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Gold Coast Titans v Manly Sea Eagles

Saturday, May 20, 5:30pm (AEST), Cbus Super Stadium, Gold Coast




The Titans have had few more memorable wins in their 11-season history than their 38-36 win at Suncorp against Melbourne in Round 10, handing the consistently best defensive team the highest ever losing score. Meanwhile, the Sea Eagles blew a 14-point lead over the Broncos before going down 24-14. If that wasn’t bad enough, the Sea Eagles have lost their gun fullback Tom Trbojevic for the next 6-8 weeks due to an ankle injury suffered in the loss to the Broncos.
History
The Titans won the only clash between the teams last year 30-10 with the last 12 matches being split evenly. Nine of the last 11 matches have topped 40 points.
Form
The Titans have now won three straight including wins against 2016 premiers Cronulla and runners-up Melbourne. Despite sitting 11th on the ladder, the Titans have the top attack in the premiership averaging 24.8ppg. Manly had won 5 of 7 heading into their Suncorp clash with Brisbane and jumped to a 14-0 early lead there before being run down 24-14. The Sea Eagles have conceded 18 or more in four of their last five. The 5-5 Eagles rank third in attack and seventh in defence.
Key Matchup
Ryan James v Martin Taupau. James has been the leader of the Titans pack for some time now and will want another strong performance against the Sea Eagles in a bid to win a NSW jersey. It’s very rare that a front rower will find the tryline once in a season let alone three times. James has scored a try in three of his last four matches. Taupau is starting to repay the Sea Eagles by playing consistent football and staying out of trouble with the judiciary. Taupau has racked up an astonishing 31 offloads and 31 tackle-breaks this season.
Stats That Matter
Gold Coast are 6-3 ATS with an 8-2 over record while Manly are 6-4 ATS with a 6-4 under number. The Titans won the only clash between the teams last year 30-10 with the last 12 matches being split evenly. Nine of the last 11 matches have topped 40 points. Gold Coast have covered 8 of their last 12 home day games with 5 of the last 6 going over the total.
Final Thoughts
The loss of Tom Trbojevic sways this one in favour of the Titans. They’ll be on a high after their incredible win over the Storm and will also be hoping that Jarryd Hayne takes his spot in the final 17. The Wolf is expecting plenty of points in this contest and recommends taking the over 39.5 total game score.
How It’s Shaping Up
Gold Coast by 4
Best Bet
Over 39.5 ($1.88)

Other Recommended Bets
Gold Coast 1-12 ($2.85)

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