GWS v Richmond
Saturday 4:35pm at Spotless Stadium

Greater Western Sydney pulled one from the fire against Collingwood but face a stiffer test this week as the overachieving Tigers come to town.
Greater Western Sydney have won six of their last seven and have moved up to second on the ladder, behind Adelaide on just percentage. The Giants have surrounded a surprise loss to St Kilda with wins of two against the Bulldogs and three against the Magpies. GWS ranks fourth in attack and fifth in defence.
Richmond were the surprise packets of the season with five straight wins to open the year but have dropped their last three. The last two against the Bulldogs and Dockers have been heartbreakers, less than a goal. The Tigers have conceded more than 89 points just once this year and have the fourth best defence but they have cracked 100 just twice and rate 10th in scoring.
Stats That Matter
– Richmond have won 5 of the 6 all-time meetings against GWS but lost last year 111-23 in their only matchup.
– The last three Giants-Tigers games have gone under with a GWS cover.
– Two of the three matches played at Spotless between the Giants and Tigers have gone over the total.
– GWS are 24-16 ATS at Spotless since 2012 including a 6-4 ATS record when favoured by more than four goals..
– Richmond have covered just 2 of 9 day/twilight games.
– The under is 42-27 in Richmond day games since 2012 including 13-7 interstate.
– The Tigers have covered just 2 of their last 9 interstate games.
– Richmond have failed to cover their last five as an interstate underdog of more than three goals.
– Interstate underdogs who conceded 80 points or fewer last game cover at just 45% with the under hitting at 56%.
Betting Data
2017 Line: GWS 4-4, Richmond 6-2
2017 Over-Under: GWS 5-3, Richmond 2-6
What To Expect
The Giants should have few problems with Richmond in this one, particularly if their attack clicks. Both teams are solid defensively but the Tigers are limited with the ball while GWS have the ability to be explosive on their day. The angles aren’t good for Richmond, who are poor as a big interstate underdog, while the Giants typically play their best football at Spotless.
How It’s Shaping Up
Greater Western Sydney by 37
Recommended Bet
Greater Western Sydney -29.5 ($1.91)
Player Markets
Shaun Grigg has posted 100-plus in fantasy in 4 of his last 5 games and there has been very little difference in his scoring between Richmond wins and losses. He looks close to a moral to ping over 100.
Recommended Bet
Shaun Grigg 100+ Fantasy Points ($1.80) 

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