Friday 19:50pm at Simonds Stadium
Geelong have lost all kinds of form and their run gets no easier with the defending premiers Western Bulldogs the next on the dance card.
FormGeelong opened the season with five straight wins and appeared to be destined for another premiership tilt but have dropped their last three to teams outside the eight, failing to break 100 in any while conceding 107-plus in all. The Cats rank third in attack but their defence has fallen to a lowly 13th.
The Western Bulldogs have dropped two of their last three after opening the season with four wins in the first five rounds. Those losses have both been single digit defeats at the hands of GWS and West Coast in Perth – respectable defeats. The Bulldogs’ defence has been strong ranking second but their attack rates a lowly 12th.
Stats That Matter
– Geelong have won 10 straight against the Western Bulldogs dating back to 2009 with the Bulldogs finishing within two goals just once over that time.
– The Bulldogs have not surpassed 87 points over that 10-game losing streak.
– The Cats have covered just 2 of the last 7 against the Bulldogs.
– Six of the last seven games between these two have gone under the total with an average total of 161.1 points.
– Geelong have covered 9 of the last 11 at Simonds Stadium.
– The Cats have covered just 1 of 3 as an outsider at Simonds Stadium since 2012.
– Geelong have covered just 1 of 5 at Simonds Stadium after conceding 110 points.
– The Cats have covered 5 of their last 7 as an underdog.
– The Bulldogs have covered six straight as a single digit favourite.
– The Bulldogs have covered just 1 of their last 9 as a favourite in Victoria.
– The under is 18-10 after the Bulldogs conceded 70 or fewer points.
– The Cats are 5-11 ATS after conceding 110 or more points.
– The Bulldogs are 16-12 ATS after conceding 70 or fewer points.
– The Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS after scoring 65 or fewer points.
– The Bulldogs have not surpassed 87 points over that 10-game losing streak.
– The Cats have covered just 2 of the last 7 against the Bulldogs.
– Six of the last seven games between these two have gone under the total with an average total of 161.1 points.
– Geelong have covered 9 of the last 11 at Simonds Stadium.
– The Cats have covered just 1 of 3 as an outsider at Simonds Stadium since 2012.
– Geelong have covered just 1 of 5 at Simonds Stadium after conceding 110 points.
– The Cats have covered 5 of their last 7 as an underdog.
– The Bulldogs have covered six straight as a single digit favourite.
– The Bulldogs have covered just 1 of their last 9 as a favourite in Victoria.
– The under is 18-10 after the Bulldogs conceded 70 or fewer points.
– The Cats are 5-11 ATS after conceding 110 or more points.
– The Bulldogs are 16-12 ATS after conceding 70 or fewer points.
– The Bulldogs are 8-3 ATS after scoring 65 or fewer points.
Betting Data2017 Line: Geelong 4-4, Western Bulldogs 3-5
2017 Over-Under: Geelong 6-2, Western Bulldogs 3-5
2017 Over-Under: Geelong 6-2, Western Bulldogs 3-5
What To ExpectThe Western Bulldogs have endured a long drought against Geelong but in current form should best the Cats and hand them their fourth straight defeat. The Cats have a very good record at Simonds Stadium but are terribly poor after an ordinary defensive performance. The Bulldogs, conversely, are good off a poor attacking performance and have covered six straight as a single digit favourite.
How It’s Shaping UpWestern Bulldogs by 8
Recommended Bet
Western Bulldogs WIN ($1.86)
Western Bulldogs WIN ($1.86)
Player MarketsMitch Duncan has hit 110-plus four of his last five games and has an average of 114 this year. The last time he scored fewer than 100 – as he did in the loss last week – he bounced back with a 113.
Recommended Bet
Mitch Duncan 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.90)
Mitch Duncan 110+ Fantasy Points ($1.90)
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