The Tigers attack ranks 10th, averaging just 93 points per game.
Fremantle have won four of their last five games after dropping their opening two matches of 2017. They enter this off their best attacking performance of the year (116) and their biggest margin of victory (37). The Dockers rank 14th in both attack and defence suggesting their ninth-placed position on the ladder is inflated.
Stats That Matter
– Richmond have covered 5 of the last 6 matches against Fremantle.
– Three of the last four Tigers-Dockers clashes have gone over the total.
– The average total between these two sides since 2012 is 157.13The average total between these two sides since 2012 is 157.13.
– Richmond have covered their last four and six of their last seven at the MCG.
– The under is 43-29 since 2012 in Richmond MCG games.
– The Dockers have covered three of their last four at the MCG.
– Richmond are 8-20 ATS as a favourite of 18.5 or more at the MCG since 2012.
– The under is 19-9 in Richmond MCG games where they are favoured by three or more goals.
– Freo have covered just 1 of their last 6 interstate.
– The under is 32-25 in Freo interstate games since 2012.
– The under is 27-17 when an interstate outsiders of 18.5 points comes in off a win of 30-plus.
– The Tigers are 39-18 under after conceding 80 or fewer.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Richmond 6-1, Fremantle 3-4
2017 Over-Under: Richmond 2-5, Fremantle 4-3
What To Expect
There is only one play in this game and it is the under. There are huge under angles surrounding Richmond, who are 43-29 under at the MCG, 19-9 under at the MCG when a big favourite and 39-18 under after conceding 80 or fewer. Fremantle have some big under angles as well including 32-25 in interstate matches. There is a history of low-scoring matches between these sides and another one is expected.
How It’s Shaping Up
Richmond by 13
Recommended Bet
Under 179.5 ($1.87)
Player Markets
Shaun Grigg has topped 100 points in four of his seven games this year and has topped 100 in three of his last four. The former Blue had 24 touches and a goal in his last clash with Freo so should see plenty of it.
Recommended Bet
Shaun Grigg 100+ Fantasy Points ($1.75) 

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