South Sydney Rabbitohs v Melbourne Storm
Sunday, May 21, 6:30pm (AEST), nib Stadium, Perth
The Rabbitohs returned to the winner’s circle with a 28-8 win over the Tigers. Former Tiger Robbie Farah was instrumental in the win, while Sam Burgess was unstoppable. The Storm are coming off a shock 38-26 loss to the Titans and you can guarantee a strong response from Craig Bellamy’s men this week, with defence the strong focus. Both teams will be desperate to leave Perth with the two competition points.
History
The Storm have historically dominated the Rabbitohs with 22 wins in their 26 all-time clashes. The Storm have won three on end with the last two decided by a single score. The Storm won a thriller 15-14 in Melbourne last year, with Cameron Smith kicking the match-winning field goal. Ten of the last 11 have failed to break 34 points between these two. The teams have played twice in Perth with a win apiece.
The Storm have historically dominated the Rabbitohs with 22 wins in their 26 all-time clashes. The Storm have won three on end with the last two decided by a single score. The Storm won a thriller 15-14 in Melbourne last year, with Cameron Smith kicking the match-winning field goal. Ten of the last 11 have failed to break 34 points between these two. The teams have played twice in Perth with a win apiece.
Form
South Sydney have won just two of their last seven but come into this off an impressive 28-8 win over the Wests Tigers. Only one of the Rabbitohs’ four wins has come against Top 8 opposition. Souths had conceded at least 18 points in nine straight until the Tigers win. Souths rank 11th in attack and 13th in defence. Melbourne remain atop the premiership ladder with an 8-2 record despite a 38-36 loss to the Titans at Suncorp. Melbourne’s defence ranking is down to third after conceding 22-plus in three of their last four. The Storm have also posted 30-plus in three of their last four.
South Sydney have won just two of their last seven but come into this off an impressive 28-8 win over the Wests Tigers. Only one of the Rabbitohs’ four wins has come against Top 8 opposition. Souths had conceded at least 18 points in nine straight until the Tigers win. Souths rank 11th in attack and 13th in defence. Melbourne remain atop the premiership ladder with an 8-2 record despite a 38-36 loss to the Titans at Suncorp. Melbourne’s defence ranking is down to third after conceding 22-plus in three of their last four. The Storm have also posted 30-plus in three of their last four.
Key Matchup
Adam Reynolds v Cooper Cronk. Reynolds will want a strong performance in his last opportunity to impress selectors before the NSW side is named. He was solid in the win over the Tigers, but needs to find another gear when taking on a classy side like the Storm. Cronk is the ultimate professional and is making every post a winner in what could be his final season. He scored a double and had a try-assist in the loss to the Titans. The kicking games of both Reynolds and Cronk will be crucial in this contest, with rain forecast in Perth on Sunday.
Adam Reynolds v Cooper Cronk. Reynolds will want a strong performance in his last opportunity to impress selectors before the NSW side is named. He was solid in the win over the Tigers, but needs to find another gear when taking on a classy side like the Storm. Cronk is the ultimate professional and is making every post a winner in what could be his final season. He scored a double and had a try-assist in the loss to the Titans. The kicking games of both Reynolds and Cronk will be crucial in this contest, with rain forecast in Perth on Sunday.
Stats That Matter
South Sydney are 5-5 ATS with a 5-5 total record with Melbourne 5-5 ATS with a 6-4 under number. Melbourne have historically dominated South Sydney with 22 wins in their 26 all-time clashes. The Storm have won three on end with the last two decided by a single score. Ten of the last 11 have failed to break 34 points between these two. The teams have played twice in Perth with a win apiece. Souths have covered 7 of their last 11. Souths have covered just one of their last four interstate games. Melbourne have covered 3 of their last 4 interstate games as an interstate favourite of 6.5 or more. The under is 16-8 in games after the Storm scored 30 or more points.
South Sydney are 5-5 ATS with a 5-5 total record with Melbourne 5-5 ATS with a 6-4 under number. Melbourne have historically dominated South Sydney with 22 wins in their 26 all-time clashes. The Storm have won three on end with the last two decided by a single score. Ten of the last 11 have failed to break 34 points between these two. The teams have played twice in Perth with a win apiece. Souths have covered 7 of their last 11. Souths have covered just one of their last four interstate games. Melbourne have covered 3 of their last 4 interstate games as an interstate favourite of 6.5 or more. The under is 16-8 in games after the Storm scored 30 or more points.
Final Thoughts
The Storm don’t lose two in a row too often and The Wolf is expecting a big response from the Storm defensively. The forecast suggests it could be a wet track on Sunday, making both the Storm 1-12 and under 39.5 points strong plays. Look for the Storm’s Origin stars to shine as they head to QLD camp with a win under their belt.
The Storm don’t lose two in a row too often and The Wolf is expecting a big response from the Storm defensively. The forecast suggests it could be a wet track on Sunday, making both the Storm 1-12 and under 39.5 points strong plays. Look for the Storm’s Origin stars to shine as they head to QLD camp with a win under their belt.
How It’s Shaping Up
Melbourne by 7
Melbourne by 7
Best Bet
Melbourne 1-12 ($3)
Melbourne 1-12 ($3)
Other Recommended Bets
Under 39.5 ($1.88)
Under 39.5 ($1.88)
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