Fremantle v Carlton
Sunday 4:40pm at Domain Stadium

Round 9 comes to a close in Perth with Fremantle hosting Carlton in a battle between two teams sitting just outside the Top 8.
Fremantle have won 5 of their last 6 games after dropping their opening two matches of the season. The Dockers have kept opponents to fewer than 80 in 4 of their last 6 with Fremantle’s defence ranking 10th. Their attack has again been an issue though with the Dockers’ 80 points per game third worst in the AFL.
Carlton have improved significantly over the last three weeks with two wins and a close loss to St Kilda. Those wins came against Sydney and Collingwood. The Blues have conceded more than 86 points just three times this year but have broken 90 just once and have yet to break 100. Their 3-5 record has them 13th on the ladder.
Stats That Matter
– Fremantle have won 15 of the last 20 against Carlton.
– Four of the last five Freo-Carlton clashes have gone under the total.
– Freo are 43-26 under since 2012 at Subiaco.
– The Dockers are 28-21 ATS as a favourite at Subiaco.
– Fremantle have covered 3 of their last 9 as a favourite of three or more goals at Subiaco.
– Carlton have covered just 12 of their last 29 interstate games.
– The under is 10-4 when the Blues are interstate getting 18 or more start.
– Freo are 18-30 ATS after scoring fewer than 75 points.
– Carlton 28-16 ATS after scoring fewer than 75 points.
Betting Data
2017 Line: Fremantle 4-4, Carlton 5-3
2017 Over-Under: Fremantle 5-3, Carlton 4-4
What To Expect
Points will be few and far between in the finale to Round 9 with the under a good play even with the very low total. The Dockers are the epitome of an under team and the Blues are an under team as a big interstate outsider. Not the easiest betting game but the under has enough angles to bet it with a good degree of confidence.
How It’s Shaping Up
Fremantle by 14
Recommended Bet
Under 144.5 points ($1.87)
Player Markets
Brad Hill has been red-hot over the last fortnight with fantasy scores of 159 and 123. Hill has had 11 or more marks in those two games, the big driver behind his leap in fantasy relevance.
Recommended Bet
Bradley Hill 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.90) 

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